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Jeff Sagarin'stm NBA Ratings


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NBA 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 NOVEMBER 2 MONDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  3  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 97 would be
favored by  5  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 95.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 94 would be favored by  7  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 84.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.55]                                               [  1.55]       [  1.55]       [  1.55]       [  1.55]
   1  San Antonio Spurs       =  97.59    5   2   89.85(  18)    1   2  |    1   2  |   98.22    1 |   97.72    1 |   97.32    3 |   95.65    4  southwest
   2  Houston Rockets         =  96.59    7   1   90.73(  12)    3   0  |    5   0  |   96.21    2 |   96.44    3 |   97.06    4 |   98.65    2  southwest
   3  Detroit Pistons         =  95.20    6   1   89.53(  20)    2   0  |    2   1  |   95.68    4 |   95.67    4 |   92.51    8 |   94.46    7  CENTRAL
   4  Minnesota Timberwolves  =  95.02    5   3   89.96(  16)    1   1  |    1   3  |   95.55    5 |   94.35    6 |   94.91    6 |   94.90    6  northwest
   5  Oklahoma City Thunder   =  94.75    5   2   91.75(   6)    1   1  |    3   1  |   96.05    3 |   97.22    2 |   92.22   10 |   89.87   13  northwest
   6  Los Angeles Lakers      =  93.58    6   2   89.16(  23)    1   1  |    2   2  |   93.20   10 |   93.32    8 |   95.29    5 |   94.91    5  pacific
   7  Portland Trail Blazers  =  93.29    5   1   89.35(  22)    1   0  |    2   1  |   92.57   12 |   92.63   10 |   97.46    1 |   97.61    3  northwest
   8  Philadelphia 76ers      =  93.11    7   1   88.34(  26)    0   1  |    3   1  |   93.97    6 |   95.20    5 |   88.57   20 |   89.63   15  ATLANTIC
   9  Boston Celtics          =  92.87    5   2   88.30(  27)    0   2  |    1   2  |   93.88    7 |   94.09    7 |   89.42   17 |   89.48   16  ATLANTIC
  10  Toronto Raptors         =  92.69    4   3   88.92(  24)    0   2  |    0   2  |   93.41    9 |   92.13   12 |   92.32    9 |   91.76   11  ATLANTIC
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.55]                                               [  1.55]       [  1.55]       [  1.55]       [  1.55]
  11  Cleveland Cavaliers     =  92.20    4   3   89.43(  21)    1   2  |    1   3  |   92.89   11 |   92.51   11 |   90.21   14 |   90.39   12  CENTRAL
  12  New York Knicks         =  91.90    3   4   89.61(  19)    1   3  |    1   3  |   93.43    8 |   92.96    9 |   87.36   23 |   87.22   21  ATLANTIC
  13  Golden State Warriors   =  91.70    5   3   90.76(  10)    2   1  |    3   2  |   90.99   15 |   91.26   14 |   94.69    7 |   94.34    8  pacific
  14  Denver Nuggets          =  91.37    3   3   90.48(  15)    0   2  |    0   3  |   91.46   13 |   91.87   13 |   91.73   11 |   89.68   14  northwest
  15  Memphis Grizzlies       =  90.81    6   1   87.54(  28)    1   0  |    2   0  |   89.31   17 |   90.06   16 |   97.42    2 |   99.09    1  southwest
  16  Atlanta Hawks           =  90.54    4   4   90.74(  11)    0   2  |    1   2  |   91.34   14 |   90.55   15 |   89.04   19 |   88.47   20  SOUTHEAST
  17  Dallas Mavericks        =  89.45    4   3   92.12(   4)    2   2  |    2   2  |   88.70   18 |   88.96   19 |   91.54   13 |   92.19   10  southwest
  18  Miami Heat              =  89.21    2   5   90.77(   9)    0   3  |    1   3  |   89.80   16 |   89.77   17 |   87.44   22 |   86.45   24  SOUTHEAST
  19  Orlando Magic           =  88.13    2   5   91.78(   5)    1   3  |    2   4  |   88.68   19 |   89.07   18 |   85.19   25 |   84.46   26  SOUTHEAST
  20  Washington Wizards      =  88.08    4   3   87.26(  30)    0   1  |    0   2  |   88.10   21 |   88.09   20 |   86.75   24 |   88.86   18  SOUTHEAST
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.55]                                               [  1.55]       [  1.55]       [  1.55]       [  1.55]
  21  Phoenix Suns            =  87.94    1   4   92.87(   1)    0   2  |    1   4  |   87.50   22 |   87.87   21 |   89.54   16 |   88.70   19  pacific
  22  New Orleans Pelicans    =  87.71    3   4   88.53(  25)    0   0  |    2   2  |   86.55   23 |   85.91   24 |   91.72   12 |   92.71    9  southwest
  23  Indiana Pacers          =  87.31    2   6   87.37(  29)    0   1  |    0   2  |   88.34   20 |   87.42   22 |   84.29   26 |   83.31   29  CENTRAL
  24  Utah Jazz               =  86.31    1   6   92.37(   3)    0   4  |    0   6  |   85.90   24 |   85.85   25 |   89.60   15 |   86.65   23  northwest
  25  Charlotte Hornets       =  85.77    3   5   89.91(  17)    0   3  |    0   4  |   85.65   25 |   87.06   23 |   82.69   28 |   83.72   27  SOUTHEAST
  26  Los Angeles Clippers    =  85.69    1   6   92.51(   2)    0   5  |    0   6  |   84.59   26 |   83.98   26 |   89.37   18 |   89.07   17  pacific
  27  Brooklyn Nets           =  83.31    1   6   90.65(  13)    0   2  |    0   4  |   83.09   27 |   81.84   29 |   83.48   27 |   86.19   25  ATLANTIC
  28  Sacramento Kings        =  83.21    1   6   91.34(   7)    0   2  |    0   4  |   80.37   30 |   81.21   30 |   87.82   21 |   86.71   22  pacific
  29  Chicago Bulls           =  82.54    1   6   91.28(   8)    0   4  |    0   5  |   82.60   28 |   83.14   27 |   80.49   30 |   81.57   30  CENTRAL
  30  Milwaukee Bucks         =  82.15    1   6   90.59(  14)    0   3  |    0   4  |   81.94   29 |   81.86   28 |   82.54   29 |   83.31   28  CENTRAL
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  northwest               =  92.60      92.15  (  2)      5      92.21  (  2)  92.1479( 3.5695)  92.3071( 4.0716)  92.3843( 4.1902)  93.1829( 3.0474)  91.7403( 4.4180)
   2  southwest               =  92.20      92.43  (  1)      5      92.40  (  1)  92.4306( 4.4074)  91.7994( 5.1010)  91.8190( 5.0563)  95.0122( 3.0895)  95.6601( 3.2174)
   3  ATLANTIC                =  91.56      90.77  (  3)      5      90.91  (  3)  90.7742( 4.1979)  91.5570( 4.7404)  91.2447( 5.3849)  88.2314( 3.2262)  88.8540( 2.1917)
   4  pacific                 =  88.37      88.42  (  4)      5      88.42  (  4)  88.4221( 4.2470)  87.3323( 5.0945)  87.5257( 5.0007)  91.3425( 3.4030)  90.7452( 3.6581)
   5  SOUTHEAST               =  88.36      88.35  (  5)      5      88.35  (  5)  88.3454( 1.7547)  88.7127( 2.1093)  88.9069( 1.3748)  86.2230( 2.4109)  86.3928( 2.3073)
   6  CENTRAL                 =  87.64      87.88  (  6)      5      87.84  (  6)  87.8798( 5.7877)  88.2915( 6.0929)  88.1194( 5.9311)  86.0081( 5.1313)  86.6077( 5.5450)
       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 4.2419)  90.0000( 4.7116)  90.0000( 4.7116)  90.0000( 4.7116)  90.0000( 4.7116)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   3  ATLANTIC                =  91.56      90.77  (  3)      5      90.91  (  3)  90.7742( 4.1979)  91.5570( 4.7404)  91.2447( 5.3849)  88.2314( 3.2262)  88.8540( 2.1917)
   6  CENTRAL                 =  87.64      87.88  (  6)      5      87.84  (  6)  87.8798( 5.7877)  88.2915( 6.0929)  88.1194( 5.9311)  86.0081( 5.1313)  86.6077( 5.5450)
   5  SOUTHEAST               =  88.36      88.35  (  5)      5      88.35  (  5)  88.3454( 1.7547)  88.7127( 2.1093)  88.9069( 1.3748)  86.2230( 2.4109)  86.3928( 2.3073)
   2  southwest               =  92.20      92.43  (  1)      5      92.40  (  1)  92.4306( 4.4074)  91.7994( 5.1010)  91.8190( 5.0563)  95.0122( 3.0895)  95.6601( 3.2174)
   1  northwest               =  92.60      92.15  (  2)      5      92.21  (  2)  92.1479( 3.5695)  92.3071( 4.0716)  92.3843( 4.1902)  93.1829( 3.0474)  91.7403( 4.4180)
   4  pacific                 =  88.37      88.42  (  4)      5      88.42  (  4)  88.4221( 4.2470)  87.3323( 5.0945)  87.5257( 5.0007)  91.3425( 3.4030)  90.7452( 3.6581)
       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 4.2419)  90.0000( 4.7116)  90.0000( 4.7116)  90.0000( 4.7116)  90.0000( 4.7116)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 ATLANTIC = 91.56 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] 8 Philadelphia 76ers = 93.11 7 1 88.34( 26) 0 1 | 3 1 | 93.97 6 | 95.20 5 | 88.57 20 | 89.63 15 ATLANTIC 9 Boston Celtics = 92.87 5 2 88.30( 27) 0 2 | 1 2 | 93.88 7 | 94.09 7 | 89.42 17 | 89.48 16 ATLANTIC 10 Toronto Raptors = 92.69 4 3 88.92( 24) 0 2 | 0 2 | 93.41 9 | 92.13 12 | 92.32 9 | 91.76 11 ATLANTIC 12 New York Knicks = 91.90 3 4 89.61( 19) 1 3 | 1 3 | 93.43 8 | 92.96 9 | 87.36 23 | 87.22 21 ATLANTIC 27 Brooklyn Nets = 83.31 1 6 90.65( 13) 0 2 | 0 4 | 83.09 27 | 81.84 29 | 83.48 27 | 86.19 25 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 CENTRAL = 87.64 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] 3 Detroit Pistons = 95.20 6 1 89.53( 20) 2 0 | 2 1 | 95.68 4 | 95.67 4 | 92.51 8 | 94.46 7 CENTRAL 11 Cleveland Cavaliers = 92.20 4 3 89.43( 21) 1 2 | 1 3 | 92.89 11 | 92.51 11 | 90.21 14 | 90.39 12 CENTRAL 23 Indiana Pacers = 87.31 2 6 87.37( 29) 0 1 | 0 2 | 88.34 20 | 87.42 22 | 84.29 26 | 83.31 29 CENTRAL 29 Chicago Bulls = 82.54 1 6 91.28( 8) 0 4 | 0 5 | 82.60 28 | 83.14 27 | 80.49 30 | 81.57 30 CENTRAL 30 Milwaukee Bucks = 82.15 1 6 90.59( 14) 0 3 | 0 4 | 81.94 29 | 81.86 28 | 82.54 29 | 83.31 28 CENTRAL _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 SOUTHEAST = 88.36 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] 16 Atlanta Hawks = 90.54 4 4 90.74( 11) 0 2 | 1 2 | 91.34 14 | 90.55 15 | 89.04 19 | 88.47 20 SOUTHEAST 18 Miami Heat = 89.21 2 5 90.77( 9) 0 3 | 1 3 | 89.80 16 | 89.77 17 | 87.44 22 | 86.45 24 SOUTHEAST 19 Orlando Magic = 88.13 2 5 91.78( 5) 1 3 | 2 4 | 88.68 19 | 89.07 18 | 85.19 25 | 84.46 26 SOUTHEAST 20 Washington Wizards = 88.08 4 3 87.26( 30) 0 1 | 0 2 | 88.10 21 | 88.09 20 | 86.75 24 | 88.86 18 SOUTHEAST 25 Charlotte Hornets = 85.77 3 5 89.91( 17) 0 3 | 0 4 | 85.65 25 | 87.06 23 | 82.69 28 | 83.72 27 SOUTHEAST _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 southwest = 92.20 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] 1 San Antonio Spurs = 97.59 5 2 89.85( 18) 1 2 | 1 2 | 98.22 1 | 97.72 1 | 97.32 3 | 95.65 4 southwest 2 Houston Rockets = 96.59 7 1 90.73( 12) 3 0 | 5 0 | 96.21 2 | 96.44 3 | 97.06 4 | 98.65 2 southwest 15 Memphis Grizzlies = 90.81 6 1 87.54( 28) 1 0 | 2 0 | 89.31 17 | 90.06 16 | 97.42 2 | 99.09 1 southwest 17 Dallas Mavericks = 89.45 4 3 92.12( 4) 2 2 | 2 2 | 88.70 18 | 88.96 19 | 91.54 13 | 92.19 10 southwest 22 New Orleans Pelicans = 87.71 3 4 88.53( 25) 0 0 | 2 2 | 86.55 23 | 85.91 24 | 91.72 12 | 92.71 9 southwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 northwest = 92.60 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] 4 Minnesota Timberwolves = 95.02 5 3 89.96( 16) 1 1 | 1 3 | 95.55 5 | 94.35 6 | 94.91 6 | 94.90 6 northwest 5 Oklahoma City Thunder = 94.75 5 2 91.75( 6) 1 1 | 3 1 | 96.05 3 | 97.22 2 | 92.22 10 | 89.87 13 northwest 7 Portland Trail Blazers = 93.29 5 1 89.35( 22) 1 0 | 2 1 | 92.57 12 | 92.63 10 | 97.46 1 | 97.61 3 northwest 14 Denver Nuggets = 91.37 3 3 90.48( 15) 0 2 | 0 3 | 91.46 13 | 91.87 13 | 91.73 11 | 89.68 14 northwest 24 Utah Jazz = 86.31 1 6 92.37( 3) 0 4 | 0 6 | 85.90 24 | 85.85 25 | 89.60 15 | 86.65 23 northwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 88.37 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] [ 1.55] 6 Los Angeles Lakers = 93.58 6 2 89.16( 23) 1 1 | 2 2 | 93.20 10 | 93.32 8 | 95.29 5 | 94.91 5 pacific 13 Golden State Warriors = 91.70 5 3 90.76( 10) 2 1 | 3 2 | 90.99 15 | 91.26 14 | 94.69 7 | 94.34 8 pacific 21 Phoenix Suns = 87.94 1 4 92.87( 1) 0 2 | 1 4 | 87.50 22 | 87.87 21 | 89.54 16 | 88.70 19 pacific 26 Los Angeles Clippers = 85.69 1 6 92.51( 2) 0 5 | 0 6 | 84.59 26 | 83.98 26 | 89.37 18 | 89.07 17 pacific 28 Sacramento Kings = 83.21 1 6 91.34( 7) 0 2 | 0 4 | 80.37 30 | 81.21 30 | 87.82 21 | 86.71 22 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Celtics 12.27 13.49 13.78 8.43 7.72 Milwaukee Bucks 395 80% 121.29 106.66 227.95 14.62 83% 501 2 @ New York Knicks 10.91 12.38 11.37 8.42 7.20 Chicago Bulls 343 77% 119.29 109.27 228.56 10.02 76% 313 3 Charlotte Hornets 0.91 1.01 3.67 -2.34 -4.01 @ Brooklyn Nets 112 53% 106.30 106.47 212.77 -0.17 49% -102 4 Atlanta Hawks 0.91 1.69 0.91 0.73 -1.95 @ Washington Wizards 112 53% 105.37 111.14 216.51 -5.77 34% -197 5 @ Detroit Pistons 3.65 3.26 2.02 5.48 6.38 Philadelphia 76ers 154 61% 109.11 101.92 211.03 7.20 70% 231 6 @ Memphis Grizzlies 5.06 2.51 4.20 14.68 17.33 Indiana Pacers 182 65% 124.20 103.30 227.50 20.90 90% 916 7 @ New Orleans Pelicans 2.95 2.20 1.61 3.67 7.61 Utah Jazz 142 59% 119.49 115.52 235.01 3.97 62% 160 8 @ Houston Rockets 3.12 2.21 3.63 3.70 5.30 Minnesota Timberwolv 145 59% 114.11 109.76 223.88 4.35 63% 168 9 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 4.09 4.71 6.25 3.56 1.03 Cleveland Cavaliers 163 62% 115.83 111.22 227.05 4.60 63% 173 10 @ San Antonio Spurs 9.70 11.07 10.31 7.33 5.01 Dallas Mavericks 302 75% 117.53 108.82 226.35 8.71 73% 272 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Denver Nuggets 0.24 -0.40 1.28 0.95 -0.53 Toronto Raptors 103 51% 113.48 115.37 228.85 -1.89 44% -126 12 Portland Trail Blaze 3.80 3.51 3.22 6.37 7.36 @ Phoenix Suns 157 61% 114.13 123.78 237.92 -9.65 25% -301 13 Miami Heat 1.98 3.66 4.24 -3.48 -4.17 @ Los Angeles Clippers 127 56% 121.87 116.68 238.55 5.20 65% 185 14 Los Angeles Lakers 8.81 11.28 10.55 5.91 6.64 @ Sacramento Kings 275 73% 115.23 126.69 241.92 -11.46 22% -364 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Celtics 15.89 17.11 17.41 12.05 11.34 Milwaukee Bucks 568 85% 123.10 104.85 227.95 18.24 88% 714 2 @ New York Knicks 17.32 18.79 17.78 14.83 13.60 Chicago Bulls 654 87% 122.49 106.07 228.56 16.42 86% 599 3 Charlotte Hornets 4.29 4.40 7.06 1.05 -0.63 @ Brooklyn Nets 167 62% 104.61 108.16 212.77 -3.56 40% -153 4 @ Washington Wizards 3.76 2.98 3.75 3.93 6.61 Atlanta Hawks 156 61% 107.70 108.81 216.51 -1.11 47% -114 5 @ Detroit Pistons 5.98 5.59 4.35 7.82 8.72 Philadelphia 76ers 202 67% 110.28 100.75 211.03 9.53 75% 297 6 @ Memphis Grizzlies 23.51 20.97 22.65 33.14 35.79 Indiana Pacers 1157 92% 133.43 94.07 227.50 39.35 97% 3332 7 @ New Orleans Pelicans 18.49 17.74 17.15 19.21 23.15 Utah Jazz 731 88% 127.26 107.75 235.01 19.51 89% 806 8 @ Houston Rockets 11.64 10.73 12.15 12.22 13.82 Minnesota Timberwolv 371 79% 118.37 105.50 223.88 12.87 81% 420 9 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 0.07 0.68 2.23 -0.46 -2.99 Cleveland Cavaliers 101 50% 113.81 113.24 227.05 0.58 52% 107 10 @ San Antonio Spurs 8.31 9.68 8.92 5.94 3.62 Dallas Mavericks 261 72% 116.83 109.52 226.35 7.32 70% 234 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 2 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Toronto Raptors 5.87 6.50 4.82 5.15 6.63 @ Denver Nuggets 199 67% 110.43 118.42 228.85 -7.99 28% -252 12 Portland Trail Blaze 14.35 14.06 13.77 16.92 17.91 @ Phoenix Suns 488 83% 108.86 129.06 237.92 -20.20 10% -859 13 @ Los Angeles Clippers 3.63 1.95 1.37 9.09 9.78 Miami Heat 154 61% 124.68 113.87 238.55 10.81 77% 340 14 Los Angeles Lakers 13.73 16.20 15.47 10.83 11.56 @ Sacramento Kings 458 82% 112.77 129.15 241.92 -16.38 14% -596
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Boston Celtics        13.07   429   81%    Milwaukee Bucks
    2  @ New York Knicks       11.14   352   78%    Chicago Bulls
    3    Charlotte Hornets      2.35   133   57%  @ Brooklyn Nets
    4    Atlanta Hawks          0.60   107   52%  @ Washington Wizards
    5  @ Detroit Pistons        2.18   130   56%    Philadelphia 76ers
    6  @ Memphis Grizzlies     13.46   446   82%    Indiana Pacers
    7  @ New Orleans Pelicans   8.91   278   74%    Utah Jazz
    8  @ Houston Rockets        9.92   309   76%    Minnesota Timberwolv
    9  @ Oklahoma City Thunde   2.82   140   58%    Cleveland Cavaliers
   10  @ San Antonio Spurs      4.49   170   63%    Dallas Mavericks
   11    Toronto Raptors        2.77   139   58%  @ Denver Nuggets
   12    Portland Trail Blaze   8.59   269   73%  @ Phoenix Suns
   13    Miami Heat             0.24   103   51%  @ Los Angeles Clippers
   14    Los Angeles Lakers    14.50   495   83%  @ Sacramento Kings
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