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Jeff Sagarin'stm NBA Ratings


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[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2025 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NBA 2025-2026 ratings through results of 2025 NOVEMBER 26 WEDNESDAY - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  3  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 97 would be
favored by  5  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 95.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 94 would be favored by  7  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 84.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.96]                                               [  1.88]       [  2.12]       [  1.88]       [  1.88]
   1  Oklahoma City Thunder   = 102.28   18   1   87.36(  30)    3   0  |    5   0  |  101.87    1 |  102.28    1 |  103.28    1 |  105.25    1  northwest
   2  Houston Rockets         =  98.27   12   4   91.36(   6)    2   4  |    6   4  |   98.35    2 |   97.99    2 |   98.81    2 |  101.38    2  southwest
   3  Denver Nuggets          =  97.23   13   4   88.81(  23)    3   0  |    6   1  |   97.08    3 |   97.13    3 |   97.78    3 |   98.80    3  northwest
   4  Cleveland Cavaliers     =  95.06   12   7   89.57(  19)    1   2  |    3   7  |   95.07    6 |   95.39    4 |   94.90    5 |   93.45   12  CENTRAL
   5  New York Knicks         =  94.86   11   6   88.73(  26)    2   2  |    4   4  |   95.23    5 |   94.49    6 |   95.06    4 |   95.20    6  ATLANTIC
   6  Orlando Magic           =  94.55   11   8   90.02(  14)    2   2  |    5   6  |   95.33    4 |   93.92    8 |   94.63    6 |   95.30    5  SOUTHEAST
   7  Detroit Pistons         =  93.94   15   3   88.40(  28)    2   1  |    4   2  |   93.40    9 |   94.59    5 |   94.04    7 |   95.63    4  CENTRAL
   8  San Antonio Spurs       =  93.55   12   5   88.87(  22)    1   1  |    4   5  |   93.54    7 |   93.94    7 |   93.30    9 |   93.85   10  southwest
   9  Los Angeles Lakers      =  93.27   13   4   89.28(  21)    3   1  |    4   3  |   92.84   11 |   93.69    9 |   93.41    8 |   94.20    9  pacific
  10  Minnesota Timberwolves  =  93.12   10   8   88.26(  29)    0   6  |    0   7  |   93.44    8 |   92.79   10 |   93.24   10 |   92.56   13  northwest
NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.96]                                               [  1.88]       [  2.12]       [  1.88]       [  1.88]
  11  Miami Heat              =  92.60   13   6   90.94(  11)    3   6  |    4   6  |   92.99   10 |   92.32   12 |   92.60   11 |   94.27    8  SOUTHEAST
  12  Toronto Raptors         =  92.45   14   5   88.75(  25)    3   2  |    5   2  |   92.62   12 |   92.57   11 |   92.26   12 |   94.34    7  ATLANTIC
  13  Golden State Warriors   =  91.97   10  10   90.96(   9)    4   4  |    5   5  |   92.01   14 |   91.82   13 |   92.15   13 |   91.75   15  pacific
  14  Boston Celtics          =  91.76   10   8   89.48(  20)    4   4  |    4   4  |   92.29   13 |   91.37   15 |   91.69   14 |   92.50   14  ATLANTIC
  15  Atlanta Hawks           =  91.55   11   8   89.68(  16)    3   4  |    4   6  |   91.60   15 |   91.73   14 |   91.36   15 |   90.82   16  SOUTHEAST
  16  Phoenix Suns            =  90.18   12   7   88.54(  27)    3   2  |    3   4  |   90.23   16 |   89.56   17 |   90.77   16 |   93.71   11  pacific
  17  Philadelphia 76ers      =  89.56    9   8   89.89(  15)    1   4  |    4   7  |   89.23   17 |   90.25   16 |   89.18   17 |   88.56   17  ATLANTIC
  18  Los Angeles Clippers    =  88.51    5  13   90.94(  10)    0   5  |    1  11  |   88.40   20 |   88.83   18 |   88.23   20 |   85.24   22  pacific
  19  Portland Trail Blazers  =  88.42    8  11   92.28(   2)    3   6  |    5   8  |   88.46   19 |   88.70   20 |   88.02   21 |   87.81   18  northwest
  20  Milwaukee Bucks         =  88.36    8  11   89.58(  18)    1   5  |    3   7  |   88.02   21 |   88.71   19 |   88.27   18 |   86.41   20  CENTRAL
NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.96]                                               [  1.88]       [  2.12]       [  1.88]       [  1.88]
  21  Memphis Grizzlies       =  88.33    7  12   91.40(   5)    0   8  |    1  12  |   88.51   18 |   88.17   21 |   88.25   19 |   87.43   19  southwest
  22  Chicago Bulls           =  86.91    9   8   90.69(  12)    4   4  |    5   5  |   86.39   23 |   87.72   22 |   86.44   23 |   86.35   21  CENTRAL
  23  Dallas Mavericks        =  86.36    5  14   88.77(  24)    0   6  |    1   8  |   86.41   22 |   86.07   23 |   86.45   22 |   84.21   23  southwest
  24  Sacramento Kings        =  85.07    5  14   93.39(   1)    2   9  |    3  12  |   84.55   24 |   85.26   24 |   85.19   24 |   84.07   24  pacific
  25  Indiana Pacers          =  84.00    2  16   91.14(   8)    0   6  |    1  11  |   83.66   25 |   83.43   25 |   84.61   25 |   82.48   25  CENTRAL
  26  New Orleans Pelicans    =  83.24    3  16   91.19(   7)    0   7  |    0  11  |   83.19   27 |   82.96   26 |   83.31   26 |   81.81   27  southwest
  27  Charlotte Hornets       =  83.12    4  14   89.61(  17)    0   5  |    0   9  |   83.45   26 |   82.83   27 |   82.79   27 |   82.05   26  SOUTHEAST
  28  Utah Jazz               =  81.38    5  12   90.50(  13)    0   6  |    2   9  |   81.32   28 |   81.56   28 |   80.90   28 |   81.74   28  northwest
  29  Brooklyn Nets           =  80.87    3  14   91.59(   3)    0   8  |    1  12  |   81.17   29 |   80.73   29 |   80.31   29 |   80.88   29  ATLANTIC
  30  Washington Wizards      =  79.24    2  15   91.52(   4)    0   7  |    1   9  |   79.33   30 |   79.19   30 |   78.78   30 |   77.98   30  SOUTHEAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT

   1  northwest               =  92.70      92.49  (  1)      5      92.61  (  1)  92.4854( 8.0451)  92.4348( 7.9211)  92.4932( 7.9280)  92.6432( 8.6469)
   2  ATLANTIC                =  90.56      89.90  (  3)      5      90.13  (  2)  89.9005( 5.3911)  90.1083( 5.4301)  89.8834( 5.3507)  89.6992( 5.6486)
   3  pacific                 =  89.98      89.80  (  4)      5      89.82  (  4)  89.7989( 3.1967)  89.6092( 3.3037)  89.8314( 3.1927)  89.9493( 3.2845)
   4  southwest               =  89.59      89.95  (  2)      5      89.84  (  3)  89.9496( 5.9710)  90.0008( 5.9933)  89.8243( 6.0738)  90.0233( 6.1012)
   5  CENTRAL                 =  89.54      89.65  (  5)      5      89.64  (  5)  89.6545( 4.7087)  89.3075( 4.7967)  89.9684( 5.0022)  89.6525( 4.5951)
   6  SOUTHEAST               =  88.87      88.21  (  6)      5      88.40  (  6)  88.2112( 6.6511)  88.5393( 6.8205)  87.9993( 6.5589)  88.0325( 6.8654)

       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 5.4836)  90.0000( 5.5020)  90.0000( 5.5020)  90.0000( 5.7148)

      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT

   2  ATLANTIC                =  90.56      89.90  (  3)      5      90.13  (  2)  89.9005( 5.3911)  90.1083( 5.4301)  89.8834( 5.3507)  89.6992( 5.6486)
   5  CENTRAL                 =  89.54      89.65  (  5)      5      89.64  (  5)  89.6545( 4.7087)  89.3075( 4.7967)  89.9684( 5.0022)  89.6525( 4.5951)
   6  SOUTHEAST               =  88.87      88.21  (  6)      5      88.40  (  6)  88.2112( 6.6511)  88.5393( 6.8205)  87.9993( 6.5589)  88.0325( 6.8654)
   4  southwest               =  89.59      89.95  (  2)      5      89.84  (  3)  89.9496( 5.9710)  90.0008( 5.9933)  89.8243( 6.0738)  90.0233( 6.1012)
   1  northwest               =  92.70      92.49  (  1)      5      92.61  (  1)  92.4854( 8.0451)  92.4348( 7.9211)  92.4932( 7.9280)  92.6432( 8.6469)
   3  pacific                 =  89.98      89.80  (  4)      5      89.82  (  4)  89.7989( 3.1967)  89.6092( 3.3037)  89.8314( 3.1927)  89.9493( 3.2845)

       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 5.4836)  90.0000( 5.5020)  90.0000( 5.5020)  90.0000( 5.7148)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 ATLANTIC = 90.56 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.96] [ 1.88] [ 2.12] [ 1.88] [ 1.88] 5 New York Knicks = 94.86 11 6 88.73( 26) 2 2 | 4 4 | 95.23 5 | 94.49 6 | 95.06 4 | 95.20 6 ATLANTIC 12 Toronto Raptors = 92.45 14 5 88.75( 25) 3 2 | 5 2 | 92.62 12 | 92.57 11 | 92.26 12 | 94.34 7 ATLANTIC 14 Boston Celtics = 91.76 10 8 89.48( 20) 4 4 | 4 4 | 92.29 13 | 91.37 15 | 91.69 14 | 92.50 14 ATLANTIC 17 Philadelphia 76ers = 89.56 9 8 89.89( 15) 1 4 | 4 7 | 89.23 17 | 90.25 16 | 89.18 17 | 88.56 17 ATLANTIC 29 Brooklyn Nets = 80.87 3 14 91.59( 3) 0 8 | 1 12 | 81.17 29 | 80.73 29 | 80.31 29 | 80.88 29 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 CENTRAL = 89.54 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.96] [ 1.88] [ 2.12] [ 1.88] [ 1.88] 4 Cleveland Cavaliers = 95.06 12 7 89.57( 19) 1 2 | 3 7 | 95.07 6 | 95.39 4 | 94.90 5 | 93.45 12 CENTRAL 7 Detroit Pistons = 93.94 15 3 88.40( 28) 2 1 | 4 2 | 93.40 9 | 94.59 5 | 94.04 7 | 95.63 4 CENTRAL 20 Milwaukee Bucks = 88.36 8 11 89.58( 18) 1 5 | 3 7 | 88.02 21 | 88.71 19 | 88.27 18 | 86.41 20 CENTRAL 22 Chicago Bulls = 86.91 9 8 90.69( 12) 4 4 | 5 5 | 86.39 23 | 87.72 22 | 86.44 23 | 86.35 21 CENTRAL 25 Indiana Pacers = 84.00 2 16 91.14( 8) 0 6 | 1 11 | 83.66 25 | 83.43 25 | 84.61 25 | 82.48 25 CENTRAL _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 SOUTHEAST = 88.87 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.96] [ 1.88] [ 2.12] [ 1.88] [ 1.88] 6 Orlando Magic = 94.55 11 8 90.02( 14) 2 2 | 5 6 | 95.33 4 | 93.92 8 | 94.63 6 | 95.30 5 SOUTHEAST 11 Miami Heat = 92.60 13 6 90.94( 11) 3 6 | 4 6 | 92.99 10 | 92.32 12 | 92.60 11 | 94.27 8 SOUTHEAST 15 Atlanta Hawks = 91.55 11 8 89.68( 16) 3 4 | 4 6 | 91.60 15 | 91.73 14 | 91.36 15 | 90.82 16 SOUTHEAST 27 Charlotte Hornets = 83.12 4 14 89.61( 17) 0 5 | 0 9 | 83.45 26 | 82.83 27 | 82.79 27 | 82.05 26 SOUTHEAST 30 Washington Wizards = 79.24 2 15 91.52( 4) 0 7 | 1 9 | 79.33 30 | 79.19 30 | 78.78 30 | 77.98 30 SOUTHEAST _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 southwest = 89.59 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.96] [ 1.88] [ 2.12] [ 1.88] [ 1.88] 2 Houston Rockets = 98.27 12 4 91.36( 6) 2 4 | 6 4 | 98.35 2 | 97.99 2 | 98.81 2 | 101.38 2 southwest 8 San Antonio Spurs = 93.55 12 5 88.87( 22) 1 1 | 4 5 | 93.54 7 | 93.94 7 | 93.30 9 | 93.85 10 southwest 21 Memphis Grizzlies = 88.33 7 12 91.40( 5) 0 8 | 1 12 | 88.51 18 | 88.17 21 | 88.25 19 | 87.43 19 southwest 23 Dallas Mavericks = 86.36 5 14 88.77( 24) 0 6 | 1 8 | 86.41 22 | 86.07 23 | 86.45 22 | 84.21 23 southwest 26 New Orleans Pelicans = 83.24 3 16 91.19( 7) 0 7 | 0 11 | 83.19 27 | 82.96 26 | 83.31 26 | 81.81 27 southwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 northwest = 92.70 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.96] [ 1.88] [ 2.12] [ 1.88] [ 1.88] 1 Oklahoma City Thunder = 102.28 18 1 87.36( 30) 3 0 | 5 0 | 101.87 1 | 102.28 1 | 103.28 1 | 105.25 1 northwest 3 Denver Nuggets = 97.23 13 4 88.81( 23) 3 0 | 6 1 | 97.08 3 | 97.13 3 | 97.78 3 | 98.80 3 northwest 10 Minnesota Timberwolves = 93.12 10 8 88.26( 29) 0 6 | 0 7 | 93.44 8 | 92.79 10 | 93.24 10 | 92.56 13 northwest 19 Portland Trail Blazers = 88.42 8 11 92.28( 2) 3 6 | 5 8 | 88.46 19 | 88.70 20 | 88.02 21 | 87.81 18 northwest 28 Utah Jazz = 81.38 5 12 90.50( 13) 0 6 | 2 9 | 81.32 28 | 81.56 28 | 80.90 28 | 81.74 28 northwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 pacific = 89.98 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.96] [ 1.88] [ 2.12] [ 1.88] [ 1.88] 9 Los Angeles Lakers = 93.27 13 4 89.28( 21) 3 1 | 4 3 | 92.84 11 | 93.69 9 | 93.41 8 | 94.20 9 pacific 13 Golden State Warriors = 91.97 10 10 90.96( 9) 4 4 | 5 5 | 92.01 14 | 91.82 13 | 92.15 13 | 91.75 15 pacific 16 Phoenix Suns = 90.18 12 7 88.54( 27) 3 2 | 3 4 | 90.23 16 | 89.56 17 | 90.77 16 | 93.71 11 pacific 18 Los Angeles Clippers = 88.51 5 13 90.94( 10) 0 5 | 1 11 | 88.40 20 | 88.83 18 | 88.23 20 | 85.24 22 pacific 24 Sacramento Kings = 85.07 5 14 93.39( 1) 2 9 | 3 12 | 84.55 24 | 85.26 24 | 85.19 24 | 84.07 24 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.96 1.88 2.12 1.88 1.88 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 @ New York Knicks 8.46 9.09 7.89 8.67 10.67 Milwaukee Bucks 293 75% 121.72 111.47 233.19 2 Philadelphia 76ers 6.74 6.18 7.40 6.98 5.80 @ Brooklyn Nets 239 70% 112.88 119.57 232.45 3 Chicago Bulls 1.84 1.06 2.77 1.78 2.43 @ Charlotte Hornets 128 56% 117.91 120.48 238.39 4 @ Detroit Pistons 1.35 -0.05 2.78 1.28 2.21 Orlando Magic 120 55% 116.14 116.29 232.43 5 Cleveland Cavaliers 1.55 1.59 1.54 1.67 0.74 @ Atlanta Hawks 123 55% 116.16 115.45 231.61 6 @ Indiana Pacers 6.72 6.21 6.36 7.70 6.38 Washington Wizards 238 70% 117.58 114.11 231.69 7 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 14.07 13.52 14.84 14.39 13.41 Phoenix Suns 555 85% 120.33 106.53 226.87 8 @ Denver Nuggets 5.64 5.42 5.31 6.36 6.82 San Antonio Spurs 209 68% 118.87 113.54 232.41 9 Sacramento Kings 1.74 1.35 1.59 2.41 0.45 @ Utah Jazz 126 56% 120.08 119.66 239.74 10 @ Los Angeles Lakers 8.87 8.31 9.73 8.85 11.86 Dallas Mavericks 308 75% 120.45 107.25 227.70 11 @ Los Angeles Clippers 2.14 1.77 2.78 1.85 -0.31 Memphis Grizzlies 133 57% 115.67 115.62 231.29 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2025 November 26 Wednesday - HAPPY THANKSGIVING! HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.96 1.88 2.12 1.88 1.88 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 @ New York Knicks 15.01 15.64 14.45 15.23 17.23 Milwaukee Bucks 615 86% 121.72 111.47 233.19 2 Philadelphia 76ers 10.36 9.80 11.02 10.60 9.42 @ Brooklyn Nets 366 79% 112.88 119.57 232.45 3 Chicago Bulls 3.20 2.43 4.14 3.14 3.79 @ Charlotte Hornets 153 60% 117.91 120.48 238.39 4 @ Detroit Pistons 1.41 0.00 2.83 1.34 2.26 Orlando Magic 121 55% 116.14 116.29 232.43 5 Cleveland Cavaliers 3.54 3.59 3.53 3.66 2.74 @ Atlanta Hawks 160 62% 116.16 115.45 231.61 6 @ Indiana Pacers 3.75 3.24 3.39 4.73 3.41 Washington Wizards 164 62% 117.58 114.11 231.69 7 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 14.57 14.02 15.34 14.89 13.91 Phoenix Suns 586 85% 120.33 106.53 226.87 8 @ Denver Nuggets 7.02 6.80 6.69 7.74 8.21 San Antonio Spurs 247 71% 118.87 113.54 232.41 9 @ Utah Jazz 3.07 3.45 3.22 2.40 4.35 Sacramento Kings 150 60% 120.08 119.66 239.74 10 @ Los Angeles Lakers 14.93 14.37 15.79 14.91 17.92 Dallas Mavericks 609 86% 120.45 107.25 227.70 11 @ Los Angeles Clippers 0.56 0.20 1.21 0.28 -1.88 Memphis Grizzlies 108 52% 115.67 115.62 231.29
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ New York Knicks        6.49   231   70%    Milwaukee Bucks
    2    Philadelphia 76ers     7.18   251   72%  @ Brooklyn Nets
    3    Chicago Bulls          5.14   196   66%  @ Charlotte Hornets
    4  @ Detroit Pistons        3.81   165   62%    Orlando Magic
    5    Cleveland Cavaliers    0.68   110   52%  @ Atlanta Hawks
    6  @ Indiana Pacers         3.55   160   62%    Washington Wizards
    7  @ Oklahoma City Thunde  10.05   353   78%    Phoenix Suns
    8  @ Denver Nuggets         4.24   175   64%    San Antonio Spurs
    9    Sacramento Kings       0.29   104   51%  @ Utah Jazz
   10  @ Los Angeles Lakers    11.04   395   80%    Dallas Mavericks
   11  @ Los Angeles Clippers   1.03   115   53%    Memphis Grizzlies
endfile

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