United States Naval Observatory
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"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the manpower for that war. The policies - determining who would be drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic disgrace. I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable (someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are too good to risk. I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and National Guard units. Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."
NFL 2025 Ratings through results of 2025 SEPTEMBER 29 MONDAY - WEEK 4
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) DIVISION AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
(3) teams listed by DIVISION
(listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 2 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would be
favored by 4 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by 8 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 14.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 2 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
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The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
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The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file
where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into
account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80]
1 Philadelphia Eagles = 27.61 4 0 0 21.28( 9) 2 0 0 | 3 0 0 | 27.04 1 | 28.30 1 | 27.93 1 | 27.58 2 (NFC EAST)
2 Buffalo Bills = 25.65 4 0 0 14.74( 32) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 25.31 5 | 25.93 2 | 25.94 4 | 25.46 4 (afc east)
3 Detroit Lions = 25.64 3 1 0 21.28( 8) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 26.12 2 | 25.53 3 | 25.49 5 | 29.84 1 (NFC NORTH)
4 Kansas City Chiefs = 25.64 2 2 0 21.69( 5) 1 1 0 | 1 2 0 | 25.85 3 | 25.15 4 | 26.16 3 | 26.71 3 (afc west)
5 Baltimore Ravens = 25.48 1 3 0 23.55( 2) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 25.66 4 | 24.49 5 | 26.94 2 | 25.07 5 (afc north)
6 Green Bay Packers = 24.24 2 1 1 20.28( 17) 2 0 0 | 2 0 0 | 24.29 6 | 24.24 6 | 24.33 7 | 24.91 6 (NFC NORTH)
7 Washington Redskins = 23.93 2 2 0 19.11( 24) 0 1 0 | 0 1 0 | 24.00 7 | 23.38 7 | 24.62 6 | 24.00 7 (NFC EAST)
8 Denver Broncos = 22.63 2 2 0 18.83( 25) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 22.97 8 | 22.43 8 | 22.59 8 | 23.79 8 (afc west)
9 Minnesota Vikings = 21.50 2 2 0 18.81( 26) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 21.96 9 | 20.90 12 | 21.71 9 | 21.72 14 (NFC NORTH)
10 Los Angeles Rams = 21.49 3 1 0 19.61( 20) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 21.69 11 | 21.94 10 | 20.90 12 | 23.66 9 (NFC WEST)
NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80]
11 Los Angeles Chargers = 21.48 3 1 0 21.50( 7) 2 0 0 | 2 0 0 | 21.76 10 | 22.00 9 | 20.72 14 | 23.58 10 (afc west)
12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 21.47 3 1 0 20.87( 14) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 21.10 12 | 21.88 11 | 21.47 11 | 20.96 16 (NFC SOUTH)
13 Houston Texans = 20.62 1 3 0 19.17( 23) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 21.03 13 | 19.97 17 | 20.87 13 | 20.99 15 (afc south)
14 San Francisco 49ers = 20.40 3 1 0 17.33( 29) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 19.97 16 | 20.88 13 | 20.34 15 | 19.57 18 (NFC WEST)
15 Pittsburgh Steelers = 20.38 3 1 0 19.77( 19) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 20.15 15 | 20.68 15 | 20.32 16 | 20.81 17 (afc north)
16 Cincinnati Bengals = 20.36 2 2 0 21.59( 6) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 19.06 20 | 20.40 16 | 21.70 10 | 16.52 24 (afc north)
17 Seattle Seahawks = 20.24 3 1 0 18.23( 27) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.90 14 | 20.76 14 | 19.01 18 | 23.46 11 (NFC WEST)
18 Chicago Bears = 19.77 2 2 0 20.19( 18) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 19.35 18 | 19.81 18 | 20.14 17 | 19.16 21 (NFC NORTH)
19 Arizona Cardinals = 19.00 2 2 0 17.07( 30) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 18.95 22 | 19.10 21 | 18.90 19 | 19.21 19 (NFC WEST)
20 Jacksonville Jaguars = 18.92 3 1 0 19.52( 21) 0 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 19.34 19 | 19.55 19 | 17.70 23 | 22.24 13 (afc south)
NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80]
21 Indianapolis Colts = 18.90 3 1 0 18.22( 28) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 19.72 17 | 19.27 20 | 17.53 24 | 22.39 12 (afc south)
22 New England Patriots = 18.74 2 2 0 15.40( 31) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 19.04 21 | 18.40 23 | 18.70 20 | 18.64 22 (afc east)
23 Atlanta Falcons = 18.73 2 2 0 20.78( 15) 2 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 18.53 23 | 19.06 22 | 18.53 21 | 19.19 20 (NFC SOUTH)
24 Las Vegas Raiders = 17.88 1 3 0 20.88( 13) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 17.63 24 | 17.81 24 | 18.11 22 | 16.15 25 (afc west)
25 Carolina Panthers = 16.41 1 3 0 20.93( 11) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 16.33 26 | 16.58 25 | 16.18 25 | 14.86 27 (NFC SOUTH)
26 Dallas Cowboys = 16.33 1 2 1 21.95( 3) 0 1 1 | 0 1 1 | 16.46 25 | 16.36 26 | 16.01 27 | 16.64 23 (NFC EAST)
27 New York Giants = 16.10 1 3 0 21.75( 4) 0 2 0 | 1 2 0 | 16.05 27 | 16.07 27 | 16.02 26 | 15.20 26 (NFC EAST)
28 Cleveland Browns = 15.24 1 3 0 24.00( 1) 1 2 0 | 1 3 0 | 14.90 28 | 15.50 28 | 15.11 28 | 13.10 29 (afc north)
29 Miami Dolphins = 14.74 1 3 0 19.35( 22) 0 1 0 | 0 1 0 | 14.54 30 | 14.61 29 | 14.88 30 | 12.86 30 (afc east)
30 New York Jets = 14.67 0 4 0 20.53( 16) 0 1 0 | 0 3 0 | 14.77 29 | 14.11 30 | 14.88 29 | 13.62 28 (afc east)
NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80]
31 Tennessee Titans = 13.95 0 4 0 20.92( 12) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 13.62 31 | 13.32 31 | 14.52 31 | 8.81 32 (afc south)
32 New Orleans Saints = 11.87 0 4 0 21.20( 10) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 11.92 32 | 11.60 32 | 11.77 32 | 9.31 31 (NFC SOUTH)
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
endfileDivisional Rankings
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the "simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",) and the WIN50%. The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s) in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go away from the middle in either direction, up or down. This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The "simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally no matter where they are relative to the middle. Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed. 4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1 5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1 6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1 7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1 8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1 9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1 10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1 11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1 12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1 13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean". The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% 1 (NFC NORTH) = 22.82 22.79 ( 1) 4 22.79 ( 1) 2 (afc west) = 21.96 21.91 ( 2) 4 21.91 ( 2) 3 (NFC EAST) = 20.70 20.99 ( 3) 4 20.99 ( 3) 4 (afc north) = 20.37 20.37 ( 4) 4 20.37 ( 4) 5 (NFC WEST) = 20.29 20.28 ( 5) 4 20.28 ( 5) 6 (afc south) = 18.37 18.10 ( 7) 4 18.10 ( 7) 7 (afc east) = 17.88 18.45 ( 6) 4 18.45 ( 6) 8 (NFC SOUTH) = 17.27 17.12 ( 8) 4 17.12 ( 8) DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% 3 (NFC EAST) = 20.70 20.99 ( 3) 4 20.99 ( 3) 1 (NFC NORTH) = 22.82 22.79 ( 1) 4 22.79 ( 1) 8 (NFC SOUTH) = 17.27 17.12 ( 8) 4 17.12 ( 8) 5 (NFC WEST) = 20.29 20.28 ( 5) 4 20.28 ( 5) 7 (afc east) = 17.88 18.45 ( 6) 4 18.45 ( 6) 4 (afc north) = 20.37 20.37 ( 4) 4 20.37 ( 4) 6 (afc south) = 18.37 18.10 ( 7) 4 18.10 ( 7) 2 (afc west) = 21.96 21.91 ( 2) 4 21.91 ( 2) ______________________________________________________________________________________________________By Division
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 (NFC EAST) = 20.70 NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80] 1 Philadelphia Eagles = 27.61 4 0 0 21.28( 9) 2 0 0 | 3 0 0 | 27.04 1 | 28.30 1 | 27.93 1 | 27.58 2 (NFC EAST) 7 Washington Redskins = 23.93 2 2 0 19.11( 24) 0 1 0 | 0 1 0 | 24.00 7 | 23.38 7 | 24.62 6 | 24.00 7 (NFC EAST) 26 Dallas Cowboys = 16.33 1 2 1 21.95( 3) 0 1 1 | 0 1 1 | 16.46 25 | 16.36 26 | 16.01 27 | 16.64 23 (NFC EAST) 27 New York Giants = 16.10 1 3 0 21.75( 4) 0 2 0 | 1 2 0 | 16.05 27 | 16.07 27 | 16.02 26 | 15.20 26 (NFC EAST) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 (NFC NORTH) = 22.82 NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80] 3 Detroit Lions = 25.64 3 1 0 21.28( 8) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 26.12 2 | 25.53 3 | 25.49 5 | 29.84 1 (NFC NORTH) 6 Green Bay Packers = 24.24 2 1 1 20.28( 17) 2 0 0 | 2 0 0 | 24.29 6 | 24.24 6 | 24.33 7 | 24.91 6 (NFC NORTH) 9 Minnesota Vikings = 21.50 2 2 0 18.81( 26) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 21.96 9 | 20.90 12 | 21.71 9 | 21.72 14 (NFC NORTH) 18 Chicago Bears = 19.77 2 2 0 20.19( 18) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 19.35 18 | 19.81 18 | 20.14 17 | 19.16 21 (NFC NORTH) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 8 (NFC SOUTH) = 17.27 NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80] 12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 21.47 3 1 0 20.87( 14) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 21.10 12 | 21.88 11 | 21.47 11 | 20.96 16 (NFC SOUTH) 23 Atlanta Falcons = 18.73 2 2 0 20.78( 15) 2 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 18.53 23 | 19.06 22 | 18.53 21 | 19.19 20 (NFC SOUTH) 25 Carolina Panthers = 16.41 1 3 0 20.93( 11) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 16.33 26 | 16.58 25 | 16.18 25 | 14.86 27 (NFC SOUTH) 32 New Orleans Saints = 11.87 0 4 0 21.20( 10) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 11.92 32 | 11.60 32 | 11.77 32 | 9.31 31 (NFC SOUTH) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 (NFC WEST) = 20.29 NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80] 10 Los Angeles Rams = 21.49 3 1 0 19.61( 20) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 21.69 11 | 21.94 10 | 20.90 12 | 23.66 9 (NFC WEST) 14 San Francisco 49ers = 20.40 3 1 0 17.33( 29) 0 0 0 | 0 0 0 | 19.97 16 | 20.88 13 | 20.34 15 | 19.57 18 (NFC WEST) 17 Seattle Seahawks = 20.24 3 1 0 18.23( 27) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.90 14 | 20.76 14 | 19.01 18 | 23.46 11 (NFC WEST) 19 Arizona Cardinals = 19.00 2 2 0 17.07( 30) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 18.95 22 | 19.10 21 | 18.90 19 | 19.21 19 (NFC WEST) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 (afc east) = 17.88 NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80] 2 Buffalo Bills = 25.65 4 0 0 14.74( 32) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 25.31 5 | 25.93 2 | 25.94 4 | 25.46 4 (afc east) 22 New England Patriots = 18.74 2 2 0 15.40( 31) 0 0 0 | 0 1 0 | 19.04 21 | 18.40 23 | 18.70 20 | 18.64 22 (afc east) 29 Miami Dolphins = 14.74 1 3 0 19.35( 22) 0 1 0 | 0 1 0 | 14.54 30 | 14.61 29 | 14.88 30 | 12.86 30 (afc east) 30 New York Jets = 14.67 0 4 0 20.53( 16) 0 1 0 | 0 3 0 | 14.77 29 | 14.11 30 | 14.88 29 | 13.62 28 (afc east) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 (afc north) = 20.37 NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80] 5 Baltimore Ravens = 25.48 1 3 0 23.55( 2) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 25.66 4 | 24.49 5 | 26.94 2 | 25.07 5 (afc north) 15 Pittsburgh Steelers = 20.38 3 1 0 19.77( 19) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 20.15 15 | 20.68 15 | 20.32 16 | 20.81 17 (afc north) 16 Cincinnati Bengals = 20.36 2 2 0 21.59( 6) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 19.06 20 | 20.40 16 | 21.70 10 | 16.52 24 (afc north) 28 Cleveland Browns = 15.24 1 3 0 24.00( 1) 1 2 0 | 1 3 0 | 14.90 28 | 15.50 28 | 15.11 28 | 13.10 29 (afc north) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 (afc south) = 18.37 NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80] 13 Houston Texans = 20.62 1 3 0 19.17( 23) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 21.03 13 | 19.97 17 | 20.87 13 | 20.99 15 (afc south) 20 Jacksonville Jaguars = 18.92 3 1 0 19.52( 21) 0 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 19.34 19 | 19.55 19 | 17.70 23 | 22.24 13 (afc south) 21 Indianapolis Colts = 18.90 3 1 0 18.22( 28) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 19.72 17 | 19.27 20 | 17.53 24 | 22.39 12 (afc south) 31 Tennessee Titans = 13.95 0 4 0 20.92( 12) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 13.62 31 | 13.32 31 | 14.52 31 | 8.81 32 (afc south) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 (afc west) = 21.96 NFL 2025 through games of 2025 September 29 Monday - Week 4 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 3.88] [ 3.92] [ 3.93] [ 3.80] [ 3.80] 4 Kansas City Chiefs = 25.64 2 2 0 21.69( 5) 1 1 0 | 1 2 0 | 25.85 3 | 25.15 4 | 26.16 3 | 26.71 3 (afc west) 8 Denver Broncos = 22.63 2 2 0 18.83( 25) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 22.97 8 | 22.43 8 | 22.59 8 | 23.79 8 (afc west) 11 Los Angeles Chargers = 21.48 3 1 0 21.50( 7) 2 0 0 | 2 0 0 | 21.76 10 | 22.00 9 | 20.72 14 | 23.58 10 (afc west) 24 Las Vegas Raiders = 17.88 1 3 0 20.88( 13) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 17.63 24 | 17.81 24 | 18.11 22 | 16.15 25 (afc west) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ================================================================================================================== @ Los Angeles Rams 4.98 5.63 4.99 4.36 7.89 San Francisco 49ers 210 68% 41.07 N Minnesota Vikings 6.26 7.05 5.40 6.60 8.62 @ Cleveland Browns 251 71% 42.83 @ New York Jets 2.23 2.23 1.68 2.67 0.78 Dallas Cowboys 140 58% 58.63 @ Philadelphia Eagles 8.86 7.99 9.80 9.14 7.60 Denver Broncos 356 78% 44.42 @ Baltimore Ravens 8.75 8.55 8.45 9.88 7.89 Houston Texans 351 78% 45.28 @ Buffalo Bills 10.80 10.18 11.46 11.04 10.63 New England Patriots 458 82% 48.46 @ Carolina Panthers 5.55 5.71 5.91 5.10 5.80 Miami Dolphins 227 69% 47.22 Detroit Lions 1.39 3.15 1.20 -0.02 9.52 @ Cincinnati Bengals 124 55% 51.84 @ Indianapolis Colts 4.91 6.01 5.39 3.22 10.04 Las Vegas Raiders 208 67% 48.61 New York Giants 0.35 0.22 0.53 0.45 2.09 @ New Orleans Saints 105 51% 41.39 @ Arizona Cardinals 8.93 9.25 9.71 8.19 14.20 Tennessee Titans 359 78% 41.16 @ Los Angeles Chargers 1.43 1.67 2.55 -0.10 3.39 Washington Redskins 124 55% 44.59 @ Seattle Seahawks 2.66 3.71 2.82 1.35 6.30 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 150 60% 45.76 Kansas City Chiefs 2.83 2.60 1.66 4.66 0.66 @ Jacksonville Jaguars 154 61% 41.31 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS based on HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS for EACH TEAM @ Los Angeles Rams 6.40 7.05 6.41 5.77 9.31 San Francisco 49ers 256 72% 41.07 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS N Minnesota Vikings 8.29 9.08 7.43 8.62 10.65 @ Cleveland Browns 330 77% 42.83 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Dallas Cowboys 3.02 3.02 3.57 2.57 4.46 @ New York Jets 158 61% 58.63 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Philadelphia Eagles 4.14 3.27 5.08 4.43 2.88 Denver Broncos 186 65% 44.42 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Baltimore Ravens 8.19 7.99 7.89 9.32 7.33 Houston Texans 326 77% 45.28 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Buffalo Bills 3.77 3.15 4.43 4.01 3.60 New England Patriots 176 64% 48.46 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Carolina Panthers 16.11 16.27 16.47 15.66 16.36 Miami Dolphins 881 90% 47.22 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Detroit Lions 10.49 12.24 10.30 9.08 18.62 @ Cincinnati Bengals 440 81% 51.84 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Indianapolis Colts 14.31 15.40 14.78 12.62 19.44 Las Vegas Raiders 710 88% 48.61 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS New York Giants 2.83 2.70 3.01 2.93 4.57 @ New Orleans Saints 153 61% 41.39 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Arizona Cardinals 14.71 15.02 15.49 13.96 19.98 Tennessee Titans 745 88% 41.16 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Los Angeles Chargers 9.13 9.37 10.26 7.61 11.09 Washington Redskins 369 79% 44.59 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Seattle Seahawks 6.02 7.07 6.18 4.71 9.67 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 243 71% 45.76 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Jacksonville Jaguars 1.10 1.33 2.27 -0.73 3.27 Kansas City Chiefs 118 54% 41.31 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG 1 @ Los Angeles Rams 5.33 220 69% San Francisco 49ers 2 N Minnesota Vikings 8.78 352 78% @ Cleveland Browns 3 Dallas Cowboys 0.49 108 52% @ New York Jets 4 @ Philadelphia Eagles 8.16 324 76% Denver Broncos 5 @ Baltimore Ravens 2.64 149 60% Houston Texans 6 @ Buffalo Bills 11.04 472 83% New England Patriots 7 @ Carolina Panthers 7.25 287 74% Miami Dolphins 8 Detroit Lions 8.23 328 77% @ Cincinnati Bengals 9 @ Indianapolis Colts 14.47 722 88% Las Vegas Raiders 10 New York Giants 1.92 134 57% @ New Orleans Saints 11 @ Arizona Cardinals 17.89 1070 91% Tennessee Titans 12 @ Los Angeles Chargers 7.41 293 75% Washington Redskins 13 @ Seattle Seahawks 8.41 335 77% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 @ Jacksonville Jaguars 8.89 357 78% Kansas City Chiefs endfileTop_of_Page