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Jeff Sagarin'stm NBA Ratings


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[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NBA 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 NOVEMBER 12 THURSDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  3  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 97 would be
favored by  5  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 95.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 94 would be favored by  7  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 84.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.79]                                               [  1.79]       [  1.79]       [  1.79]       [  1.79]
   1  San Antonio Spurs       =  98.46   10   2   89.06(  24)    2   2  |    4   2  |   98.80    1 |   99.25    1 |   97.78    3 |   96.64    5  southwest
   2  Minnesota Timberwolves  =  97.14    9   3   89.32(  22)    1   2  |    3   3  |   97.16    3 |   96.29    3 |   98.66    1 |   98.80    1  northwest
   3  Houston Rockets         =  96.56    9   3   91.76(   6)    4   1  |    8   2  |   96.22    5 |   96.21    4 |   98.07    2 |   98.20    2  southwest
   4  Oklahoma City Thunder   =  96.38    8   4   92.07(   2)    1   3  |    4   4  |   97.25    2 |   97.36    2 |   95.40    6 |   93.29    9  northwest
   5  Boston Celtics          =  95.93   10   2   87.92(  30)    1   2  |    3   2  |   96.23    4 |   96.20    5 |   94.58    8 |   95.00    7  ATLANTIC
   6  Los Angeles Lakers      =  94.82   11   2   89.18(  23)    3   2  |    5   2  |   94.21    8 |   95.21    6 |   95.38    7 |   95.95    6  pacific
   7  Portland Trail Blazers  =  94.48    8   3   91.78(   5)    3   2  |    4   2  |   93.93    9 |   93.75    9 |   97.27    4 |   98.15    3  northwest
   8  Detroit Pistons         =  94.35    8   3   89.54(  19)    1   2  |    2   3  |   94.87    7 |   95.03    7 |   92.46   10 |   92.41   11  CENTRAL
   9  Golden State Warriors   =  94.03    8   4   90.52(  14)    2   2  |    3   2  |   93.75   10 |   92.92   12 |   96.98    5 |   97.30    4  pacific
  10  New York Knicks         =  93.95    6   5   88.44(  26)    1   1  |    2   4  |   95.05    6 |   93.58   10 |   92.30   11 |   92.28   12  ATLANTIC
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.79]                                               [  1.79]       [  1.79]       [  1.79]       [  1.79]
  11  Denver Nuggets          =  92.71    6   4   90.73(  13)    0   4  |    1   4  |   92.66   12 |   92.98   11 |   92.95    9 |   92.19   13  northwest
  12  Philadelphia 76ers      =  92.22   10   3   89.64(  18)    3   2  |    5   3  |   92.53   13 |   94.12    8 |   89.00   18 |   89.07   16  ATLANTIC
  13  Cleveland Cavaliers     =  92.17    6   6   90.81(  10)    2   3  |    3   5  |   92.88   11 |   92.05   13 |   90.95   14 |   90.72   14  CENTRAL
  14  Atlanta Hawks           =  90.41    7   5   89.01(  25)    0   3  |    1   3  |   90.89   15 |   90.68   14 |   89.38   16 |   88.64   17  SOUTHEAST
  15  Toronto Raptors         =  90.34    5   7   89.69(  17)    0   3  |    0   5  |   91.21   14 |   90.38   15 |   89.12   17 |   87.84   20  ATLANTIC
  16  Dallas Mavericks        =  90.11    7   5   91.35(   7)    2   4  |    2   4  |   89.48   16 |   89.64   17 |   91.60   13 |   92.60   10  southwest
  17  Memphis Grizzlies       =  89.62    7   4   87.93(  29)    2   1  |    3   2  |   88.66   18 |   88.82   19 |   92.04   12 |   93.60    8  southwest
  18  Phoenix Suns            =  89.29    5   6   92.00(   3)    2   5  |    2   6  |   88.65   19 |   89.35   18 |   90.44   15 |   90.70   15  pacific
  19  Miami Heat              =  88.86    5   6   89.90(  16)    0   4  |    1   5  |   88.99   17 |   89.94   16 |   87.64   19 |   86.36   22  SOUTHEAST
  20  Orlando Magic           =  88.32    4   7   90.73(  12)    1   3  |    2   5  |   88.60   20 |   88.71   20 |   87.50   21 |   86.78   21  SOUTHEAST
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.79]                                               [  1.79]       [  1.79]       [  1.79]       [  1.79]
  21  Indiana Pacers          =  87.86    4   8   87.96(  28)    0   0  |    0   5  |   88.49   21 |   88.02   21 |   86.65   22 |   85.66   23  CENTRAL
  22  Washington Wizards      =  85.38    4   9   89.48(  21)    0   3  |    0   7  |   85.54   22 |   85.56   23 |   84.23   24 |   84.83   25  SOUTHEAST
  23  Los Angeles Clippers    =  85.31    2   8   91.22(   8)    0   5  |    0   6  |   84.67   23 |   84.07   24 |   87.62   20 |   87.99   19  pacific
  24  Brooklyn Nets           =  84.83    3   8   90.12(  15)    0   3  |    0   6  |   84.13   26 |   83.46   27 |   85.86   23 |   88.16   18  ATLANTIC
  25  Charlotte Hornets       =  84.72    4   8   89.52(  20)    0   3  |    1   5  |   84.45   24 |   86.11   22 |   82.17   28 |   82.56   27  SOUTHEAST
  26  Utah Jazz               =  83.81    1  11   91.08(   9)    0   5  |    0   6  |   84.34   25 |   83.56   26 |   84.14   25 |   82.17   28  northwest
  27  New Orleans Pelicans    =  83.47    4   8   88.33(  27)    0   2  |    1   4  |   82.62   27 |   83.58   25 |   84.10   26 |   85.16   24  southwest
  28  Chicago Bulls           =  82.25    1   9   92.46(   1)    0   5  |    0   8  |   82.39   28 |   82.37   28 |   81.18   30 |   81.88   29  CENTRAL
  29  Sacramento Kings        =  81.24    1  10   90.80(  11)    0   4  |    1   4  |   80.31   30 |   80.15   30 |   83.26   27 |   83.71   26  pacific
  30  Milwaukee Bucks         =  80.99    1  11   91.87(   4)    0   6  |    0   9  |   81.04   29 |   80.65   29 |   81.27   29 |   81.36   30  CENTRAL
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  northwest               =  93.62      92.90  (  1)      5      93.10  (  1)  92.9029( 5.3671)  93.0672( 5.2749)  92.7895( 5.4597)  93.6863( 5.7495)  92.9211( 6.6731)
   2  ATLANTIC                =  91.78      91.45  (  3)      5      91.52  (  3)  91.4537( 4.2401)  91.8336( 4.7401)  91.5469( 4.9782)  90.1729( 3.3548)  90.4698( 3.0802)
   3  southwest               =  91.62      91.64  (  2)      5      91.67  (  2)  91.6432( 5.9976)  91.1543( 6.4401)  91.5013( 6.2393)  92.7186( 5.7056)  93.2401( 5.0507)
   4  pacific                 =  89.18      88.94  (  4)      5      88.99  (  4)  88.9369( 5.7657)  88.3170( 5.9546)  88.3381( 6.2136)  90.7353( 5.6157)  91.1307( 5.6199)
   5  SOUTHEAST               =  87.62      87.54  (  5)      5      87.54  (  5)  87.5378( 2.4075)  87.6936( 2.6399)  88.2016( 2.2764)  86.1848( 2.9163)  85.8337( 2.2782)
   6  CENTRAL                 =  87.53      87.53  (  6)      5      87.53  (  6)  87.5256( 5.8910)  87.9342( 6.1452)  87.6226( 6.1404)  86.5021( 5.2705)  86.4046( 5.0287)
       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 5.1151)  90.0000( 5.3189)  90.0000( 5.3189)  90.0000( 5.3189)  90.0000( 5.3189)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   2  ATLANTIC                =  91.78      91.45  (  3)      5      91.52  (  3)  91.4537( 4.2401)  91.8336( 4.7401)  91.5469( 4.9782)  90.1729( 3.3548)  90.4698( 3.0802)
   6  CENTRAL                 =  87.53      87.53  (  6)      5      87.53  (  6)  87.5256( 5.8910)  87.9342( 6.1452)  87.6226( 6.1404)  86.5021( 5.2705)  86.4046( 5.0287)
   5  SOUTHEAST               =  87.62      87.54  (  5)      5      87.54  (  5)  87.5378( 2.4075)  87.6936( 2.6399)  88.2016( 2.2764)  86.1848( 2.9163)  85.8337( 2.2782)
   3  southwest               =  91.62      91.64  (  2)      5      91.67  (  2)  91.6432( 5.9976)  91.1543( 6.4401)  91.5013( 6.2393)  92.7186( 5.7056)  93.2401( 5.0507)
   1  northwest               =  93.62      92.90  (  1)      5      93.10  (  1)  92.9029( 5.3671)  93.0672( 5.2749)  92.7895( 5.4597)  93.6863( 5.7495)  92.9211( 6.6731)
   4  pacific                 =  89.18      88.94  (  4)      5      88.99  (  4)  88.9369( 5.7657)  88.3170( 5.9546)  88.3381( 6.2136)  90.7353( 5.6157)  91.1307( 5.6199)
       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 5.1151)  90.0000( 5.3189)  90.0000( 5.3189)  90.0000( 5.3189)  90.0000( 5.3189)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 ATLANTIC = 91.78 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] 5 Boston Celtics = 95.93 10 2 87.92( 30) 1 2 | 3 2 | 96.23 4 | 96.20 5 | 94.58 8 | 95.00 7 ATLANTIC 10 New York Knicks = 93.95 6 5 88.44( 26) 1 1 | 2 4 | 95.05 6 | 93.58 10 | 92.30 11 | 92.28 12 ATLANTIC 12 Philadelphia 76ers = 92.22 10 3 89.64( 18) 3 2 | 5 3 | 92.53 13 | 94.12 8 | 89.00 18 | 89.07 16 ATLANTIC 15 Toronto Raptors = 90.34 5 7 89.69( 17) 0 3 | 0 5 | 91.21 14 | 90.38 15 | 89.12 17 | 87.84 20 ATLANTIC 24 Brooklyn Nets = 84.83 3 8 90.12( 15) 0 3 | 0 6 | 84.13 26 | 83.46 27 | 85.86 23 | 88.16 18 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 CENTRAL = 87.53 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] 8 Detroit Pistons = 94.35 8 3 89.54( 19) 1 2 | 2 3 | 94.87 7 | 95.03 7 | 92.46 10 | 92.41 11 CENTRAL 13 Cleveland Cavaliers = 92.17 6 6 90.81( 10) 2 3 | 3 5 | 92.88 11 | 92.05 13 | 90.95 14 | 90.72 14 CENTRAL 21 Indiana Pacers = 87.86 4 8 87.96( 28) 0 0 | 0 5 | 88.49 21 | 88.02 21 | 86.65 22 | 85.66 23 CENTRAL 28 Chicago Bulls = 82.25 1 9 92.46( 1) 0 5 | 0 8 | 82.39 28 | 82.37 28 | 81.18 30 | 81.88 29 CENTRAL 30 Milwaukee Bucks = 80.99 1 11 91.87( 4) 0 6 | 0 9 | 81.04 29 | 80.65 29 | 81.27 29 | 81.36 30 CENTRAL _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 SOUTHEAST = 87.62 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] 14 Atlanta Hawks = 90.41 7 5 89.01( 25) 0 3 | 1 3 | 90.89 15 | 90.68 14 | 89.38 16 | 88.64 17 SOUTHEAST 19 Miami Heat = 88.86 5 6 89.90( 16) 0 4 | 1 5 | 88.99 17 | 89.94 16 | 87.64 19 | 86.36 22 SOUTHEAST 20 Orlando Magic = 88.32 4 7 90.73( 12) 1 3 | 2 5 | 88.60 20 | 88.71 20 | 87.50 21 | 86.78 21 SOUTHEAST 22 Washington Wizards = 85.38 4 9 89.48( 21) 0 3 | 0 7 | 85.54 22 | 85.56 23 | 84.23 24 | 84.83 25 SOUTHEAST 25 Charlotte Hornets = 84.72 4 8 89.52( 20) 0 3 | 1 5 | 84.45 24 | 86.11 22 | 82.17 28 | 82.56 27 SOUTHEAST _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 southwest = 91.62 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] 1 San Antonio Spurs = 98.46 10 2 89.06( 24) 2 2 | 4 2 | 98.80 1 | 99.25 1 | 97.78 3 | 96.64 5 southwest 3 Houston Rockets = 96.56 9 3 91.76( 6) 4 1 | 8 2 | 96.22 5 | 96.21 4 | 98.07 2 | 98.20 2 southwest 16 Dallas Mavericks = 90.11 7 5 91.35( 7) 2 4 | 2 4 | 89.48 16 | 89.64 17 | 91.60 13 | 92.60 10 southwest 17 Memphis Grizzlies = 89.62 7 4 87.93( 29) 2 1 | 3 2 | 88.66 18 | 88.82 19 | 92.04 12 | 93.60 8 southwest 27 New Orleans Pelicans = 83.47 4 8 88.33( 27) 0 2 | 1 4 | 82.62 27 | 83.58 25 | 84.10 26 | 85.16 24 southwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 northwest = 93.62 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] 2 Minnesota Timberwolves = 97.14 9 3 89.32( 22) 1 2 | 3 3 | 97.16 3 | 96.29 3 | 98.66 1 | 98.80 1 northwest 4 Oklahoma City Thunder = 96.38 8 4 92.07( 2) 1 3 | 4 4 | 97.25 2 | 97.36 2 | 95.40 6 | 93.29 9 northwest 7 Portland Trail Blazers = 94.48 8 3 91.78( 5) 3 2 | 4 2 | 93.93 9 | 93.75 9 | 97.27 4 | 98.15 3 northwest 11 Denver Nuggets = 92.71 6 4 90.73( 13) 0 4 | 1 4 | 92.66 12 | 92.98 11 | 92.95 9 | 92.19 13 northwest 26 Utah Jazz = 83.81 1 11 91.08( 9) 0 5 | 0 6 | 84.34 25 | 83.56 26 | 84.14 25 | 82.17 28 northwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 89.18 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] [ 1.79] 6 Los Angeles Lakers = 94.82 11 2 89.18( 23) 3 2 | 5 2 | 94.21 8 | 95.21 6 | 95.38 7 | 95.95 6 pacific 9 Golden State Warriors = 94.03 8 4 90.52( 14) 2 2 | 3 2 | 93.75 10 | 92.92 12 | 96.98 5 | 97.30 4 pacific 18 Phoenix Suns = 89.29 5 6 92.00( 3) 2 5 | 2 6 | 88.65 19 | 89.35 18 | 90.44 15 | 90.70 15 pacific 23 Los Angeles Clippers = 85.31 2 8 91.22( 8) 0 5 | 0 6 | 84.67 23 | 84.07 24 | 87.62 20 | 87.99 19 pacific 29 Sacramento Kings = 81.24 1 10 90.80( 11) 0 4 | 1 4 | 80.31 30 | 80.15 30 | 83.26 27 | 83.71 26 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 Cleveland Cavaliers 1.53 2.10 0.32 1.52 2.57 @ Miami Heat 120 55% 120.85 124.46 245.30 -3.61 40% -153 2 @ Orlando Magic 9.12 9.34 9.84 8.02 7.21 Milwaukee Bucks 280 74% 118.95 109.12 228.07 9.83 75% 302 3 New York Knicks 4.30 4.78 3.78 3.86 4.83 @ Indiana Pacers 165 62% 100.86 105.74 206.60 -4.88 36% -177 4 Atlanta Hawks 6.37 6.71 6.52 6.42 4.98 @ Chicago Bulls 209 68% 121.40 129.20 250.60 -7.80 29% -244 5 Memphis Grizzlies 4.36 4.26 3.46 6.15 6.65 @ New Orleans Pelicans 167 62% 118.58 127.42 246.00 -8.84 27% -272 6 @ Houston Rockets 14.53 13.66 14.43 15.72 17.82 Utah Jazz 486 83% 118.37 97.48 215.85 20.89 90% 890 7 @ San Antonio Spurs 6.22 6.83 8.12 2.59 1.13 Golden State Warrior 205 67% 115.91 112.63 228.54 3.28 60% 147 8 Oklahoma City Thunde 9.28 10.79 11.51 6.00 3.51 @ Los Angeles Clippers 285 74% 105.61 112.78 218.39 -7.17 31% -228 9 Portland Trail Blaze 11.45 11.84 11.82 12.22 12.65 @ Sacramento Kings 357 78% 107.43 123.69 231.12 -16.26 15% -576 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 12 Thursday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 Cleveland Cavaliers 6.94 7.51 5.73 6.94 7.99 @ Miami Heat 222 69% 118.14 127.16 245.30 -9.03 26% -278 2 @ Orlando Magic 2.55 2.78 3.28 1.46 0.65 Milwaukee Bucks 135 57% 115.67 112.40 228.07 3.27 60% 147 3 New York Knicks 11.24 11.72 10.72 10.80 11.77 @ Indiana Pacers 349 78% 97.39 109.21 206.60 -11.82 21% -371 4 Atlanta Hawks 6.80 7.14 6.95 6.85 5.41 @ Chicago Bulls 219 69% 121.18 129.42 250.60 -8.23 28% -255 5 Memphis Grizzlies 14.80 14.70 13.90 16.59 17.09 @ New Orleans Pelicans 500 83% 113.36 132.64 246.00 -19.28 12% -767 6 @ Houston Rockets 32.08 31.21 31.98 33.27 35.37 Utah Jazz 2165 96% 127.14 88.71 215.85 38.44 97% 3107 7 @ San Antonio Spurs 4.39 5.00 6.29 0.76 -0.70 Golden State Warrior 167 63% 114.99 113.54 228.54 1.45 54% 119 8 Oklahoma City Thunde 2.02 3.52 4.24 -1.26 -3.75 @ Los Angeles Clippers 127 56% 109.24 109.15 218.39 0.10 50% 101 9 Portland Trail Blaze 21.37 21.75 21.73 22.14 22.56 @ Sacramento Kings 929 90% 102.47 128.65 231.12 -26.17 7% -1402
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1    Cleveland Cavaliers    5.55   190   66%  @ Miami Heat
    2  @ Orlando Magic          7.27   230   70%    Milwaukee Bucks
    3    New York Knicks        2.57   135   58%  @ Indiana Pacers
    4    Atlanta Hawks          9.88   303   75%  @ Chicago Bulls
    5    Memphis Grizzlies      4.51   169   63%  @ New Orleans Pelicans
    6  @ Houston Rockets       20.71   870   90%    Utah Jazz
    7  @ San Antonio Spurs      4.46   168   63%    Golden State Warrior
    8    Oklahoma City Thunde  12.01   378   79%  @ Los Angeles Clippers
    9    Portland Trail Blaze  14.27   474   83%  @ Sacramento Kings
endfile

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