United States Naval Observatory

 

Clock requires Netscape

note: clock runs for 30 seconds; it may skip seconds; to restart click reload


Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


[ My Computer Room ]

[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2025 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2025-2026 ratings through results of 2025 NOVEMBER 26 WEDNESDAY - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.18]                                               [  0.21]       [  0.15]       [  0.17]       [  0.17]
   1  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.75   17   6    3.99(  21)    4   3  |    8   4  |    4.91    1 |    4.97    1 |    4.57    1 |    5.23    1  central
   2  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.53   14   9    4.09(   2)    4   4  |    7   7  |    4.53    3 |    4.54    2 |    4.50    2 |    4.56    4  METROPOLITAN
   3  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.47   14   9    4.04(  11)    7   3  |   10   5  |    4.55    2 |    4.46    4 |    4.38    5 |    4.57    3  ATLANTIC
   4  Dallas Stars            =   4.44   15   9    4.01(  15)    4   3  |    8   4  |    4.37    5 |    4.48    3 |    4.45    3 |    4.60    2  central
   5  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.35   10  13    4.05(  10)    2   6  |    4  11  |    4.33    6 |    4.27    6 |    4.44    4 |    4.22    8  pacific
   6  New Jersey Devils       =   4.34   15   8    4.08(   3)    5   4  |    7   5  |    4.32    7 |    4.44    5 |    4.26    7 |    4.29    6  METROPOLITAN
   7  Washington Capitals     =   4.28   13  11    4.02(  12)    4   5  |    7   6  |    4.42    4 |    4.26    7 |    4.20   12 |    4.35    5  METROPOLITAN
   8  Florida Panthers        =   4.22   12  11    3.97(  23)    6   2  |    7   5  |    4.23    8 |    4.17    9 |    4.24    8 |    4.07   13  ATLANTIC
   9  Winnipeg Jets           =   4.21   12  10    3.88(  31)    1   4  |    2   7  |    4.21    9 |    4.19    8 |    4.20    9 |    4.23    7  central
  10  Los Angeles Kings       =   4.15   11  12    4.07(   5)    3   6  |    5   7  |    4.12   12 |    4.13   11 |    4.20   10 |    4.08   12  pacific
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.18]                                               [  0.21]       [  0.15]       [  0.17]       [  0.17]
  11  Minnesota Wild          =   4.15   13  11    3.94(  26)    4   5  |    6   6  |    4.14   11 |    4.16   10 |    4.14   13 |    4.17    9  central
  12  Ottawa Senators         =   4.12   12  11    3.96(  24)    3   4  |    5   5  |    4.11   13 |    4.11   13 |    4.12   15 |    4.04   15  ATLANTIC
  13  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.10   10  15    4.07(   4)    2   6  |    5   7  |    3.97   17 |    4.02   15 |    4.34    6 |    3.96   17  pacific
  14  Utah Mammoth            =   4.05   12  12    4.00(  16)    3   3  |    5   6  |    4.11   14 |    4.02   16 |    4.03   16 |    3.98   16  central
  15  New York Rangers        =   4.04   12  13    4.02(  13)    2   4  |    3   7  |    3.96   18 |    4.04   14 |    4.12   14 |    4.12   10  METROPOLITAN
  16  Anaheim Ducks           =   4.03   14   9    4.06(   8)    7   3  |    8   5  |    4.17   10 |    4.12   12 |    3.82   21 |    4.08   11  pacific
  17  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.03   10  13    3.79(  32)    0   3  |    2   3  |    3.94   19 |    3.95   20 |    4.20   11 |    3.82   22  ATLANTIC
  18  Montreal Canadiens      =   3.99   12  10    3.90(  29)    0   4  |    3   6  |    3.98   16 |    3.98   18 |    4.00   17 |    3.95   18  ATLANTIC
  19  New York Islanders      =   3.90   13  11    4.06(   9)    4   4  |    8   5  |    3.92   20 |    3.99   17 |    3.80   22 |    3.90   19  METROPOLITAN
  20  Boston Bruins           =   3.89   14  11    4.11(   1)    4   5  |    5  10  |    4.01   15 |    3.97   19 |    3.70   28 |    3.86   21  ATLANTIC
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.18]                                               [  0.21]       [  0.15]       [  0.17]       [  0.17]
  21  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.83   12  10    3.99(  20)    3   5  |    4   8  |    3.80   22 |    3.90   21 |    3.82   20 |    4.07   14  METROPOLITAN
  22  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.78   13  11    3.89(  30)    3   2  |    6   4  |    3.79   23 |    3.79   22 |    3.79   23 |    3.79   23  ATLANTIC
  23  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.77   10  14    4.01(  14)    3   5  |    5   8  |    3.69   25 |    3.70   26 |    3.92   19 |    3.67   27  pacific
  24  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.75   11  11    3.94(  27)    3   3  |    5   6  |    3.91   21 |    3.75   24 |    3.58   30 |    3.87   20  METROPOLITAN
  25  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.72   11  13    4.06(   7)    2   5  |    4   7  |    3.66   27 |    3.75   23 |    3.78   24 |    3.78   24  METROPOLITAN
  26  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.71    9  14    4.00(  18)    3   3  |    5   6  |    3.68   26 |    3.69   27 |    3.77   25 |    3.67   26  ATLANTIC
  27  St. Louis Blues         =   3.71    7  17    3.92(  28)    1   4  |    2   7  |    3.53   29 |    3.52   29 |    3.95   18 |    3.48   30  central
  28  Seattle Kraken          =   3.66   11  12    3.95(  25)    3   3  |    5   5  |    3.69   24 |    3.71   25 |    3.62   29 |    3.77   25  pacific
  29  Nashville Predators     =   3.59    7  16    3.99(  19)    1   6  |    2  10  |    3.51   30 |    3.47   30 |    3.76   26 |    3.24   32  central
  30  Calgary Flames          =   3.54    8  17    4.00(  17)    1   6  |    3   9  |    3.44   31 |    3.44   32 |    3.70   27 |    3.47   31  pacific
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.18]                                               [  0.21]       [  0.15]       [  0.17]       [  0.17]
  31  San Jose Sharks         =   3.45   11  13    4.07(   6)    5   5  |    9   8  |    3.44   32 |    3.56   28 |    3.34   31 |    3.51   29  pacific
  32  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.45   10  13    3.97(  22)    1   5  |    4   7  |    3.56   28 |    3.46   31 |    3.27   32 |    3.65   28  central
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT

   1  central                 =   4.04       4.04  (  2)      8       4.04  (  2)   4.0424( 0.4408)   4.0413( 0.4901)   4.0330( 0.5380)   4.0460( 0.4064)
   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.03       4.05  (  1)      8       4.05  (  1)   4.0511( 0.3017)   4.0654( 0.3151)   4.0823( 0.3011)   4.0073( 0.3095)
   3  ATLANTIC                =   4.01       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0243( 0.2447)   4.0371( 0.2688)   4.0146( 0.2377)   4.0254( 0.2523)
   4  pacific                 =   3.88       3.88  (  4)      8       3.88  (  4)   3.8822( 0.3209)   3.8562( 0.3392)   3.8700( 0.3060)   3.9213( 0.3804)

       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3257)   4.0000( 0.3552)   4.0000( 0.3552)   4.0000( 0.3291)

      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT

   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.03       4.05  (  1)      8       4.05  (  1)   4.0511( 0.3017)   4.0654( 0.3151)   4.0823( 0.3011)   4.0073( 0.3095)
   3  ATLANTIC                =   4.01       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0243( 0.2447)   4.0371( 0.2688)   4.0146( 0.2377)   4.0254( 0.2523)
   1  central                 =   4.04       4.04  (  2)      8       4.04  (  2)   4.0424( 0.4408)   4.0413( 0.4901)   4.0330( 0.5380)   4.0460( 0.4064)
   4  pacific                 =   3.88       3.88  (  4)      8       3.88  (  4)   3.8822( 0.3209)   3.8562( 0.3392)   3.8700( 0.3060)   3.9213( 0.3804)

       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3257)   4.0000( 0.3552)   4.0000( 0.3552)   4.0000( 0.3291)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 METROPOLITAN = 4.03 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.18] [ 0.21] [ 0.15] [ 0.17] [ 0.17] 2 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.53 14 9 4.09( 2) 4 4 | 7 7 | 4.53 3 | 4.54 2 | 4.50 2 | 4.56 4 METROPOLITAN 6 New Jersey Devils = 4.34 15 8 4.08( 3) 5 4 | 7 5 | 4.32 7 | 4.44 5 | 4.26 7 | 4.29 6 METROPOLITAN 7 Washington Capitals = 4.28 13 11 4.02( 12) 4 5 | 7 6 | 4.42 4 | 4.26 7 | 4.20 12 | 4.35 5 METROPOLITAN 15 New York Rangers = 4.04 12 13 4.02( 13) 2 4 | 3 7 | 3.96 18 | 4.04 14 | 4.12 14 | 4.12 10 METROPOLITAN 19 New York Islanders = 3.90 13 11 4.06( 9) 4 4 | 8 5 | 3.92 20 | 3.99 17 | 3.80 22 | 3.90 19 METROPOLITAN 21 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.83 12 10 3.99( 20) 3 5 | 4 8 | 3.80 22 | 3.90 21 | 3.82 20 | 4.07 14 METROPOLITAN 24 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.75 11 11 3.94( 27) 3 3 | 5 6 | 3.91 21 | 3.75 24 | 3.58 30 | 3.87 20 METROPOLITAN 25 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.72 11 13 4.06( 7) 2 5 | 4 7 | 3.66 27 | 3.75 23 | 3.78 24 | 3.78 24 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 ATLANTIC = 4.01 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.18] [ 0.21] [ 0.15] [ 0.17] [ 0.17] 3 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.47 14 9 4.04( 11) 7 3 | 10 5 | 4.55 2 | 4.46 4 | 4.38 5 | 4.57 3 ATLANTIC 8 Florida Panthers = 4.22 12 11 3.97( 23) 6 2 | 7 5 | 4.23 8 | 4.17 9 | 4.24 8 | 4.07 13 ATLANTIC 12 Ottawa Senators = 4.12 12 11 3.96( 24) 3 4 | 5 5 | 4.11 13 | 4.11 13 | 4.12 15 | 4.04 15 ATLANTIC 17 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.03 10 13 3.79( 32) 0 3 | 2 3 | 3.94 19 | 3.95 20 | 4.20 11 | 3.82 22 ATLANTIC 18 Montreal Canadiens = 3.99 12 10 3.90( 29) 0 4 | 3 6 | 3.98 16 | 3.98 18 | 4.00 17 | 3.95 18 ATLANTIC 20 Boston Bruins = 3.89 14 11 4.11( 1) 4 5 | 5 10 | 4.01 15 | 3.97 19 | 3.70 28 | 3.86 21 ATLANTIC 22 Detroit Red Wings = 3.78 13 11 3.89( 30) 3 2 | 6 4 | 3.79 23 | 3.79 22 | 3.79 23 | 3.79 23 ATLANTIC 26 Buffalo Sabres = 3.71 9 14 4.00( 18) 3 3 | 5 6 | 3.68 26 | 3.69 27 | 3.77 25 | 3.67 26 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 central = 4.04 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.18] [ 0.21] [ 0.15] [ 0.17] [ 0.17] 1 Colorado Avalanche = 4.75 17 6 3.99( 21) 4 3 | 8 4 | 4.91 1 | 4.97 1 | 4.57 1 | 5.23 1 central 4 Dallas Stars = 4.44 15 9 4.01( 15) 4 3 | 8 4 | 4.37 5 | 4.48 3 | 4.45 3 | 4.60 2 central 9 Winnipeg Jets = 4.21 12 10 3.88( 31) 1 4 | 2 7 | 4.21 9 | 4.19 8 | 4.20 9 | 4.23 7 central 11 Minnesota Wild = 4.15 13 11 3.94( 26) 4 5 | 6 6 | 4.14 11 | 4.16 10 | 4.14 13 | 4.17 9 central 14 Utah Mammoth = 4.05 12 12 4.00( 16) 3 3 | 5 6 | 4.11 14 | 4.02 16 | 4.03 16 | 3.98 16 central 27 St. Louis Blues = 3.71 7 17 3.92( 28) 1 4 | 2 7 | 3.53 29 | 3.52 29 | 3.95 18 | 3.48 30 central 29 Nashville Predators = 3.59 7 16 3.99( 19) 1 6 | 2 10 | 3.51 30 | 3.47 30 | 3.76 26 | 3.24 32 central 32 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.45 10 13 3.97( 22) 1 5 | 4 7 | 3.56 28 | 3.46 31 | 3.27 32 | 3.65 28 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.88 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.18] [ 0.21] [ 0.15] [ 0.17] [ 0.17] 5 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.35 10 13 4.05( 10) 2 6 | 4 11 | 4.33 6 | 4.27 6 | 4.44 4 | 4.22 8 pacific 10 Los Angeles Kings = 4.15 11 12 4.07( 5) 3 6 | 5 7 | 4.12 12 | 4.13 11 | 4.20 10 | 4.08 12 pacific 13 Edmonton Oilers = 4.10 10 15 4.07( 4) 2 6 | 5 7 | 3.97 17 | 4.02 15 | 4.34 6 | 3.96 17 pacific 16 Anaheim Ducks = 4.03 14 9 4.06( 8) 7 3 | 8 5 | 4.17 10 | 4.12 12 | 3.82 21 | 4.08 11 pacific 23 Vancouver Canucks = 3.77 10 14 4.01( 14) 3 5 | 5 8 | 3.69 25 | 3.70 26 | 3.92 19 | 3.67 27 pacific 28 Seattle Kraken = 3.66 11 12 3.95( 25) 3 3 | 5 5 | 3.69 24 | 3.71 25 | 3.62 29 | 3.77 25 pacific 30 Calgary Flames = 3.54 8 17 4.00( 17) 1 6 | 3 9 | 3.44 31 | 3.44 32 | 3.70 27 | 3.47 31 pacific 31 San Jose Sharks = 3.45 11 13 4.07( 6) 5 5 | 9 8 | 3.44 32 | 3.56 28 | 3.34 31 | 3.51 29 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.18 0.21 0.15 0.17 0.17 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 @ Boston Bruins 0.03 0.26 0.08 -0.26 -0.09 New York Rangers 102 51% 3.02 2.38 5.40 2 @ New York Islanders 0.24 0.33 0.24 0.15 0.00 Philadelphia Flyers 119 54% 3.07 2.60 5.67 3 @ Washington Capitals 0.44 0.69 0.46 0.17 0.71 Toronto Maple Leafs 137 58% 3.97 2.48 6.45 4 @ Carolina Hurricanes 0.51 0.52 0.50 0.47 0.50 Winnipeg Jets 144 59% 3.37 2.89 6.26 5 New Jersey Devils 0.46 0.43 0.59 0.33 0.45 @ Buffalo Sabres 139 58% 2.70 3.43 6.13 6 @ Florida Panthers 0.85 1.00 0.88 0.71 0.77 Calgary Flames 184 65% 3.35 2.32 5.67 7 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 0.15 -0.04 0.16 0.37 0.07 Pittsburgh Penguins 111 53% 2.67 3.25 5.92 8 Tampa Bay Lightning 0.51 0.55 0.52 0.42 0.61 @ Detroit Red Wings 144 59% 2.41 3.55 5.96 9 @ Chicago Blackhawks 0.04 0.26 0.15 -0.31 0.59 Nashville Predators 103 51% 3.65 2.21 5.86 10 Ottawa Senators 0.23 0.37 0.44 0.00 0.39 @ St. Louis Blues 118 54% 2.60 3.72 6.32 11 Colorado Avalanche 0.43 0.56 0.66 0.26 0.89 @ Minnesota Wild 136 58% 2.25 3.66 5.91 12 @ Dallas Stars 0.56 0.47 0.62 0.59 0.80 Utah Mammoth 150 60% 3.28 2.63 5.91 13 @ Vegas Golden Knights 0.54 0.55 0.45 0.61 0.44 Montreal Canadiens 148 60% 3.59 3.00 6.59 14 @ Anaheim Ducks 0.05 0.26 0.14 -0.21 0.17 Los Angeles Kings 104 51% 3.39 2.63 6.02 15 Vancouver Canucks 0.14 0.04 -0.01 0.40 -0.01 @ San Jose Sharks 111 53% 3.48 2.99 6.47 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.18 0.21 0.15 0.17 0.17 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 New York Rangers 0.17 -0.06 0.12 0.46 0.29 @ Boston Bruins 113 53% 3.02 2.38 5.40 2 Philadelphia Flyers 0.38 0.29 0.38 0.47 0.62 @ New York Islanders 132 57% 3.07 2.60 5.67 3 @ Washington Capitals 2.06 2.31 2.09 1.79 2.33 Toronto Maple Leafs 402 80% 3.97 2.48 6.45 4 @ Carolina Hurricanes 0.44 0.46 0.44 0.40 0.44 Winnipeg Jets 137 58% 3.37 2.89 6.26 5 @ Buffalo Sabres 0.43 0.46 0.30 0.56 0.44 New Jersey Devils 137 58% 2.70 3.43 6.13 6 @ Florida Panthers 1.54 1.68 1.57 1.39 1.45 Calgary Flames 290 74% 3.35 2.32 5.67 7 Pittsburgh Penguins 0.51 0.70 0.50 0.29 0.59 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 145 59% 2.67 3.25 5.92 8 Tampa Bay Lightning 1.21 1.25 1.22 1.12 1.31 @ Detroit Red Wings 233 70% 2.41 3.55 5.96 9 @ Chicago Blackhawks 1.90 2.12 2.01 1.55 2.45 Nashville Predators 364 78% 3.65 2.21 5.86 10 Ottawa Senators 1.36 1.50 1.57 1.13 1.51 @ St. Louis Blues 258 72% 2.60 3.72 6.32 11 Colorado Avalanche 1.65 1.78 1.88 1.48 2.11 @ Minnesota Wild 311 76% 2.25 3.66 5.91 12 @ Dallas Stars 0.93 0.84 0.98 0.96 1.17 Utah Mammoth 194 66% 3.28 2.63 5.91 13 Montreal Canadiens 0.21 0.20 0.30 0.14 0.31 @ Vegas Golden Knights 117 54% 3.59 3.00 6.59 14 @ Anaheim Ducks 0.65 0.85 0.73 0.38 0.76 Los Angeles Kings 159 61% 3.39 2.63 6.02 15 @ San Jose Sharks 0.51 0.61 0.66 0.25 0.67 Vancouver Canucks 145 59% 3.48 2.99 6.47
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Boston Bruins          1.58   298   75%    New York Rangers
    2  @ New York Islanders     0.11   109   52%    Philadelphia Flyers
    3  @ Washington Capitals    0.68   163   62%    Toronto Maple Leafs
    4  @ Carolina Hurricanes    0.72   168   63%    Winnipeg Jets
    5    New Jersey Devils      0.52   146   59%  @ Buffalo Sabres
    6  @ Florida Panthers       1.03   207   67%    Calgary Flames
    7    Pittsburgh Penguins    0.38   131   57%  @ Columbus Blue Jacket
    8    Tampa Bay Lightning    0.25   120   54%  @ Detroit Red Wings
    9  @ Chicago Blackhawks     1.16   225   69%    Nashville Predators
   10    Ottawa Senators        1.32   251   72%  @ St. Louis Blues
   11    Colorado Avalanche     1.60   300   75%  @ Minnesota Wild
   12  @ Dallas Stars           0.61   154   61%    Utah Mammoth
   13  @ Vegas Golden Knights   0.47   141   58%    Montreal Canadiens
   14  @ Anaheim Ducks          0.89   188   65%    Los Angeles Kings
   15  @ San Jose Sharks        0.57   151   60%    Vancouver Canucks
endfile

Top_of_Page