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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2025 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2025-2026 ratings through results of 2025 DECEMBER 17 WEDNESDAY


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.11]                                               [  0.14]       [  0.09]       [  0.10]       [  0.10]
   1  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.79   24   9    3.96(  26)    5   4  |    8   5  |    4.89    1 |    5.05    1 |    4.55    1 |    5.06    1  central
   2  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.67   22  11    4.01(  13)    4   6  |    9   7  |    4.77    2 |    4.68    2 |    4.51    2 |    4.54    3  METROPOLITAN
   3  Dallas Stars            =   4.57   22  12    4.00(  16)    7   4  |   13   6  |    4.56    4 |    4.61    3 |    4.46    3 |    4.56    2  central
   4  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.47   18  15    4.05(   6)    9   4  |   11   6  |    4.57    3 |    4.43    4 |    4.37    6 |    4.43    4  ATLANTIC
   5  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.40   16  16    4.01(  14)    3   7  |    4  12  |    4.34    6 |    4.36    5 |    4.45    4 |    4.27    7  pacific
   6  Washington Capitals     =   4.30   18  15    4.04(   9)    4   7  |    8  10  |    4.41    5 |    4.30    6 |    4.19   10 |    4.36    5  METROPOLITAN
   7  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.28   16  18    3.98(  22)    2   7  |    6   7  |    4.24    8 |    4.18   10 |    4.39    5 |    4.21    8  pacific
   8  Minnesota Wild          =   4.26   20  14    3.96(  28)    6   4  |   10   6  |    4.31    7 |    4.30    7 |    4.16   13 |    4.32    6  central
   9  Florida Panthers        =   4.25   18  15    4.01(  15)    7   4  |   11   7  |    4.21    9 |    4.25    9 |    4.25    7 |    4.18    9  ATLANTIC
  10  New Jersey Devils       =   4.25   19  15    4.07(   4)    7   7  |   11   8  |    4.21   10 |    4.27    8 |    4.24    8 |    4.07   11  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.11]                                               [  0.14]       [  0.09]       [  0.10]       [  0.10]
  11  Winnipeg Jets           =   4.09   15  18    3.93(  29)    2   7  |    3  11  |    4.07   14 |    4.01   16 |    4.18   12 |    4.04   13  central
  12  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.08   15  17    3.85(  32)    3   4  |    4   5  |    3.92   19 |    4.07   12 |    4.23    9 |    4.10   10  ATLANTIC
  13  Los Angeles Kings       =   4.07   14  19    3.99(  19)    2   9  |    7  11  |    4.03   15 |    3.99   18 |    4.19   11 |    4.00   16  pacific
  14  Ottawa Senators         =   4.05   15  17    4.00(  18)    3   6  |    6   8  |    4.00   18 |    4.02   15 |    4.12   14 |    4.02   14  ATLANTIC
  15  Utah Mammoth            =   4.01   17  19    3.98(  23)    3   6  |    5  10  |    4.00   17 |    3.99   17 |    4.03   16 |    3.99   17  central
  16  Anaheim Ducks           =   4.01   20  14    4.00(  17)    7   5  |   10   7  |    4.19   11 |    4.06   13 |    3.80   22 |    3.92   20  pacific
  17  New York Rangers        =   4.00   16  19    4.03(  10)    4   9  |    5  12  |    3.89   20 |    3.99   20 |    4.11   15 |    4.05   12  METROPOLITAN
  18  New York Islanders      =   3.96   19  15    4.12(   1)   10   6  |   13   7  |    4.01   16 |    4.10   11 |    3.81   21 |    3.98   18  METROPOLITAN
  19  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.95   17  15    4.04(   8)    5   9  |    5  13  |    4.08   13 |    3.99   19 |    3.82   20 |    4.02   15  METROPOLITAN
  20  Boston Bruins           =   3.93   20  14    4.07(   5)    4   6  |   10  11  |    4.08   12 |    4.03   14 |    3.71   28 |    3.95   19  ATLANTIC
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.11]                                               [  0.14]       [  0.09]       [  0.10]       [  0.10]
  21  Montreal Canadiens      =   3.93   17  16    3.97(  25)    2   6  |    8   9  |    3.86   21 |    3.93   21 |    3.99   17 |    3.90   21  ATLANTIC
  22  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.80   19  16    3.89(  31)    3   4  |    7   6  |    3.83   22 |    3.82   22 |    3.79   24 |    3.79   22  ATLANTIC
  23  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.72   13  20    4.03(  11)    6   7  |    7  10  |    3.58   27 |    3.65   25 |    3.92   19 |    3.75   23  pacific
  24  St. Louis Blues         =   3.68   13  22    3.89(  30)    2   4  |    6   8  |    3.48   30 |    3.50   30 |    3.95   18 |    3.57   30  central
  25  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.67   14  18    4.03(  12)    6   4  |    9   8  |    3.59   25 |    3.70   23 |    3.77   25 |    3.74   25  ATLANTIC
  26  Nashville Predators     =   3.67   13  20    4.05(   7)    2   9  |    4  14  |    3.63   24 |    3.60   27 |    3.80   23 |    3.57   28  central
  27  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.67   14  19    4.08(   2)    5   9  |    8  12  |    3.59   26 |    3.68   24 |    3.77   26 |    3.74   24  METROPOLITAN
  28  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.63   14  18    3.96(  27)    4   4  |    5  11  |    3.74   23 |    3.63   26 |    3.55   30 |    3.71   26  METROPOLITAN
  29  Calgary Flames          =   3.56   13  21    3.98(  20)    4   5  |    6  11  |    3.47   31 |    3.51   29 |    3.73   27 |    3.70   27  pacific
  30  San Jose Sharks         =   3.48   17  17    4.08(   3)    6   7  |   11  11  |    3.52   28 |    3.59   28 |    3.35   31 |    3.57   29  pacific
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.11]                                               [  0.14]       [  0.09]       [  0.10]       [  0.10]
  31  Seattle Kraken          =   3.47   12  19    3.98(  21)    2   7  |    7   9  |    3.50   29 |    3.42   31 |    3.57   29 |    3.44   32  pacific
  32  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.30   13  20    3.97(  24)    1   6  |    7  11  |    3.41   32 |    3.29   32 |    3.25   32 |    3.45   31  central
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT

   1  central                 =   4.04       4.05  (  2)      8       4.05  (  2)   4.0463( 0.4930)   4.0445( 0.5272)   4.0422( 0.5927)   4.0460( 0.4072)
   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.04       4.05  (  1)      8       4.05  (  1)   4.0548( 0.3459)   4.0876( 0.3782)   4.0792( 0.3434)   4.0008( 0.3132)
   3  ATLANTIC                =   4.01       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0231( 0.2524)   4.0081( 0.2922)   4.0318( 0.2329)   4.0288( 0.2514)
   4  pacific                 =   3.86       3.88  (  4)      8       3.88  (  4)   3.8758( 0.3645)   3.8597( 0.3758)   3.8468( 0.3471)   3.9244( 0.3902)

       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3630)   4.0000( 0.3922)   4.0000( 0.3922)   4.0000( 0.3324)

      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT

   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.04       4.05  (  1)      8       4.05  (  1)   4.0548( 0.3459)   4.0876( 0.3782)   4.0792( 0.3434)   4.0008( 0.3132)
   3  ATLANTIC                =   4.01       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0231( 0.2524)   4.0081( 0.2922)   4.0318( 0.2329)   4.0288( 0.2514)
   1  central                 =   4.04       4.05  (  2)      8       4.05  (  2)   4.0463( 0.4930)   4.0445( 0.5272)   4.0422( 0.5927)   4.0460( 0.4072)
   4  pacific                 =   3.86       3.88  (  4)      8       3.88  (  4)   3.8758( 0.3645)   3.8597( 0.3758)   3.8468( 0.3471)   3.9244( 0.3902)

       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3630)   4.0000( 0.3922)   4.0000( 0.3922)   4.0000( 0.3324)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 METROPOLITAN = 4.04 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.11] [ 0.14] [ 0.09] [ 0.10] [ 0.10] 2 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.67 22 11 4.01( 13) 4 6 | 9 7 | 4.77 2 | 4.68 2 | 4.51 2 | 4.54 3 METROPOLITAN 6 Washington Capitals = 4.30 18 15 4.04( 9) 4 7 | 8 10 | 4.41 5 | 4.30 6 | 4.19 10 | 4.36 5 METROPOLITAN 10 New Jersey Devils = 4.25 19 15 4.07( 4) 7 7 | 11 8 | 4.21 10 | 4.27 8 | 4.24 8 | 4.07 11 METROPOLITAN 17 New York Rangers = 4.00 16 19 4.03( 10) 4 9 | 5 12 | 3.89 20 | 3.99 20 | 4.11 15 | 4.05 12 METROPOLITAN 18 New York Islanders = 3.96 19 15 4.12( 1) 10 6 | 13 7 | 4.01 16 | 4.10 11 | 3.81 21 | 3.98 18 METROPOLITAN 19 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.95 17 15 4.04( 8) 5 9 | 5 13 | 4.08 13 | 3.99 19 | 3.82 20 | 4.02 15 METROPOLITAN 27 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.67 14 19 4.08( 2) 5 9 | 8 12 | 3.59 26 | 3.68 24 | 3.77 26 | 3.74 24 METROPOLITAN 28 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.63 14 18 3.96( 27) 4 4 | 5 11 | 3.74 23 | 3.63 26 | 3.55 30 | 3.71 26 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 ATLANTIC = 4.01 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.11] [ 0.14] [ 0.09] [ 0.10] [ 0.10] 4 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.47 18 15 4.05( 6) 9 4 | 11 6 | 4.57 3 | 4.43 4 | 4.37 6 | 4.43 4 ATLANTIC 9 Florida Panthers = 4.25 18 15 4.01( 15) 7 4 | 11 7 | 4.21 9 | 4.25 9 | 4.25 7 | 4.18 9 ATLANTIC 12 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.08 15 17 3.85( 32) 3 4 | 4 5 | 3.92 19 | 4.07 12 | 4.23 9 | 4.10 10 ATLANTIC 14 Ottawa Senators = 4.05 15 17 4.00( 18) 3 6 | 6 8 | 4.00 18 | 4.02 15 | 4.12 14 | 4.02 14 ATLANTIC 20 Boston Bruins = 3.93 20 14 4.07( 5) 4 6 | 10 11 | 4.08 12 | 4.03 14 | 3.71 28 | 3.95 19 ATLANTIC 21 Montreal Canadiens = 3.93 17 16 3.97( 25) 2 6 | 8 9 | 3.86 21 | 3.93 21 | 3.99 17 | 3.90 21 ATLANTIC 22 Detroit Red Wings = 3.80 19 16 3.89( 31) 3 4 | 7 6 | 3.83 22 | 3.82 22 | 3.79 24 | 3.79 22 ATLANTIC 25 Buffalo Sabres = 3.67 14 18 4.03( 12) 6 4 | 9 8 | 3.59 25 | 3.70 23 | 3.77 25 | 3.74 25 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 central = 4.04 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.11] [ 0.14] [ 0.09] [ 0.10] [ 0.10] 1 Colorado Avalanche = 4.79 24 9 3.96( 26) 5 4 | 8 5 | 4.89 1 | 5.05 1 | 4.55 1 | 5.06 1 central 3 Dallas Stars = 4.57 22 12 4.00( 16) 7 4 | 13 6 | 4.56 4 | 4.61 3 | 4.46 3 | 4.56 2 central 8 Minnesota Wild = 4.26 20 14 3.96( 28) 6 4 | 10 6 | 4.31 7 | 4.30 7 | 4.16 13 | 4.32 6 central 11 Winnipeg Jets = 4.09 15 18 3.93( 29) 2 7 | 3 11 | 4.07 14 | 4.01 16 | 4.18 12 | 4.04 13 central 15 Utah Mammoth = 4.01 17 19 3.98( 23) 3 6 | 5 10 | 4.00 17 | 3.99 17 | 4.03 16 | 3.99 17 central 24 St. Louis Blues = 3.68 13 22 3.89( 30) 2 4 | 6 8 | 3.48 30 | 3.50 30 | 3.95 18 | 3.57 30 central 26 Nashville Predators = 3.67 13 20 4.05( 7) 2 9 | 4 14 | 3.63 24 | 3.60 27 | 3.80 23 | 3.57 28 central 32 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.30 13 20 3.97( 24) 1 6 | 7 11 | 3.41 32 | 3.29 32 | 3.25 32 | 3.45 31 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.86 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.11] [ 0.14] [ 0.09] [ 0.10] [ 0.10] 5 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.40 16 16 4.01( 14) 3 7 | 4 12 | 4.34 6 | 4.36 5 | 4.45 4 | 4.27 7 pacific 7 Edmonton Oilers = 4.28 16 18 3.98( 22) 2 7 | 6 7 | 4.24 8 | 4.18 10 | 4.39 5 | 4.21 8 pacific 13 Los Angeles Kings = 4.07 14 19 3.99( 19) 2 9 | 7 11 | 4.03 15 | 3.99 18 | 4.19 11 | 4.00 16 pacific 16 Anaheim Ducks = 4.01 20 14 4.00( 17) 7 5 | 10 7 | 4.19 11 | 4.06 13 | 3.80 22 | 3.92 20 pacific 23 Vancouver Canucks = 3.72 13 20 4.03( 11) 6 7 | 7 10 | 3.58 27 | 3.65 25 | 3.92 19 | 3.75 23 pacific 29 Calgary Flames = 3.56 13 21 3.98( 20) 4 5 | 6 11 | 3.47 31 | 3.51 29 | 3.73 27 | 3.70 27 pacific 30 San Jose Sharks = 3.48 17 17 4.08( 3) 6 7 | 11 11 | 3.52 28 | 3.59 28 | 3.35 31 | 3.57 29 pacific 31 Seattle Kraken = 3.47 12 19 3.98( 21) 2 7 | 7 9 | 3.50 29 | 3.42 31 | 3.57 29 | 3.44 32 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.11 0.14 0.09 0.10 0.10 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 Edmonton Oilers 0.24 0.02 0.06 0.58 0.16 @ Boston Bruins 118 54% 3.60 2.91 6.51 2 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.73 0.58 0.73 0.85 0.55 Chicago Blackhawks 167 63% 3.17 3.06 6.23 3 @ Ottawa Senators 0.53 0.40 0.47 0.66 0.41 Pittsburgh Penguins 145 59% 3.19 3.15 6.34 4 @ Washington Capitals 0.33 0.62 0.32 0.07 0.36 Toronto Maple Leafs 127 56% 3.50 2.55 6.06 5 Philadelphia Flyers 0.17 0.35 0.21 -0.05 0.18 @ Buffalo Sabres 113 53% 2.70 3.25 5.95 6 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 0.51 0.68 0.53 0.28 0.53 Los Angeles Kings 143 59% 3.20 2.24 5.44 7 Minnesota Wild 0.49 0.58 0.54 0.29 0.48 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 141 58% 2.50 3.42 5.92 8 New York Rangers 0.21 0.28 0.41 0.06 0.38 @ St. Louis Blues 116 54% 2.31 3.16 5.46 9 @ Calgary Flames 0.20 0.11 0.18 0.26 0.35 Seattle Kraken 115 54% 2.76 2.74 5.50 10 Dallas Stars 0.97 0.90 0.93 1.00 0.89 @ San Jose Sharks 196 66% 2.68 3.48 6.16 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 December 17 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.11 0.14 0.09 0.10 0.10 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 @ Boston Bruins 1.07 1.28 1.24 0.72 1.15 Edmonton Oilers 208 68% 3.60 2.91 6.51 2 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.03 -0.12 0.02 0.14 -0.16 Chicago Blackhawks 102 50% 3.17 3.06 6.23 3 Pittsburgh Penguins 0.62 0.75 0.68 0.49 0.74 @ Ottawa Senators 155 61% 3.19 3.15 6.34 4 @ Washington Capitals 0.99 1.29 0.98 0.73 1.02 Toronto Maple Leafs 199 67% 3.50 2.55 6.06 5 Philadelphia Flyers 0.15 0.32 0.18 -0.07 0.16 @ Buffalo Sabres 111 53% 2.70 3.25 5.95 6 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 0.16 0.33 0.18 -0.07 0.18 Los Angeles Kings 112 53% 3.20 2.24 5.44 7 Minnesota Wild 0.73 0.83 0.78 0.54 0.72 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 167 63% 2.50 3.42 5.92 8 New York Rangers 1.89 1.96 2.08 1.74 2.06 @ St. Louis Blues 350 78% 2.31 3.16 5.46 9 @ Calgary Flames 1.04 0.94 1.01 1.09 1.19 Seattle Kraken 204 67% 2.76 2.74 5.50 10 Dallas Stars 0.55 0.48 0.51 0.58 0.47 @ San Jose Sharks 147 60% 2.68 3.48 6.16
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Boston Bruins          1.15   220   69%    Edmonton Oilers
    2  @ Montreal Canadiens     0.13   110   52%    Chicago Blackhawks
    3    Pittsburgh Penguins    0.10   107   52%  @ Ottawa Senators
    4  @ Washington Capitals    0.62   155   61%    Toronto Maple Leafs
    5    Philadelphia Flyers    0.62   154   61%  @ Buffalo Sabres
    6  @ Tampa Bay Lightning    1.12   215   68%    Los Angeles Kings
    7    Minnesota Wild         0.99   198   66%  @ Columbus Blue Jacket
    8    New York Rangers       0.55   147   60%  @ St. Louis Blues
    9  @ Calgary Flames         0.55   147   59%    Seattle Kraken
   10    Dallas Stars           0.57   149   60%  @ San Jose Sharks
endfile

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