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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2025-2026 ratings through results of 2026 APRIL 8 WEDNESDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.14]                                               [  0.17]       [  0.17]       [  0.08]       [  0.08]
   1  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.76   51  26    3.97(  26)   14  10  |   23  13  |    4.95    1 |    4.96    1 |    4.58    2 |    4.61    5  central
   2  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.67   48  30    4.01(  15)   13  10  |   25  15  |    4.82    2 |    4.70    3 |    4.56    5 |    4.58    7  ATLANTIC
   3  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.66   50  28    4.00(  17)   11  10  |   23  17  |    4.72    3 |    4.73    2 |    4.56    4 |    4.59    6  METROPOLITAN
   4  Buffalo Sabres          =   4.43   48  31    4.03(   8)   12  11  |   19  21  |    4.38    5 |    4.35    7 |    4.60    1 |    4.91    1  ATLANTIC
   5  Montreal Canadiens      =   4.42   46  32    4.02(  13)   15   9  |   23  17  |    4.35    6 |    4.37    5 |    4.58    3 |    4.83    2  ATLANTIC
   6  Dallas Stars            =   4.41   46  32    3.97(  28)   12  11  |   20  16  |    4.47    4 |    4.57    4 |    4.26   10 |    4.22   15  central
   7  Minnesota Wild          =   4.36   45  33    3.96(  30)   14   9  |   21  15  |    4.32    7 |    4.37    6 |    4.38    7 |    4.53    8  central
   8  Ottawa Senators         =   4.31   41  37    4.02(  12)    7  16  |   21  20  |    4.24   11 |    4.27    8 |    4.43    6 |    4.66    3  ATLANTIC
   9  Utah Mammoth            =   4.26   41  36    3.97(  27)    9  14  |   17  19  |    4.30    9 |    4.21    9 |    4.28    9 |    4.42    9  central
  10  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.21   40  39    3.94(  32)    7  14  |   15  20  |    4.30    8 |    4.20   10 |    4.13   13 |    4.07   16  pacific
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.14]                                               [  0.17]       [  0.17]       [  0.08]       [  0.08]
  11  Washington Capitals     =   4.18   40  39    4.02(  14)   11  14  |   18  20  |    4.27   10 |    4.16   11 |    4.10   15 |    4.06   17  METROPOLITAN
  12  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   4.16   40  38    4.03(   9)   10  16  |   17  23  |    4.12   13 |    4.03   15 |    4.36    8 |    4.63    4  METROPOLITAN
  13  Boston Bruins           =   4.15   43  36    4.04(   3)   12  16  |   21  20  |    4.14   12 |    4.08   13 |    4.23   12 |    4.36   11  ATLANTIC
  14  Philadelphia Flyers     =   4.09   40  38    4.02(  11)    8  16  |   15  25  |    4.06   14 |    3.98   17 |    4.24   11 |    4.37   10  METROPOLITAN
  15  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.04   36  42    3.96(  31)    5  20  |   10  25  |    4.06   15 |    4.11   12 |    3.96   18 |    3.92   19  pacific
  16  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   4.00   39  39    4.03(  10)   13  11  |   18  20  |    3.92   19 |    3.98   18 |    4.11   14 |    4.27   14  METROPOLITAN
  17  New Jersey Devils       =   3.99   40  38    4.03(   4)   13  12  |   20  23  |    3.94   18 |    4.07   14 |    3.96   19 |    3.90   21  METROPOLITAN
  18  New York Islanders      =   3.94   42  36    4.03(   7)   12  10  |   20  22  |    3.97   17 |    3.98   16 |    3.86   23 |    3.74   23  METROPOLITAN
  19  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.93   40  38    4.03(   5)   11  15  |   16  27  |    4.00   16 |    3.92   19 |    3.88   22 |    3.75   22  ATLANTIC
  20  New York Rangers        =   3.88   33  46    4.03(   6)    9  15  |   19  25  |    3.85   21 |    3.86   22 |    3.93   20 |    3.95   18  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.14]                                               [  0.17]       [  0.17]       [  0.08]       [  0.08]
  21  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.87   34  43    3.99(  22)    6  21  |   12  26  |    3.82   22 |    3.89   21 |    3.90   21 |    3.91   20  central
  22  Nashville Predators     =   3.84   37  41    3.99(  21)    7  19  |   13  26  |    3.70   25 |    3.76   25 |    4.05   16 |    4.28   12  central
  23  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.80   41  37    3.96(  29)    9  15  |   18  19  |    3.89   20 |    3.83   23 |    3.65   26 |    3.42   27  pacific
  24  St. Louis Blues         =   3.77   33  44    3.98(  24)   14  11  |   16  21  |    3.57   27 |    3.66   27 |    4.01   17 |    4.28   13  central
  25  Florida Panthers        =   3.77   37  41    4.05(   1)   13  14  |   24  20  |    3.72   24 |    3.92   20 |    3.63   27 |    3.41   28  ATLANTIC
  26  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.74   32  45    3.99(  20)    9  15  |   13  25  |    3.77   23 |    3.75   26 |    3.68   24 |    3.52   26  pacific
  27  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   3.64   32  46    4.05(   2)    9  17  |   16  27  |    3.65   26 |    3.77   24 |    3.43   29 |    3.10   30  ATLANTIC
  28  San Jose Sharks         =   3.53   37  40    4.00(  19)   11  15  |   17  23  |    3.42   29 |    3.48   28 |    3.66   25 |    3.66   24  pacific
  29  Calgary Flames          =   3.48   32  45    3.97(  25)   10  13  |   16  21  |    3.39   30 |    3.46   29 |    3.57   28 |    3.56   25  pacific
  30  Seattle Kraken          =   3.45   32  45    3.98(  23)    3  22  |    9  28  |    3.51   28 |    3.46   30 |    3.36   30 |    3.10   31  pacific
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.14]                                               [  0.17]       [  0.17]       [  0.08]       [  0.08]
  31  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.23   28  50    4.01(  16)   10  15  |   12  26  |    3.25   31 |    3.11   31 |    3.28   31 |    3.11   29  central
  32  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.03   22  55    4.00(  18)    5  20  |    9  29  |    3.14   32 |    3.01   32 |    2.79   32 |    2.21   32  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.18       4.17  (  1)      8       4.17  (  1)   4.1653( 0.3603)   4.1627( 0.3774)   4.1731( 0.3077)   4.1677( 0.4631)
   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.08       4.11  (  2)      8       4.11  (  2)   4.1125( 0.2439)   4.1067( 0.2791)   4.0984( 0.2711)   4.1401( 0.2362)
   3  central                 =   4.07       4.06  (  3)      8       4.06  (  3)   4.0630( 0.4795)   4.0461( 0.5551)   4.0656( 0.5808)   4.0933( 0.3941)
   4  pacific                 =   3.66       3.66  (  4)      8       3.66  (  4)   3.6593( 0.3702)   3.6846( 0.3867)   3.6629( 0.3896)   3.5989( 0.4043)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.4086)   4.0000( 0.4349)   4.0000( 0.4349)   4.0000( 0.4349)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT
   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.08       4.11  (  2)      8       4.11  (  2)   4.1125( 0.2439)   4.1067( 0.2791)   4.0984( 0.2711)   4.1401( 0.2362)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.18       4.17  (  1)      8       4.17  (  1)   4.1653( 0.3603)   4.1627( 0.3774)   4.1731( 0.3077)   4.1677( 0.4631)
   3  central                 =   4.07       4.06  (  3)      8       4.06  (  3)   4.0630( 0.4795)   4.0461( 0.5551)   4.0656( 0.5808)   4.0933( 0.3941)
   4  pacific                 =   3.66       3.66  (  4)      8       3.66  (  4)   3.6593( 0.3702)   3.6846( 0.3867)   3.6629( 0.3896)   3.5989( 0.4043)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.4086)   4.0000( 0.4349)   4.0000( 0.4349)   4.0000( 0.4349)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 METROPOLITAN = 4.08 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.14] [ 0.17] [ 0.17] [ 0.08] [ 0.08] 3 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.66 50 28 4.00( 17) 11 10 | 23 17 | 4.72 3 | 4.73 2 | 4.56 4 | 4.59 6 METROPOLITAN 11 Washington Capitals = 4.18 40 39 4.02( 14) 11 14 | 18 20 | 4.27 10 | 4.16 11 | 4.10 15 | 4.06 17 METROPOLITAN 12 Pittsburgh Penguins = 4.16 40 38 4.03( 9) 10 16 | 17 23 | 4.12 13 | 4.03 15 | 4.36 8 | 4.63 4 METROPOLITAN 14 Philadelphia Flyers = 4.09 40 38 4.02( 11) 8 16 | 15 25 | 4.06 14 | 3.98 17 | 4.24 11 | 4.37 10 METROPOLITAN 16 Columbus Blue Jackets = 4.00 39 39 4.03( 10) 13 11 | 18 20 | 3.92 19 | 3.98 18 | 4.11 14 | 4.27 14 METROPOLITAN 17 New Jersey Devils = 3.99 40 38 4.03( 4) 13 12 | 20 23 | 3.94 18 | 4.07 14 | 3.96 19 | 3.90 21 METROPOLITAN 18 New York Islanders = 3.94 42 36 4.03( 7) 12 10 | 20 22 | 3.97 17 | 3.98 16 | 3.86 23 | 3.74 23 METROPOLITAN 20 New York Rangers = 3.88 33 46 4.03( 6) 9 15 | 19 25 | 3.85 21 | 3.86 22 | 3.93 20 | 3.95 18 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.18 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.14] [ 0.17] [ 0.17] [ 0.08] [ 0.08] 2 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.67 48 30 4.01( 15) 13 10 | 25 15 | 4.82 2 | 4.70 3 | 4.56 5 | 4.58 7 ATLANTIC 4 Buffalo Sabres = 4.43 48 31 4.03( 8) 12 11 | 19 21 | 4.38 5 | 4.35 7 | 4.60 1 | 4.91 1 ATLANTIC 5 Montreal Canadiens = 4.42 46 32 4.02( 13) 15 9 | 23 17 | 4.35 6 | 4.37 5 | 4.58 3 | 4.83 2 ATLANTIC 8 Ottawa Senators = 4.31 41 37 4.02( 12) 7 16 | 21 20 | 4.24 11 | 4.27 8 | 4.43 6 | 4.66 3 ATLANTIC 13 Boston Bruins = 4.15 43 36 4.04( 3) 12 16 | 21 20 | 4.14 12 | 4.08 13 | 4.23 12 | 4.36 11 ATLANTIC 19 Detroit Red Wings = 3.93 40 38 4.03( 5) 11 15 | 16 27 | 4.00 16 | 3.92 19 | 3.88 22 | 3.75 22 ATLANTIC 25 Florida Panthers = 3.77 37 41 4.05( 1) 13 14 | 24 20 | 3.72 24 | 3.92 20 | 3.63 27 | 3.41 28 ATLANTIC 27 Toronto Maple Leafs = 3.64 32 46 4.05( 2) 9 17 | 16 27 | 3.65 26 | 3.77 24 | 3.43 29 | 3.10 30 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 central = 4.07 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.14] [ 0.17] [ 0.17] [ 0.08] [ 0.08] 1 Colorado Avalanche = 4.76 51 26 3.97( 26) 14 10 | 23 13 | 4.95 1 | 4.96 1 | 4.58 2 | 4.61 5 central 6 Dallas Stars = 4.41 46 32 3.97( 28) 12 11 | 20 16 | 4.47 4 | 4.57 4 | 4.26 10 | 4.22 15 central 7 Minnesota Wild = 4.36 45 33 3.96( 30) 14 9 | 21 15 | 4.32 7 | 4.37 6 | 4.38 7 | 4.53 8 central 9 Utah Mammoth = 4.26 41 36 3.97( 27) 9 14 | 17 19 | 4.30 9 | 4.21 9 | 4.28 9 | 4.42 9 central 21 Winnipeg Jets = 3.87 34 43 3.99( 22) 6 21 | 12 26 | 3.82 22 | 3.89 21 | 3.90 21 | 3.91 20 central 22 Nashville Predators = 3.84 37 41 3.99( 21) 7 19 | 13 26 | 3.70 25 | 3.76 25 | 4.05 16 | 4.28 12 central 24 St. Louis Blues = 3.77 33 44 3.98( 24) 14 11 | 16 21 | 3.57 27 | 3.66 27 | 4.01 17 | 4.28 13 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.23 28 50 4.01( 16) 10 15 | 12 26 | 3.25 31 | 3.11 31 | 3.28 31 | 3.11 29 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.66 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.14] [ 0.17] [ 0.17] [ 0.08] [ 0.08] 10 Edmonton Oilers = 4.21 40 39 3.94( 32) 7 14 | 15 20 | 4.30 8 | 4.20 10 | 4.13 13 | 4.07 16 pacific 15 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.04 36 42 3.96( 31) 5 20 | 10 25 | 4.06 15 | 4.11 12 | 3.96 18 | 3.92 19 pacific 23 Anaheim Ducks = 3.80 41 37 3.96( 29) 9 15 | 18 19 | 3.89 20 | 3.83 23 | 3.65 26 | 3.42 27 pacific 26 Los Angeles Kings = 3.74 32 45 3.99( 20) 9 15 | 13 25 | 3.77 23 | 3.75 26 | 3.68 24 | 3.52 26 pacific 28 San Jose Sharks = 3.53 37 40 4.00( 19) 11 15 | 17 23 | 3.42 29 | 3.48 28 | 3.66 25 | 3.66 24 pacific 29 Calgary Flames = 3.48 32 45 3.97( 25) 10 13 | 16 21 | 3.39 30 | 3.46 29 | 3.57 28 | 3.56 25 pacific 30 Seattle Kraken = 3.45 32 45 3.98( 23) 3 22 | 9 28 | 3.51 28 | 3.46 30 | 3.36 30 | 3.10 31 pacific 32 Vancouver Canucks = 3.03 22 55 4.00( 18) 5 20 | 9 29 | 3.14 32 | 3.01 32 | 2.79 32 | 2.21 32 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.14 0.17 0.17 0.08 0.08 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 Tampa Bay Lightning 0.11 0.29 0.15 -0.10 -0.33 @ Montreal Canadiens 108 52% 3.03 3.30 6.34 2 @ New York Islanders 0.44 0.49 0.39 0.50 0.72 Toronto Maple Leafs 136 58% 3.33 2.79 6.12 3 Pittsburgh Penguins 0.03 0.01 -0.22 0.32 0.65 @ New Jersey Devils 102 50% 2.87 3.31 6.19 4 @ Ottawa Senators 0.69 0.69 0.53 0.88 1.32 Florida Panthers 161 62% 3.52 2.65 6.17 5 @ Buffalo Sabres 0.57 0.63 0.55 0.57 0.72 Columbus Blue Jacket 148 60% 3.40 2.78 6.18 6 Philadelphia Flyers 0.01 -0.11 -0.12 0.28 0.54 @ Detroit Red Wings 101 50% 2.88 2.93 5.81 7 Carolina Hurricanes 1.29 1.29 1.45 1.20 1.40 @ Chicago Blackhawks 239 70% 2.42 3.68 6.10 8 @ St. Louis Blues 0.04 -0.08 -0.05 0.18 0.45 Winnipeg Jets 103 51% 2.78 2.95 5.73 9 @ Dallas Stars 0.20 0.33 0.38 -0.05 -0.23 Minnesota Wild 115 53% 3.16 2.88 6.05 10 @ Colorado Avalanche 1.42 1.73 1.67 1.09 1.12 Calgary Flames 260 72% 3.92 1.88 5.80 11 @ Utah Mammoth 0.56 0.77 0.62 0.31 0.22 Nashville Predators 148 60% 3.42 2.69 6.12 12 @ Anaheim Ducks 0.40 0.64 0.52 0.07 -0.16 San Jose Sharks 132 57% 3.52 3.10 6.61 13 @ Los Angeles Kings 0.85 0.80 0.91 0.97 1.39 Vancouver Canucks 179 64% 3.52 2.47 5.99 14 Vegas Golden Knights 0.45 0.37 0.48 0.53 0.74 @ Seattle Kraken 137 58% 2.82 3.15 5.97 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 8 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.14 0.17 0.17 0.08 0.08 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.19 0.01 0.14 0.40 0.63 Tampa Bay Lightning 114 53% 3.03 3.30 6.34 2 @ New York Islanders 1.01 1.06 0.96 1.07 1.29 Toronto Maple Leafs 199 67% 3.33 2.79 6.12 3 Pittsburgh Penguins 0.76 0.74 0.51 1.05 1.38 @ New Jersey Devils 168 63% 2.87 3.31 6.19 4 @ Ottawa Senators 1.94 1.94 1.78 2.13 2.58 Florida Panthers 355 78% 3.52 2.65 6.17 5 @ Buffalo Sabres 0.92 0.99 0.90 0.92 1.07 Columbus Blue Jacket 188 65% 3.40 2.78 6.18 6 Philadelphia Flyers 0.82 0.70 0.69 1.09 1.35 @ Detroit Red Wings 176 64% 2.88 2.93 5.81 7 Carolina Hurricanes 1.44 1.44 1.60 1.35 1.54 @ Chicago Blackhawks 262 72% 2.42 3.68 6.10 8 @ St. Louis Blues 0.77 0.65 0.68 0.91 1.18 Winnipeg Jets 170 63% 2.78 2.95 5.73 9 Minnesota Wild 0.30 0.17 0.12 0.55 0.73 @ Dallas Stars 123 55% 3.16 2.88 6.05 10 @ Colorado Avalanche 1.89 2.19 2.14 1.56 1.59 Calgary Flames 345 78% 3.92 1.88 5.80 11 @ Utah Mammoth 0.24 0.46 0.31 -0.01 -0.09 Nashville Predators 119 54% 3.42 2.69 6.12 12 @ Anaheim Ducks 0.12 0.36 0.24 -0.21 -0.44 San Jose Sharks 109 52% 3.52 3.10 6.61 13 @ Los Angeles Kings 1.06 1.01 1.13 1.19 1.61 Vancouver Canucks 206 67% 3.52 2.47 5.99 14 Vegas Golden Knights 0.52 0.44 0.55 0.60 0.81 @ Seattle Kraken 144 59% 2.82 3.15 5.97
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1    Tampa Bay Lightning    0.24   118   54%  @ Montreal Canadiens
    2  @ New York Islanders     0.78   171   63%    Toronto Maple Leafs
    3    Pittsburgh Penguins    0.30   124   55%  @ New Jersey Devils
    4  @ Ottawa Senators        0.62   153   61%    Florida Panthers
    5  @ Buffalo Sabres         0.76   169   63%    Columbus Blue Jacket
    6    Philadelphia Flyers    0.04   103   51%  @ Detroit Red Wings
    7    Carolina Hurricanes    1.73   314   76%  @ Chicago Blackhawks
    8    Winnipeg Jets          0.02   101   50%  @ St. Louis Blues
    9  @ Dallas Stars           0.11   108   52%    Minnesota Wild
   10  @ Colorado Avalanche     1.93   354   78%    Calgary Flames
   11  @ Utah Mammoth           0.57   148   60%    Nashville Predators
   12  @ Anaheim Ducks          0.40   132   57%    San Jose Sharks
   13  @ Los Angeles Kings      0.98   196   66%    Vancouver Canucks
   14    Vegas Golden Knights   0.42   134   57%  @ Seattle Kraken
endfile

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