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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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NHL 2017-2018 ratings through results of 2018 FEBRUARY 18 SUNDAY


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


New_Feature

just click on "New_Feature" and it will take you to the daily predictions at bottom of file
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.28]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.28]       [  0.28]
   1  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.51   39  20    4.00(  14)   10   6  |   18  10  |    4.72    1 |    4.69    1 |    4.07   15
   2  Winnipeg Jets           =   4.47   35  24    3.98(  25)    9   8  |   16  14  |    4.45    4 |    4.37    5 |    4.65    2
   3  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.42   39  19    4.03(   7)   15   6  |   24  10  |    4.52    3 |    4.57    2 |    4.10   13
   4  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.41   36  25    3.99(  18)   10   6  |   16  13  |    4.39    6 |    4.35    6 |    4.62    3
   5  Boston Bruins           =   4.35   35  21    3.93(  31)    9   7  |   12  12  |    4.52    2 |    4.41    4 |    3.80   22
   6  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   4.32   35  26    3.99(  17)    9   9  |   15  16  |    4.29    7 |    4.34    7 |    4.91    1
   7  Nashville Predators     =   4.30   34  23    4.02(   9)    9   9  |   20  13  |    4.44    5 |    4.45    3 |    3.75   25
   8  Los Angeles Kings       =   4.26   31  27    4.03(   8)    4  15  |   12  18  |    4.28    8 |    4.19   11 |    4.18   10
   9  San Jose Sharks         =   4.21   32  27    3.99(  21)    8  12  |   12  16  |    4.20   11 |    4.19   12 |    4.29    6
  10  Dallas Stars            =   4.19   34  25    3.96(  29)    5  10  |   12  15  |    4.27    9 |    4.26    8 |    3.80   21
NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.28]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.28]       [  0.28]
  11  St. Louis Blues         =   4.17   34  26    3.99(  15)    9  12  |   11  19  |    4.24   10 |    4.24   10 |    3.81   20
  12  Anaheim Ducks           =   4.07   29  31    4.04(   3)    9  14  |   14  18  |    4.10   14 |    4.08   14 |    3.94   18
  13  Minnesota Wild          =   4.07   31  27    4.02(  10)   10  10  |   18  16  |    4.15   13 |    4.19   13 |    3.60   26
  14  Washington Capitals     =   4.07   33  25    3.97(  27)    8   9  |   14  12  |    4.15   12 |    4.24    9 |    3.38   31
  15  Philadelphia Flyers     =   4.05   30  29    3.98(  22)    7  10  |   13  15  |    4.02   16 |    4.04   15 |    4.27    8
  16  Chicago Blackhawks      =   4.03   25  34    4.02(  11)    6  14  |   11  21  |    4.05   15 |    3.93   19 |    3.95   17
  17  Calgary Flames          =   3.97   30  29    4.01(  12)    7  12  |   18  17  |    3.97   17 |    4.00   16 |    4.00   16
  18  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.89   29  30    3.99(  20)    7  12  |   10  19  |    3.90   19 |    3.93   18 |    3.83   19
  19  New Jersey Devils       =   3.86   31  28    3.96(  30)    6   8  |   13  14  |    3.79   23 |    3.82   23 |    4.36    4
  20  Colorado Avalanche      =   3.86   31  27    4.03(   5)   13  10  |   19  15  |    3.91   18 |    3.95   17 |    3.40   30
NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.28]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.28]       [  0.28]
  21  New York Islanders      =   3.85   29  31    4.00(  13)    8  12  |   13  18  |    3.80   22 |    3.90   20 |    4.20    9
  22  Florida Panthers        =   3.81   26  30    4.03(   6)    6  11  |   12  17  |    3.75   24 |    3.81   24 |    4.14   12
  23  Carolina Hurricanes     =   3.79   27  33    3.99(  19)    8  12  |   10  20  |    3.82   20 |    3.86   21 |    3.59   27
  24  New York Rangers        =   3.78   27  33    3.98(  24)    9  12  |   12  19  |    3.82   21 |    3.83   22 |    3.48   29
  25  Edmonton Oilers         =   3.74   24  34    4.04(   4)    6  15  |   10  24  |    3.74   25 |    3.78   25 |    3.76   24
  26  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.72   24  34    3.98(  26)    6  13  |   10  18  |    3.64   26 |    3.60   26 |    4.08   14
  27  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.66   23  36    4.05(   2)    9  14  |   15  20  |    3.49   28 |    3.51   28 |    4.34    5
  28  Ottawa Senators         =   3.63   21  36    3.98(  23)    5  13  |    8  21  |    3.42   29 |    3.46   29 |    4.28    7
  29  Arizona Coyotes         =   3.55   17  42    4.07(   1)    4  21  |    9  28  |    3.30   31 |    3.19   31 |    4.15   11
  30  Montreal Canadiens      =   3.54   22  36    3.97(  28)    3  14  |    6  22  |    3.55   27 |    3.57   27 |    3.49   28
NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.28]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.28]       [  0.28]
  31  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.45   17  42    3.99(  16)    3  14  |    6  22  |    3.33   30 |    3.24   30 |    3.79   23
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings


There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   1  CENTRAL (west)          =   4.15       4.16  (  1)      7       4.16  (  1)
   2  PACIFIC (west)          =   3.99       3.99  (  2)      8       3.99  (  2)
   3  METROPOLITAN (EAST)     =   3.93       3.95  (  3)      8       3.95  (  3)
   4  ATLANTIC (EAST)         =   3.89       3.93  (  4)      8       3.92  (  4)


      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   4  ATLANTIC (EAST)         =   3.89       3.93  (  4)      8       3.92  (  4)
   3  METROPOLITAN (EAST)     =   3.93       3.95  (  3)      8       3.95  (  3)
   1  CENTRAL (west)          =   4.15       4.16  (  1)      7       4.16  (  1)
   2  PACIFIC (west)          =   3.99       3.99  (  2)      8       3.99  (  2)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   4  ATLANTIC (EAST)         =   3.89       3.93  (  4)   TEAMS=  8       3.92  (  4)
NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.28]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.28]       [  0.28]
   1  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.51   39  20    4.00(  14)   10   6  |   18  10  |    4.72    1 |    4.69    1 |    4.07   15
   4  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.41   36  25    3.99(  18)   10   6  |   16  13  |    4.39    6 |    4.35    6 |    4.62    3
   5  Boston Bruins           =   4.35   35  21    3.93(  31)    9   7  |   12  12  |    4.52    2 |    4.41    4 |    3.80   22
  22  Florida Panthers        =   3.81   26  30    4.03(   6)    6  11  |   12  17  |    3.75   24 |    3.81   24 |    4.14   12
  26  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.72   24  34    3.98(  26)    6  13  |   10  18  |    3.64   26 |    3.60   26 |    4.08   14
  28  Ottawa Senators         =   3.63   21  36    3.98(  23)    5  13  |    8  21  |    3.42   29 |    3.46   29 |    4.28    7
  30  Montreal Canadiens      =   3.54   22  36    3.97(  28)    3  14  |    6  22  |    3.55   27 |    3.57   27 |    3.49   28
  31  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.45   17  42    3.99(  16)    3  14  |    6  22  |    3.33   30 |    3.24   30 |    3.79   23
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   3  METROPOLITAN (EAST)     =   3.93       3.95  (  3)   TEAMS=  8       3.95  (  3)
NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.28]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.28]       [  0.28]
   6  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   4.32   35  26    3.99(  17)    9   9  |   15  16  |    4.29    7 |    4.34    7 |    4.91    1
  14  Washington Capitals     =   4.07   33  25    3.97(  27)    8   9  |   14  12  |    4.15   12 |    4.24    9 |    3.38   31
  15  Philadelphia Flyers     =   4.05   30  29    3.98(  22)    7  10  |   13  15  |    4.02   16 |    4.04   15 |    4.27    8
  18  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.89   29  30    3.99(  20)    7  12  |   10  19  |    3.90   19 |    3.93   18 |    3.83   19
  19  New Jersey Devils       =   3.86   31  28    3.96(  30)    6   8  |   13  14  |    3.79   23 |    3.82   23 |    4.36    4
  21  New York Islanders      =   3.85   29  31    4.00(  13)    8  12  |   13  18  |    3.80   22 |    3.90   20 |    4.20    9
  23  Carolina Hurricanes     =   3.79   27  33    3.99(  19)    8  12  |   10  20  |    3.82   20 |    3.86   21 |    3.59   27
  24  New York Rangers        =   3.78   27  33    3.98(  24)    9  12  |   12  19  |    3.82   21 |    3.83   22 |    3.48   29
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   1  CENTRAL (west)          =   4.15       4.16  (  1)   TEAMS=  7       4.16  (  1)
NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.28]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.28]       [  0.28]
   2  Winnipeg Jets           =   4.47   35  24    3.98(  25)    9   8  |   16  14  |    4.45    4 |    4.37    5 |    4.65    2
   7  Nashville Predators     =   4.30   34  23    4.02(   9)    9   9  |   20  13  |    4.44    5 |    4.45    3 |    3.75   25
  10  Dallas Stars            =   4.19   34  25    3.96(  29)    5  10  |   12  15  |    4.27    9 |    4.26    8 |    3.80   21
  11  St. Louis Blues         =   4.17   34  26    3.99(  15)    9  12  |   11  19  |    4.24   10 |    4.24   10 |    3.81   20
  13  Minnesota Wild          =   4.07   31  27    4.02(  10)   10  10  |   18  16  |    4.15   13 |    4.19   13 |    3.60   26
  16  Chicago Blackhawks      =   4.03   25  34    4.02(  11)    6  14  |   11  21  |    4.05   15 |    3.93   19 |    3.95   17
  20  Colorado Avalanche      =   3.86   31  27    4.03(   5)   13  10  |   19  15  |    3.91   18 |    3.95   17 |    3.40   30
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   2  PACIFIC (west)          =   3.99       3.99  (  2)   TEAMS=  8       3.99  (  2)
NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.28]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.28]       [  0.28]
   3  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.42   39  19    4.03(   7)   15   6  |   24  10  |    4.52    3 |    4.57    2 |    4.10   13
   8  Los Angeles Kings       =   4.26   31  27    4.03(   8)    4  15  |   12  18  |    4.28    8 |    4.19   11 |    4.18   10
   9  San Jose Sharks         =   4.21   32  27    3.99(  21)    8  12  |   12  16  |    4.20   11 |    4.19   12 |    4.29    6
  12  Anaheim Ducks           =   4.07   29  31    4.04(   3)    9  14  |   14  18  |    4.10   14 |    4.08   14 |    3.94   18
  17  Calgary Flames          =   3.97   30  29    4.01(  12)    7  12  |   18  17  |    3.97   17 |    4.00   16 |    4.00   16
  25  Edmonton Oilers         =   3.74   24  34    4.04(   4)    6  15  |   10  24  |    3.74   25 |    3.78   25 |    3.76   24
  27  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.66   23  36    4.05(   2)    9  14  |   15  20  |    3.49   28 |    3.51   28 |    4.34    5
  29  Arizona Coyotes         =   3.55   17  42    4.07(   1)    4  21  |    9  28  |    3.30   31 |    3.19   31 |    4.15   11
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
endfile

New_Feature

HOME team in CAPS (if both teams in lower case, game is at neutral location) The HOME ADVANTAGE has been factored in for all HOME and CLOSEBY games. No home edge is applied in neutral games. In a CLOSEBY game, half of the normal home advantage has been applied. Regular Method Predictions "New Feature" Offense-Defense Method Predictions FAVORITE Rating Points Gold Recent UNDERDOG FAVORITE WINNER LOSER SPREAD TOTAL UNDERDOG =========================================================================================================================== CHICAGO BLACKHAW 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.05 los angeles king los angeles king 2.55 - 2.39 0.16 4.94 CHICAGO BLACKHAW NEW YORK ISLANDE 0.07 -0.06 -0.01 0.88 minnesota wild minnesota wild 3.38 - 3.24 0.14 6.62 NEW YORK ISLANDE boston bruins 0.10 0.27 0.13 -0.48 CALGARY FLAMES boston bruins 2.98 - 2.48 0.50 5.46 CALGARY FLAMES washington capit 0.33 0.54 0.72 -0.69 BUFFALO SABRES washington capit 3.22 - 2.50 0.72 5.71 BUFFALO SABRES VEGAS GOLDEN KNI 0.64 0.71 0.77 0.45 anaheim ducks VEGAS GOLDEN KNI 3.41 - 2.35 1.06 5.77 anaheim ducks NASHVILLE PREDAT 0.96 1.30 1.27 -0.25 ottawa senators NASHVILLE PREDAT 3.75 - 2.12 1.63 5.87 ottawa senators =========================================================================================================================== COMBO is the combining of the ELO and the BLUE. ELO and BLUE are set to be on the same scale and so are directly comparable and of course the COMBO is set to that same scale. ELO uses only who the winner and loser was of each game and of course the game location. So the difference in ELO between winning by 1 and losing by 1 is very large. BLUE cares only about the score and game location and so in BLUE, the difference between winning by 1 and losing by 1 is simply only 2 points which would be the same difference as winning by 20 as compared to winning by 18 ... very small. BLUE is an acronym which stands for "BestLinearUnbiasedEstimator" also known as "pure-least-squares." The ELO and the BLUE and thus the COMBO are all "unbiased" in that they consider only results from the season in question. Starting ratings have no bearing at all. Predictions for these ratings are found below at the bottom of the file. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.31] [ 0.31] [ 0.30] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 1 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.83 39 20 3.98( 21) 10 6 | 18 10 4.79( 2) 4.86( 1) 2 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.82 39 19 4.01( 12) 14 7 | 20 10 4.87( 1) 4.78( 2) 3 Boston Bruins = 4.63 35 21 3.90( 31) 8 7 | 13 12 4.56( 3) 4.73( 3) 4 Nashville Predators = 4.53 34 23 4.04( 6) 12 8 | 19 13 4.54( 4) 4.52( 5) 5 Winnipeg Jets = 4.53 35 24 4.00( 16) 8 9 | 18 14 4.43( 6) 4.65( 4) 6 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.47 36 25 3.99( 20) 9 7 | 14 15 4.44( 5) 4.50( 6) 7 Dallas Stars = 4.32 34 25 3.98( 23) 6 11 | 12 18 4.29( 10) 4.35( 8) 8 St. Louis Blues = 4.31 34 26 4.00( 13) 9 12 | 14 19 4.33( 9) 4.30( 9) 9 Pittsburgh Penguins = 4.29 35 26 3.99( 19) 9 9 | 15 15 4.35( 7) 4.24( 10) 10 Los Angeles Kings = 4.27 31 27 4.02( 10) 4 13 | 11 18 4.17( 14) 4.39( 7) NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.31] [ 0.31] [ 0.30] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 11 Washington Capitals = 4.21 33 25 3.97( 27) 8 9 | 13 14 4.33( 8) 4.10( 14) 12 Colorado Avalanche = 4.19 31 27 4.03( 8) 11 13 | 16 16 4.25( 11) 4.14( 12) 13 San Jose Sharks = 4.19 32 27 3.96( 28) 8 12 | 11 17 4.17( 13) 4.20( 11) 14 Minnesota Wild = 4.18 31 27 4.03( 9) 11 11 | 17 15 4.23( 12) 4.14( 13) 15 Philadelphia Flyers = 4.04 30 29 3.97( 25) 8 9 | 12 15 4.01( 17) 4.06( 15) 16 Calgary Flames = 4.00 30 29 4.01( 11) 9 11 | 14 16 4.07( 15) 3.94( 18) 17 New Jersey Devils = 3.98 31 28 3.93( 30) 6 9 | 12 16 4.06( 16) 3.91( 19) 18 Anaheim Ducks = 3.97 29 31 4.05( 3) 10 11 | 14 21 3.94( 19) 4.00( 17) 19 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.86 25 34 4.04( 5) 6 15 | 10 24 3.70( 24) 4.01( 16) 20 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.86 29 30 3.98( 24) 7 12 | 10 19 3.95( 18) 3.77( 21) NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.31] [ 0.31] [ 0.30] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 21 New York Islanders = 3.84 29 31 4.00( 14) 7 13 | 13 18 3.91( 20) 3.77( 20) 22 Florida Panthers = 3.78 26 30 4.04( 7) 7 10 | 12 17 3.86( 21) 3.70( 22) 23 Carolina Hurricanes = 3.71 27 33 3.99( 17) 8 12 | 12 19 3.74( 22) 3.68( 23) 24 New York Rangers = 3.69 27 33 3.98( 22) 8 12 | 12 18 3.70( 23) 3.68( 24) 25 Detroit Red Wings = 3.59 24 34 3.97( 26) 5 14 | 9 19 3.54( 26) 3.64( 25) 26 Edmonton Oilers = 3.58 24 34 4.05( 4) 6 16 | 12 22 3.60( 25) 3.55( 26) 27 Vancouver Canucks = 3.52 23 36 4.07( 2) 8 13 | 15 21 3.51( 27) 3.53( 27) 28 Montreal Canadiens = 3.36 22 36 3.96( 29) 3 14 | 6 22 3.39( 28) 3.34( 28) 29 Ottawa Senators = 3.31 21 36 3.99( 18) 4 14 | 10 19 3.36( 29) 3.24( 29) 30 Arizona Coyotes = 3.13 17 42 4.11( 1) 4 19 | 9 26 3.03( 30) 3.20( 30) NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.31] [ 0.31] [ 0.30] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 31 Buffalo Sabres = 3.00 17 42 4.00( 15) 3 14 | 7 21 2.89( 31) 3.08( 31) ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ DIVISION WIN50% ARITH.MEAN TEAMS 1 CENTRAL (west) = 4.28 4.27 7 ( 1) 2 METROPOLITAN (EAST) = 3.95 3.95 8 ( 2) 3 PACIFIC (west) = 3.93 3.93 8 ( 3) 4 ATLANTIC (EAST) = 3.87 3.87 8 ( 4) DIVISION WIN50% ARITH.MEAN TEAMS 4 ATLANTIC (EAST) = 3.87 3.87 8 ( 4) 2 METROPOLITAN (EAST) = 3.95 3.95 8 ( 2) 1 CENTRAL (west) = 4.28 4.27 7 ( 1) 3 PACIFIC (west) = 3.93 3.93 8 ( 3) ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 ATLANTIC (EAST) = 3.87 3.87 NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.31] [ 0.31] [ 0.30] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 1 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.83 39 20 3.98( 21) 10 6 | 18 10 4.79( 2) 4.86( 1) 3 Boston Bruins = 4.63 35 21 3.90( 31) 8 7 | 13 12 4.56( 3) 4.73( 3) 6 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.47 36 25 3.99( 20) 9 7 | 14 15 4.44( 5) 4.50( 6) 22 Florida Panthers = 3.78 26 30 4.04( 7) 7 10 | 12 17 3.86( 21) 3.70( 22) 25 Detroit Red Wings = 3.59 24 34 3.97( 26) 5 14 | 9 19 3.54( 26) 3.64( 25) 28 Montreal Canadiens = 3.36 22 36 3.96( 29) 3 14 | 6 22 3.39( 28) 3.34( 28) 29 Ottawa Senators = 3.31 21 36 3.99( 18) 4 14 | 10 19 3.36( 29) 3.24( 29) 31 Buffalo Sabres = 3.00 17 42 4.00( 15) 3 14 | 7 21 2.89( 31) 3.08( 31) ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 METROPOLITAN (EAST) = 3.95 3.95 NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.31] [ 0.31] [ 0.30] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 9 Pittsburgh Penguins = 4.29 35 26 3.99( 19) 9 9 | 15 15 4.35( 7) 4.24( 10) 11 Washington Capitals = 4.21 33 25 3.97( 27) 8 9 | 13 14 4.33( 8) 4.10( 14) 15 Philadelphia Flyers = 4.04 30 29 3.97( 25) 8 9 | 12 15 4.01( 17) 4.06( 15) 17 New Jersey Devils = 3.98 31 28 3.93( 30) 6 9 | 12 16 4.06( 16) 3.91( 19) 20 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.86 29 30 3.98( 24) 7 12 | 10 19 3.95( 18) 3.77( 21) 21 New York Islanders = 3.84 29 31 4.00( 14) 7 13 | 13 18 3.91( 20) 3.77( 20) 23 Carolina Hurricanes = 3.71 27 33 3.99( 17) 8 12 | 12 19 3.74( 22) 3.68( 23) 24 New York Rangers = 3.69 27 33 3.98( 22) 8 12 | 12 18 3.70( 23) 3.68( 24) ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 CENTRAL (west) = 4.28 4.27 NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.31] [ 0.31] [ 0.30] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 4 Nashville Predators = 4.53 34 23 4.04( 6) 12 8 | 19 13 4.54( 4) 4.52( 5) 5 Winnipeg Jets = 4.53 35 24 4.00( 16) 8 9 | 18 14 4.43( 6) 4.65( 4) 7 Dallas Stars = 4.32 34 25 3.98( 23) 6 11 | 12 18 4.29( 10) 4.35( 8) 8 St. Louis Blues = 4.31 34 26 4.00( 13) 9 12 | 14 19 4.33( 9) 4.30( 9) 12 Colorado Avalanche = 4.19 31 27 4.03( 8) 11 13 | 16 16 4.25( 11) 4.14( 12) 14 Minnesota Wild = 4.18 31 27 4.03( 9) 11 11 | 17 15 4.23( 12) 4.14( 13) 19 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.86 25 34 4.04( 5) 6 15 | 10 24 3.70( 24) 4.01( 16) ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 PACIFIC (west) = 3.93 3.93 NHL 2017-2018 through games of 2018 February 18 Sunday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.31] [ 0.31] [ 0.30] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 2 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.82 39 19 4.01( 12) 14 7 | 20 10 4.87( 1) 4.78( 2) 10 Los Angeles Kings = 4.27 31 27 4.02( 10) 4 13 | 11 18 4.17( 14) 4.39( 7) 13 San Jose Sharks = 4.19 32 27 3.96( 28) 8 12 | 11 17 4.17( 13) 4.20( 11) 16 Calgary Flames = 4.00 30 29 4.01( 11) 9 11 | 14 16 4.07( 15) 3.94( 18) 18 Anaheim Ducks = 3.97 29 31 4.05( 3) 10 11 | 14 21 3.94( 19) 4.00( 17) 26 Edmonton Oilers = 3.58 24 34 4.05( 4) 6 16 | 12 22 3.60( 25) 3.55( 26) 27 Vancouver Canucks = 3.52 23 36 4.07( 2) 8 13 | 15 21 3.51( 27) 3.53( 27) 30 Arizona Coyotes = 3.13 17 42 4.11( 1) 4 19 | 9 26 3.03( 30) 3.20( 30) ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ end_ratings FAVORITE Combo Elo Blue UNDERDOG Minnesota Wild 0.03 0.01 0.06 @ New York Islanders Los Angeles Kings 0.10 0.16 0.08 @ Chicago Blackhawks Boston Bruins 0.32 0.17 0.49 @ Calgary Flames Washington Capitals 0.90 1.12 0.73 @ Buffalo Sabres @ Vegas Golden Knights 1.16 1.25 1.08 Anaheim Ducks @ Nashville Predators 1.53 1.49 1.58 Ottawa Senators FAVORITE Combo Elo Blue UNDERDOG endpicks

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