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Jeff Sagarin's^tm NFL Ratings

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my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin



"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the
manpower for that war.  The policies - determining who would be
drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would
escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic
disgrace.  I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These
young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable
(someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are
too good to risk.  I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful
and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably
healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and
National Guard units.  Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw
class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that
all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."


NFL 2024 Ratings through results of 2025 JANUARY 19 SUNDAY - DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.


To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  2  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would be
favored by  4  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by  8  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 14.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 2 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file
   where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into
   account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 1 Detroit Lions = 28.34 15 3 0 20.67( 10) 5 2 0 | 7 3 0 | 28.21 3 | 28.26 2 | 29.84 1 | 31.10 3 (NFC NORTH) 2 Buffalo Bills = 28.20 15 4 0 20.34( 15) 3 2 0 | 7 3 0 | 28.24 2 | 27.90 3 | 29.73 3 | 31.25 2 (afc east) 3 Baltimore Ravens = 28.20 13 6 0 20.94( 7) 4 3 0 | 8 3 0 | 28.83 1 | 27.41 4 | 29.81 2 | 31.75 1 (afc north) 4 Philadelphia Eagles = 27.75 16 3 0 19.21( 26) 7 1 0 | 7 2 0 | 27.92 4 | 28.28 1 | 28.21 4 | 29.60 4 (NFC EAST) 5 Green Bay Packers = 25.43 11 7 0 20.94( 5) 1 6 0 | 4 6 0 | 25.64 5 | 24.96 6 | 26.58 5 | 26.79 5 (NFC NORTH) 6 Kansas City Chiefs = 24.20 16 2 0 19.75( 21) 2 1 0 | 8 2 0 | 22.89 9 | 26.38 5 | 24.49 6 | 25.74 6 (afc west) 7 Washington Redskins = 23.31 14 5 0 19.33( 25) 3 2 0 | 4 3 0 | 23.27 6 | 23.28 8 | 23.85 7 | 25.62 7 (NFC EAST) 8 Los Angeles Rams = 22.66 11 8 0 21.25( 2) 3 4 0 | 4 6 0 | 22.95 8 | 22.25 10 | 23.19 9 | 23.59 9 (NFC WEST) 9 Minnesota Vikings = 22.53 14 4 0 20.27( 16) 2 4 0 | 4 4 0 | 21.42 14 | 23.36 7 | 23.33 8 | 24.47 8 (NFC NORTH) 10 Cincinnati Bengals = 22.35 9 8 0 19.15( 29) 0 5 0 | 1 6 0 | 22.73 10 | 21.74 12 | 22.96 10 | 23.37 11 (afc north) NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 22.34 10 8 0 19.13( 30) 3 3 0 | 4 4 0 | 23.26 7 | 21.93 11 | 22.16 12 | 23.01 12 (NFC SOUTH) 12 Houston Texans = 21.98 11 8 0 20.24( 17) 1 6 0 | 3 6 0 | 21.73 12 | 22.26 9 | 22.21 11 | 21.68 15 (afc south) 13 Los Angeles Chargers = 21.51 11 7 0 19.10( 31) 1 3 0 | 3 5 0 | 21.47 13 | 21.29 14 | 22.02 13 | 23.58 10 (afc west) 14 Denver Broncos = 21.43 10 8 0 19.87( 20) 1 4 0 | 2 7 0 | 22.29 11 | 21.10 16 | 21.05 16 | 21.82 14 (afc west) 15 Seattle Seahawks = 21.37 10 7 0 20.62( 11) 1 5 0 | 3 5 0 | 21.22 15 | 21.28 15 | 21.83 14 | 22.32 13 (NFC WEST) 16 Miami Dolphins = 20.72 8 9 0 19.20( 27) 1 3 0 | 1 5 0 | 21.06 17 | 19.83 19 | 21.45 15 | 21.30 16 (afc east) 17 Arizona Cardinals = 20.50 8 9 0 21.05( 3) 1 6 0 | 3 8 0 | 21.16 16 | 19.83 18 | 20.57 17 | 21.19 17 (NFC WEST) 18 Pittsburgh Steelers = 20.30 10 8 0 20.75( 9) 3 5 0 | 5 5 0 | 19.95 18 | 21.30 13 | 19.58 18 | 19.32 18 (afc north) 19 San Francisco 49ers = 19.54 6 11 0 21.59( 1) 0 7 0 | 2 9 0 | 19.38 19 | 20.37 17 | 18.65 19 | 16.66 20 (NFC WEST) 20 New York Jets = 18.20 5 12 0 20.14( 19) 0 4 0 | 2 7 0 | 18.31 20 | 17.99 21 | 18.03 21 | 16.64 21 (afc east) NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 21 Chicago Bears = 17.73 5 12 0 20.99( 4) 2 6 0 | 2 8 0 | 17.47 21 | 16.88 24 | 18.55 20 | 18.03 19 (NFC NORTH) 22 Atlanta Falcons = 17.48 8 9 0 18.92( 32) 1 3 0 | 3 6 0 | 17.14 22 | 18.11 20 | 16.72 22 | 16.26 22 (NFC SOUTH) 23 Dallas Cowboys = 17.06 7 10 0 20.40( 14) 1 6 0 | 2 7 0 | 16.49 24 | 17.57 23 | 16.61 23 | 15.99 23 (NFC EAST) 24 Indianapolis Colts = 17.02 8 9 0 19.63( 23) 0 4 0 | 1 7 0 | 16.54 23 | 17.63 22 | 16.37 24 | 15.64 24 (afc south) 25 Jacksonville Jaguars = 15.85 4 13 0 19.67( 22) 0 5 0 | 0 8 0 | 15.75 25 | 15.24 25 | 15.94 25 | 15.08 25 (afc south) 26 New Orleans Saints = 14.31 5 12 0 19.17( 28) 0 5 0 | 0 9 0 | 14.03 28 | 14.86 26 | 13.08 28 | 12.47 27 (NFC SOUTH) 27 New England Patriots = 14.29 4 13 0 20.41( 13) 2 2 0 | 2 7 0 | 14.36 27 | 13.64 27 | 13.98 26 | 13.70 26 (afc east) 28 Las Vegas Raiders = 13.99 4 13 0 20.42( 12) 1 4 0 | 1 10 0 | 14.46 26 | 13.39 30 | 13.12 27 | 12.22 28 (afc west) 29 Tennessee Titans = 13.47 3 14 0 20.78( 8) 0 6 0 | 2 8 0 | 13.54 29 | 13.62 28 | 12.21 29 | 9.99 31 (afc south) 30 Cleveland Browns = 13.19 3 14 0 20.94( 6) 1 6 0 | 1 9 0 | 13.43 30 | 13.58 29 | 11.27 31 | 7.80 32 (afc north) NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 31 New York Giants = 12.80 3 14 0 20.23( 18) 0 7 0 | 1 8 0 | 13.09 31 | 12.68 31 | 11.48 30 | 10.67 30 (NFC EAST) 32 Carolina Panthers = 11.97 5 12 0 19.42( 24) 0 4 0 | 0 8 0 | 11.74 32 | 11.83 32 | 11.14 32 | 11.35 29 (NFC SOUTH) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the "simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",) and the WIN50%. The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s) in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go away from the middle in either direction, up or down. This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The "simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally no matter where they are relative to the middle. Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed. 4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1 5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1 6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1 7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1 8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1 9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1 10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1 11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1 12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1 13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean". The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.

DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% 1 (NFC NORTH) = 23.67 23.51 ( 1) 4 23.51 ( 1) 2 (afc north) = 21.11 21.01 ( 3) 4 21.01 ( 3) 3 (NFC WEST) = 20.99 21.02 ( 2) 4 21.02 ( 2) 4 (afc west) = 20.68 20.28 ( 5) 4 20.28 ( 5) 5 (NFC EAST) = 20.21 20.23 ( 6) 4 20.23 ( 6) 6 (afc east) = 20.05 20.35 ( 4) 4 20.35 ( 4) 7 (afc south) = 16.87 17.08 ( 7) 4 17.08 ( 7) 8 (NFC SOUTH) = 16.32 16.53 ( 8) 4 16.53 ( 8) DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% 5 (NFC EAST) = 20.21 20.23 ( 6) 4 20.23 ( 6) 1 (NFC NORTH) = 23.67 23.51 ( 1) 4 23.51 ( 1) 8 (NFC SOUTH) = 16.32 16.53 ( 8) 4 16.53 ( 8) 3 (NFC WEST) = 20.99 21.02 ( 2) 4 21.02 ( 2) 6 (afc east) = 20.05 20.35 ( 4) 4 20.35 ( 4) 2 (afc north) = 21.11 21.01 ( 3) 4 21.01 ( 3) 7 (afc south) = 16.87 17.08 ( 7) 4 17.08 ( 7) 4 (afc west) = 20.68 20.28 ( 5) 4 20.28 ( 5) ______________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 (NFC EAST) = 20.21 NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 4 Philadelphia Eagles = 27.75 16 3 0 19.21( 26) 7 1 0 | 7 2 0 | 27.92 4 | 28.28 1 | 28.21 4 | 29.60 4 (NFC EAST) 7 Washington Redskins = 23.31 14 5 0 19.33( 25) 3 2 0 | 4 3 0 | 23.27 6 | 23.28 8 | 23.85 7 | 25.62 7 (NFC EAST) 23 Dallas Cowboys = 17.06 7 10 0 20.40( 14) 1 6 0 | 2 7 0 | 16.49 24 | 17.57 23 | 16.61 23 | 15.99 23 (NFC EAST) 31 New York Giants = 12.80 3 14 0 20.23( 18) 0 7 0 | 1 8 0 | 13.09 31 | 12.68 31 | 11.48 30 | 10.67 30 (NFC EAST) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 (NFC NORTH) = 23.67 NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 1 Detroit Lions = 28.34 15 3 0 20.67( 10) 5 2 0 | 7 3 0 | 28.21 3 | 28.26 2 | 29.84 1 | 31.10 3 (NFC NORTH) 5 Green Bay Packers = 25.43 11 7 0 20.94( 5) 1 6 0 | 4 6 0 | 25.64 5 | 24.96 6 | 26.58 5 | 26.79 5 (NFC NORTH) 9 Minnesota Vikings = 22.53 14 4 0 20.27( 16) 2 4 0 | 4 4 0 | 21.42 14 | 23.36 7 | 23.33 8 | 24.47 8 (NFC NORTH) 21 Chicago Bears = 17.73 5 12 0 20.99( 4) 2 6 0 | 2 8 0 | 17.47 21 | 16.88 24 | 18.55 20 | 18.03 19 (NFC NORTH) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 8 (NFC SOUTH) = 16.32 NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 22.34 10 8 0 19.13( 30) 3 3 0 | 4 4 0 | 23.26 7 | 21.93 11 | 22.16 12 | 23.01 12 (NFC SOUTH) 22 Atlanta Falcons = 17.48 8 9 0 18.92( 32) 1 3 0 | 3 6 0 | 17.14 22 | 18.11 20 | 16.72 22 | 16.26 22 (NFC SOUTH) 26 New Orleans Saints = 14.31 5 12 0 19.17( 28) 0 5 0 | 0 9 0 | 14.03 28 | 14.86 26 | 13.08 28 | 12.47 27 (NFC SOUTH) 32 Carolina Panthers = 11.97 5 12 0 19.42( 24) 0 4 0 | 0 8 0 | 11.74 32 | 11.83 32 | 11.14 32 | 11.35 29 (NFC SOUTH) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 (NFC WEST) = 20.99 NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 8 Los Angeles Rams = 22.66 11 8 0 21.25( 2) 3 4 0 | 4 6 0 | 22.95 8 | 22.25 10 | 23.19 9 | 23.59 9 (NFC WEST) 15 Seattle Seahawks = 21.37 10 7 0 20.62( 11) 1 5 0 | 3 5 0 | 21.22 15 | 21.28 15 | 21.83 14 | 22.32 13 (NFC WEST) 17 Arizona Cardinals = 20.50 8 9 0 21.05( 3) 1 6 0 | 3 8 0 | 21.16 16 | 19.83 18 | 20.57 17 | 21.19 17 (NFC WEST) 19 San Francisco 49ers = 19.54 6 11 0 21.59( 1) 0 7 0 | 2 9 0 | 19.38 19 | 20.37 17 | 18.65 19 | 16.66 20 (NFC WEST) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 (afc east) = 20.05 NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 2 Buffalo Bills = 28.20 15 4 0 20.34( 15) 3 2 0 | 7 3 0 | 28.24 2 | 27.90 3 | 29.73 3 | 31.25 2 (afc east) 16 Miami Dolphins = 20.72 8 9 0 19.20( 27) 1 3 0 | 1 5 0 | 21.06 17 | 19.83 19 | 21.45 15 | 21.30 16 (afc east) 20 New York Jets = 18.20 5 12 0 20.14( 19) 0 4 0 | 2 7 0 | 18.31 20 | 17.99 21 | 18.03 21 | 16.64 21 (afc east) 27 New England Patriots = 14.29 4 13 0 20.41( 13) 2 2 0 | 2 7 0 | 14.36 27 | 13.64 27 | 13.98 26 | 13.70 26 (afc east) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 (afc north) = 21.11 NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 3 Baltimore Ravens = 28.20 13 6 0 20.94( 7) 4 3 0 | 8 3 0 | 28.83 1 | 27.41 4 | 29.81 2 | 31.75 1 (afc north) 10 Cincinnati Bengals = 22.35 9 8 0 19.15( 29) 0 5 0 | 1 6 0 | 22.73 10 | 21.74 12 | 22.96 10 | 23.37 11 (afc north) 18 Pittsburgh Steelers = 20.30 10 8 0 20.75( 9) 3 5 0 | 5 5 0 | 19.95 18 | 21.30 13 | 19.58 18 | 19.32 18 (afc north) 30 Cleveland Browns = 13.19 3 14 0 20.94( 6) 1 6 0 | 1 9 0 | 13.43 30 | 13.58 29 | 11.27 31 | 7.80 32 (afc north) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 (afc south) = 16.87 NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 12 Houston Texans = 21.98 11 8 0 20.24( 17) 1 6 0 | 3 6 0 | 21.73 12 | 22.26 9 | 22.21 11 | 21.68 15 (afc south) 24 Indianapolis Colts = 17.02 8 9 0 19.63( 23) 0 4 0 | 1 7 0 | 16.54 23 | 17.63 22 | 16.37 24 | 15.64 24 (afc south) 25 Jacksonville Jaguars = 15.85 4 13 0 19.67( 22) 0 5 0 | 0 8 0 | 15.75 25 | 15.24 25 | 15.94 25 | 15.08 25 (afc south) 29 Tennessee Titans = 13.47 3 14 0 20.78( 8) 0 6 0 | 2 8 0 | 13.54 29 | 13.62 28 | 12.21 29 | 9.99 31 (afc south) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 (afc west) = 20.68 NFL 2024 through games of 2025 January 19 Sunday - Divisional Playoffs RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.74] [ 1.96] [ 1.87] [ 1.38] [ 1.38] 6 Kansas City Chiefs = 24.20 16 2 0 19.75( 21) 2 1 0 | 8 2 0 | 22.89 9 | 26.38 5 | 24.49 6 | 25.74 6 (afc west) 13 Los Angeles Chargers = 21.51 11 7 0 19.10( 31) 1 3 0 | 3 5 0 | 21.47 13 | 21.29 14 | 22.02 13 | 23.58 10 (afc west) 14 Denver Broncos = 21.43 10 8 0 19.87( 20) 1 4 0 | 2 7 0 | 22.29 11 | 21.10 16 | 21.05 16 | 21.82 14 (afc west) 28 Las Vegas Raiders = 13.99 4 13 0 20.42( 12) 1 4 0 | 1 10 0 | 14.46 26 | 13.39 30 | 13.12 27 | 12.22 28 (afc west) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
endfile

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ================================================================================================================== @ Philadelphia Eagles 6.18 6.60 6.86 5.74 5.35 Washington Redskins 224 69% 50.01 Buffalo Bills 2.27 3.40 -0.34 3.87 4.13 @ Kansas City Chiefs 136 58% 47.06 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS based on HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS for EACH TEAM @ Philadelphia Eagles 3.32 3.74 4.01 2.88 2.49 Washington Redskins 156 61% 50.01 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Kansas City Chiefs 1.65 0.52 4.26 0.05 -0.21 Buffalo Bills 125 56% 47.06 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG 1 @ Philadelphia Eagles 5.47 205 67% Washington Redskins 2 @ Kansas City Chiefs 0.05 101 50% Buffalo Bills endfile
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Jeff Sagarin'stm NFL Ratings

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

Divisional Rankings

By Division

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

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Jeff Sagarin's^tm NFL Ratings