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Jeff Sagarin'stm NBA Ratings


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NBA 2016-2017 ratings through results of 2017 FEBRUARY 27 MONDAY


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  3  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 97 would be
favored by  5  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 95.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 94 would be favored by  7  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 84.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


New_Feature

just click on "New_Feature" and it will take you to the daily predictions at bottom of file
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
   1  Golden State Warriors   = 101.50   50   9   89.53(  24)   12   5  |   22   6  |  101.78    1 |  101.48    1 |  101.40    1
   2  San Antonio Spurs       =  98.28   45  13   89.62(  22)   12   5  |   20   7  |   98.18    2 |   98.34    2 |   98.34    2
   3  Houston Rockets         =  95.62   42  19   89.69(  20)    9   9  |   15  14  |   96.24    3 |   95.74    3 |   95.39    3
   4  Cleveland Cavaliers     =  94.37   41  17   89.06(  29)   10   5  |   16  11  |   94.23    5 |   94.44    4 |   94.44    4
   5  Utah Jazz               =  94.35   37  22   89.51(  25)    5  13  |   11  17  |   94.45    4 |   94.32    5 |   94.31    5
   6  Los Angeles Clippers    =  93.78   36  23   90.25(   9)    8  10  |   18  13  |   93.80    6 |   93.94    6 |   93.78    6
   7  Toronto Raptors         =  93.40   36  24   89.45(  27)    9  11  |   15  16  |   93.71    7 |   93.54    7 |   93.27    7
   8  Boston Celtics          =  92.81   38  22   90.03(  15)    8  11  |   19  17  |   92.31    8 |   92.81    8 |   93.04    8
   9  Memphis Grizzlies       =  92.35   35  25   90.49(   4)   12  10  |   16  15  |   91.86    9 |   92.31    9 |   92.57    9
  10  Washington Wizards      =  91.66   34  23   88.85(  30)    4  10  |   12  16  |   91.19   10 |   91.49   10 |   91.88   10
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
  11  Oklahoma City Thunder   =  91.30   34  25   90.23(  10)   10  13  |   15  17  |   90.67   11 |   91.37   11 |   91.58   11
  12  Charlotte Hornets       =  89.71   25  34   90.09(  13)    3  20  |   10  24  |   90.49   12 |   89.80   12 |   89.37   15
  13  Chicago Bulls           =  89.61   30  29   89.66(  21)   11   7  |   16  14  |   89.46   15 |   89.60   13 |   89.68   12
  14  Detroit Pistons         =  89.45   28  31   90.05(  14)    5  14  |   14  19  |   89.64   13 |   89.52   14 |   89.38   14
  15  Miami Heat              =  89.30   27  33   89.93(  17)    7  12  |   11  22  |   89.49   14 |   89.06   18 |   89.22   16
  16  Atlanta Hawks           =  89.23   33  26   89.51(  26)    7   9  |   14  16  |   88.78   19 |   89.31   15 |   89.43   13
  17  Denver Nuggets          =  89.12   26  33   90.10(  12)    6  16  |    7  23  |   89.04   18 |   89.11   16 |   89.16   18
  18  Milwaukee Bucks         =  89.03   26  32   89.56(  23)    5  15  |   12  23  |   89.42   16 |   89.09   17 |   88.87   19
  19  Indiana Pacers          =  88.98   31  29   89.21(  28)    7  11  |   15  17  |   88.49   20 |   88.96   19 |   89.20   17
  20  Minnesota Timberwolves  =  88.70   24  36   89.78(  18)    4  17  |   10  23  |   89.29   17 |   88.53   20 |   88.44   21
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
  21  Portland Trail Blazers  =  88.40   24  34   90.78(   1)    5  18  |    9  23  |   88.31   22 |   88.43   21 |   88.45   20
  22  Dallas Mavericks        =  87.94   24  35   90.26(   7)    5  16  |    8  23  |   88.41   21 |   87.70   22 |   87.74   22
  23  Sacramento Kings        =  87.62   25  35   90.44(   5)    7  15  |   12  22  |   87.70   23 |   87.64   23 |   87.60   23
  24  New York Knicks         =  86.58   24  36   89.77(  19)    3  17  |   10  24  |   86.61   24 |   86.66   24 |   86.57   24
  25  New Orleans Pelicans    =  86.41   23  37   90.26(   8)    5  17  |    8  24  |   86.52   25 |   86.37   25 |   86.36   25
  26  Phoenix Suns            =  85.06   18  41   90.78(   2)    3  19  |    7  22  |   85.59   26 |   84.99   27 |   84.82   29
  27  Philadelphia 76ers      =  85.05   22  37   89.94(  16)    4  17  |    9  26  |   84.53   27 |   84.89   28 |   85.26   26
  28  Los Angeles Lakers      =  84.82   19  41   90.74(   3)    4  17  |    9  24  |   84.20   28 |   85.00   26 |   85.07   28
  29  Orlando Magic           =  84.82   22  38   90.20(  11)    6  14  |   12  22  |   83.98   29 |   84.85   29 |   85.13   27
  30  Brooklyn Nets           =  80.76    9  49   90.33(   6)    1  21  |    3  31  |   81.62   30 |   80.71   30 |   80.25   30
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings


There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   1  SOUTHWEST (west)        =  92.09      92.12  (  1)      5      92.11  (  1)
   2  NORTHWEST (west)        =  90.01      90.37  (  3)      5      90.34  (  2)
   3  CENTRAL   (EAST)        =  89.89      90.29  (  4)      5      90.25  (  3)
   4  PACIFIC   (west)        =  89.65      90.56  (  2)      5      90.18  (  4)
   5  SOUTHEAST (EAST)        =  89.14      88.94  (  5)      5      88.97  (  5)
   6  ATLANTIC  (EAST)        =  87.73      87.72  (  6)      5      87.73  (  6)


      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   6  ATLANTIC  (EAST)        =  87.73      87.72  (  6)      5      87.73  (  6)
   3  CENTRAL   (EAST)        =  89.89      90.29  (  4)      5      90.25  (  3)
   5  SOUTHEAST (EAST)        =  89.14      88.94  (  5)      5      88.97  (  5)
   1  SOUTHWEST (west)        =  92.09      92.12  (  1)      5      92.11  (  1)
   2  NORTHWEST (west)        =  90.01      90.37  (  3)      5      90.34  (  2)
   4  PACIFIC   (west)        =  89.65      90.56  (  2)      5      90.18  (  4)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   6  ATLANTIC  (EAST)        =  87.73      87.72  (  6)   TEAMS=  5      87.73  (  6)
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
   7  Toronto Raptors         =  93.40   36  24   89.45(  27)    9  11  |   15  16  |   93.71    7 |   93.54    7 |   93.27    7
   8  Boston Celtics          =  92.81   38  22   90.03(  15)    8  11  |   19  17  |   92.31    8 |   92.81    8 |   93.04    8
  24  New York Knicks         =  86.58   24  36   89.77(  19)    3  17  |   10  24  |   86.61   24 |   86.66   24 |   86.57   24
  27  Philadelphia 76ers      =  85.05   22  37   89.94(  16)    4  17  |    9  26  |   84.53   27 |   84.89   28 |   85.26   26
  30  Brooklyn Nets           =  80.76    9  49   90.33(   6)    1  21  |    3  31  |   81.62   30 |   80.71   30 |   80.25   30
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   3  CENTRAL   (EAST)        =  89.89      90.29  (  4)   TEAMS=  5      90.25  (  3)
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
   4  Cleveland Cavaliers     =  94.37   41  17   89.06(  29)   10   5  |   16  11  |   94.23    5 |   94.44    4 |   94.44    4
  13  Chicago Bulls           =  89.61   30  29   89.66(  21)   11   7  |   16  14  |   89.46   15 |   89.60   13 |   89.68   12
  14  Detroit Pistons         =  89.45   28  31   90.05(  14)    5  14  |   14  19  |   89.64   13 |   89.52   14 |   89.38   14
  18  Milwaukee Bucks         =  89.03   26  32   89.56(  23)    5  15  |   12  23  |   89.42   16 |   89.09   17 |   88.87   19
  19  Indiana Pacers          =  88.98   31  29   89.21(  28)    7  11  |   15  17  |   88.49   20 |   88.96   19 |   89.20   17
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   5  SOUTHEAST (EAST)        =  89.14      88.94  (  5)   TEAMS=  5      88.97  (  5)
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
  10  Washington Wizards      =  91.66   34  23   88.85(  30)    4  10  |   12  16  |   91.19   10 |   91.49   10 |   91.88   10
  12  Charlotte Hornets       =  89.71   25  34   90.09(  13)    3  20  |   10  24  |   90.49   12 |   89.80   12 |   89.37   15
  15  Miami Heat              =  89.30   27  33   89.93(  17)    7  12  |   11  22  |   89.49   14 |   89.06   18 |   89.22   16
  16  Atlanta Hawks           =  89.23   33  26   89.51(  26)    7   9  |   14  16  |   88.78   19 |   89.31   15 |   89.43   13
  29  Orlando Magic           =  84.82   22  38   90.20(  11)    6  14  |   12  22  |   83.98   29 |   84.85   29 |   85.13   27
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   1  SOUTHWEST (west)        =  92.09      92.12  (  1)   TEAMS=  5      92.11  (  1)
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
   2  San Antonio Spurs       =  98.28   45  13   89.62(  22)   12   5  |   20   7  |   98.18    2 |   98.34    2 |   98.34    2
   3  Houston Rockets         =  95.62   42  19   89.69(  20)    9   9  |   15  14  |   96.24    3 |   95.74    3 |   95.39    3
   9  Memphis Grizzlies       =  92.35   35  25   90.49(   4)   12  10  |   16  15  |   91.86    9 |   92.31    9 |   92.57    9
  22  Dallas Mavericks        =  87.94   24  35   90.26(   7)    5  16  |    8  23  |   88.41   21 |   87.70   22 |   87.74   22
  25  New Orleans Pelicans    =  86.41   23  37   90.26(   8)    5  17  |    8  24  |   86.52   25 |   86.37   25 |   86.36   25
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   2  NORTHWEST (west)        =  90.01      90.37  (  3)   TEAMS=  5      90.34  (  2)
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
   5  Utah Jazz               =  94.35   37  22   89.51(  25)    5  13  |   11  17  |   94.45    4 |   94.32    5 |   94.31    5
  11  Oklahoma City Thunder   =  91.30   34  25   90.23(  10)   10  13  |   15  17  |   90.67   11 |   91.37   11 |   91.58   11
  17  Denver Nuggets          =  89.12   26  33   90.10(  12)    6  16  |    7  23  |   89.04   18 |   89.11   16 |   89.16   18
  20  Minnesota Timberwolves  =  88.70   24  36   89.78(  18)    4  17  |   10  23  |   89.29   17 |   88.53   20 |   88.44   21
  21  Portland Trail Blazers  =  88.40   24  34   90.78(   1)    5  18  |    9  23  |   88.31   22 |   88.43   21 |   88.45   20
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   4  PACIFIC   (west)        =  89.65      90.56  (  2)   TEAMS=  5      90.18  (  4)
NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday                                                                                          
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.90]                                               [  3.02]       [  2.85]       [  2.85]
   1  Golden State Warriors   = 101.50   50   9   89.53(  24)   12   5  |   22   6  |  101.78    1 |  101.48    1 |  101.40    1
   6  Los Angeles Clippers    =  93.78   36  23   90.25(   9)    8  10  |   18  13  |   93.80    6 |   93.94    6 |   93.78    6
  23  Sacramento Kings        =  87.62   25  35   90.44(   5)    7  15  |   12  22  |   87.70   23 |   87.64   23 |   87.60   23
  26  Phoenix Suns            =  85.06   18  41   90.78(   2)    3  19  |    7  22  |   85.59   26 |   84.99   27 |   84.82   29
  28  Los Angeles Lakers      =  84.82   19  41   90.74(   3)    4  17  |    9  24  |   84.20   28 |   85.00   26 |   85.07   28
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
endfile

New_Feature

HOME team in CAPS (if both teams in lower case, game is at neutral location) The HOME ADVANTAGE has been factored in for all HOME and CLOSEBY games. No home edge is applied in neutral games. In a CLOSEBY game, half of the normal home advantage has been applied. Regular Method Predictions "New Feature" Offense-Defense Method Predictions FAVORITE Rating Points Gold Recent UNDERDOG FAVORITE WINNER LOSER SPREAD TOTAL UNDERDOG APPROX ==================================================================================================================================== utah jazz 0.15 0.76 0.11 -0.12 OKLAHOMA CITY TH utah jazz 98.24 - 97.42 0.82 195.65 OKLAHOMA CITY TH ~ 0.85 charlotte hornet 1.99 3.27 1.96 1.46 LOS ANGELES LAKE charlotte hornet 108.59 - 105.19 3.40 213.77 LOS ANGELES LAKE ~ 3.37 CHICAGO BULLS 3.38 3.43 3.33 3.36 denver nuggets CHICAGO BULLS 110.54 - 107.01 3.53 217.55 denver nuggets ~ 3.47 DETROIT PISTONS 3.95 4.34 3.94 3.78 portland trail b DETROIT PISTONS 106.56 - 102.29 4.28 208.85 portland trail b ~ 4.29 golden state war 6.95 7.58 7.15 6.68 WASHINGTON WIZAR golden state war 116.98 - 108.89 8.10 225.87 WASHINGTON WIZAR ~ 7.81 MEMPHIS GRIZZLIE 10.18 9.29 10.17 10.60 phoenix suns MEMPHIS GRIZZLIE 107.95 - 98.72 9.23 206.67 phoenix suns ~ 9.31 ==================================================================================================================================== COMBO is the combining of the ELO and the BLUE. ELO and BLUE are set to be on the same scale and so are directly comparable and of course the COMBO is set to that same scale. ELO uses only who the winner and loser was of each game and of course the game location. So the difference in ELO between winning by 1 and losing by 1 is very large. BLUE cares only about the score and game location and so in BLUE, the difference between winning by 1 and losing by 1 is simply only 2 points which would be the same difference as winning by 20 as compared to winning by 18 ... very small. BLUE is an acronym which stands for "BestLinearUnbiasedEstimator" also known as "pure-least-squares." The ELO and the BLUE and thus the COMBO are all "unbiased" in that they consider only results from the season in question. Starting ratings have no bearing at all. Predictions for these ratings are found below at the bottom of the file. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 1 Golden State Warriors = 101.76 50 9 89.48( 26) 15 5 | 23 6 101.34( 1) 102.34( 1) 2 San Antonio Spurs = 98.82 45 13 89.56( 23) 11 5 | 20 7 99.51( 2) 98.31( 2) 3 Houston Rockets = 95.53 42 19 89.68( 20) 9 10 | 14 14 94.84( 4) 96.41( 3) 4 Cleveland Cavaliers = 94.64 41 17 89.08( 29) 9 6 | 15 12 95.01( 3) 94.32( 5) 5 Los Angeles Clippers = 93.78 36 23 90.26( 8) 10 11 | 15 17 93.83( 6) 93.75( 6) 6 Utah Jazz = 93.50 37 22 89.51( 24) 5 14 | 12 17 92.73( 7) 94.41( 4) 7 Toronto Raptors = 93.14 36 24 89.49( 25) 9 11 | 14 15 92.60( 8) 93.75( 7) 8 Boston Celtics = 93.03 38 22 90.02( 15) 7 11 | 15 18 93.87( 5) 92.30( 8) 9 Memphis Grizzlies = 92.15 35 25 90.41( 5) 12 11 | 17 14 92.54( 9) 91.79( 9) 10 Oklahoma City Thunder = 91.48 34 25 90.23( 10) 9 12 | 15 18 92.38( 10) 90.66( 11) NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 11 Washington Wizards = 91.36 34 23 88.94( 30) 5 11 | 14 15 91.58( 11) 91.17( 10) 12 Atlanta Hawks = 89.94 33 26 89.48( 27) 7 8 | 15 12 91.11( 12) 88.79( 19) 13 Chicago Bulls = 89.64 30 29 89.68( 21) 11 6 | 15 15 89.82( 13) 89.48( 15) 14 Detroit Pistons = 89.63 28 31 90.05( 14) 5 14 | 11 20 89.61( 15) 89.66( 13) 15 Charlotte Hornets = 89.39 25 34 90.13( 12) 4 18 | 9 25 88.34( 18) 90.42( 12) 16 Indiana Pacers = 89.00 31 29 89.23( 28) 8 8 | 14 15 89.62( 14) 88.38( 21) 17 Miami Heat = 88.85 27 33 89.98( 16) 5 14 | 14 20 88.21( 19) 89.50( 14) 18 Milwaukee Bucks = 88.84 26 32 89.57( 22) 5 12 | 13 20 88.19( 20) 89.48( 16) 19 Denver Nuggets = 88.72 26 33 90.10( 13) 6 17 | 8 22 88.38( 16) 89.08( 18) 20 Portland Trail Blazers = 88.30 24 34 90.76( 1) 6 18 | 10 24 88.36( 17) 88.26( 22) NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 21 Minnesota Timberwolves = 88.21 24 36 89.81( 18) 5 18 | 11 24 87.08( 25) 89.24( 17) 22 Dallas Mavericks = 87.92 24 35 90.23( 9) 4 17 | 9 23 87.45( 22) 88.39( 20) 23 Sacramento Kings = 87.77 25 35 90.43( 4) 8 15 | 13 21 87.83( 21) 87.73( 23) 24 New York Knicks = 86.88 24 36 89.79( 19) 3 16 | 9 26 87.22( 23) 86.53( 24) 25 New Orleans Pelicans = 86.84 23 37 90.29( 7) 5 19 | 7 26 87.22( 24) 86.46( 25) 26 Philadelphia 76ers = 85.76 22 37 89.91( 17) 2 17 | 7 26 86.76( 26) 84.51( 27) 27 Phoenix Suns = 85.16 18 41 90.75( 2) 3 20 | 7 27 84.85( 28) 85.46( 26) 28 Orlando Magic = 84.97 22 38 90.18( 11) 5 13 | 10 24 85.78( 27) 83.98( 29) 29 Los Angeles Lakers = 84.43 19 41 90.72( 3) 5 18 | 10 24 84.75( 29) 84.11( 28) 30 Brooklyn Nets = 80.54 9 49 90.31( 6) 1 19 | 4 29 79.17( 30) 81.38( 30) ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ DIVISION WIN50% ARITH.MEAN TEAMS 1 SOUTHWEST (west) = 92.22 92.25 5 2 CENTRAL (EAST) = 90.31 90.35 5 3 PACIFIC (west) = 90.20 90.58 5 4 NORTHWEST (west) = 90.02 90.04 5 5 SOUTHEAST (EAST) = 88.93 88.90 5 6 ATLANTIC (EAST) = 87.91 87.87 5 DIVISION WIN50% ARITH.MEAN TEAMS 6 ATLANTIC (EAST) = 87.91 87.87 5 2 CENTRAL (EAST) = 90.31 90.35 5 5 SOUTHEAST (EAST) = 88.93 88.90 5 1 SOUTHWEST (west) = 92.22 92.25 5 4 NORTHWEST (west) = 90.02 90.04 5 3 PACIFIC (west) = 90.20 90.58 5 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 ATLANTIC (EAST) = 87.91 87.87 NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 7 Toronto Raptors = 93.14 36 24 89.49( 25) 9 11 | 14 15 92.60( 8) 93.75( 7) 8 Boston Celtics = 93.03 38 22 90.02( 15) 7 11 | 15 18 93.87( 5) 92.30( 8) 24 New York Knicks = 86.88 24 36 89.79( 19) 3 16 | 9 26 87.22( 23) 86.53( 24) 26 Philadelphia 76ers = 85.76 22 37 89.91( 17) 2 17 | 7 26 86.76( 26) 84.51( 27) 30 Brooklyn Nets = 80.54 9 49 90.31( 6) 1 19 | 4 29 79.17( 30) 81.38( 30) ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 CENTRAL (EAST) = 90.31 90.35 NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 4 Cleveland Cavaliers = 94.64 41 17 89.08( 29) 9 6 | 15 12 95.01( 3) 94.32( 5) 13 Chicago Bulls = 89.64 30 29 89.68( 21) 11 6 | 15 15 89.82( 13) 89.48( 15) 14 Detroit Pistons = 89.63 28 31 90.05( 14) 5 14 | 11 20 89.61( 15) 89.66( 13) 16 Indiana Pacers = 89.00 31 29 89.23( 28) 8 8 | 14 15 89.62( 14) 88.38( 21) 18 Milwaukee Bucks = 88.84 26 32 89.57( 22) 5 12 | 13 20 88.19( 20) 89.48( 16) ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 SOUTHEAST (EAST) = 88.93 88.90 NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 11 Washington Wizards = 91.36 34 23 88.94( 30) 5 11 | 14 15 91.58( 11) 91.17( 10) 12 Atlanta Hawks = 89.94 33 26 89.48( 27) 7 8 | 15 12 91.11( 12) 88.79( 19) 15 Charlotte Hornets = 89.39 25 34 90.13( 12) 4 18 | 9 25 88.34( 18) 90.42( 12) 17 Miami Heat = 88.85 27 33 89.98( 16) 5 14 | 14 20 88.21( 19) 89.50( 14) 28 Orlando Magic = 84.97 22 38 90.18( 11) 5 13 | 10 24 85.78( 27) 83.98( 29) ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 SOUTHWEST (west) = 92.22 92.25 NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 2 San Antonio Spurs = 98.82 45 13 89.56( 23) 11 5 | 20 7 99.51( 2) 98.31( 2) 3 Houston Rockets = 95.53 42 19 89.68( 20) 9 10 | 14 14 94.84( 4) 96.41( 3) 9 Memphis Grizzlies = 92.15 35 25 90.41( 5) 12 11 | 17 14 92.54( 9) 91.79( 9) 22 Dallas Mavericks = 87.92 24 35 90.23( 9) 4 17 | 9 23 87.45( 22) 88.39( 20) 25 New Orleans Pelicans = 86.84 23 37 90.29( 7) 5 19 | 7 26 87.22( 24) 86.46( 25) ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 NORTHWEST (west) = 90.02 90.04 NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 6 Utah Jazz = 93.50 37 22 89.51( 24) 5 14 | 12 17 92.73( 7) 94.41( 4) 10 Oklahoma City Thunder = 91.48 34 25 90.23( 10) 9 12 | 15 18 92.38( 10) 90.66( 11) 19 Denver Nuggets = 88.72 26 33 90.10( 13) 6 17 | 8 22 88.38( 16) 89.08( 18) 20 Portland Trail Blazers = 88.30 24 34 90.76( 1) 6 18 | 10 24 88.36( 17) 88.26( 22) 21 Minnesota Timberwolves = 88.21 24 36 89.81( 18) 5 18 | 11 24 87.08( 25) 89.24( 17) ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 PACIFIC (west) = 90.20 90.58 NBA 2016-2017 through games of 2017 February 27 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 2.72] [ 2.43] [ 3.00] COMBO W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top 16 ELO BLUE 1 Golden State Warriors = 101.76 50 9 89.48( 26) 15 5 | 23 6 101.34( 1) 102.34( 1) 5 Los Angeles Clippers = 93.78 36 23 90.26( 8) 10 11 | 15 17 93.83( 6) 93.75( 6) 23 Sacramento Kings = 87.77 25 35 90.43( 4) 8 15 | 13 21 87.83( 21) 87.73( 23) 27 Phoenix Suns = 85.16 18 41 90.75( 2) 3 20 | 7 27 84.85( 28) 85.46( 26) 29 Los Angeles Lakers = 84.43 19 41 90.72( 3) 5 18 | 10 24 84.75( 29) 84.11( 28) ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ end_ratings Combo Elo Blue @ Oklahoma City Thunde 0.70 2.08 -0.75 Utah Jazz Charlotte Hornets 2.24 1.16 3.31 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ Chicago Bulls 3.64 3.87 3.40 Denver Nuggets @ Detroit Pistons 4.04 3.68 4.40 Portland Trail Blaze Golden State Warrior 7.68 7.33 8.17 @ Washington Wizards @ Memphis Grizzlies 9.71 10.12 9.34 Phoenix Suns Combo Elo Blue endpicks

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