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Jeff Sagarin'stm NBA Ratings


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[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NBA 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 NOVEMBER 6 FRIDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  3  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 97 would be
favored by  5  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 95.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 94 would be favored by  7  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 84.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.61]                                               [  1.61]       [  1.61]       [  1.61]       [  1.61]
   1  San Antonio Spurs       =  97.10    7   2   89.11(  22)    1   2  |    3   2  |   97.73    1 |   98.01    2 |   96.39    4 |   94.48    6  southwest
   2  Oklahoma City Thunder   =  96.94    7   2   92.04(   3)    4   1  |    4   2  |   97.62    2 |   98.37    1 |   95.63    5 |   94.04    8  northwest
   3  Houston Rockets         =  96.32    7   2   91.79(   5)    3   1  |    6   2  |   96.07    3 |   96.04    3 |   97.22    1 |   98.01    1  southwest
   4  Minnesota Timberwolves  =  95.93    7   3   90.64(  14)    1   2  |    2   3  |   96.04    4 |   95.49    4 |   96.54    3 |   96.55    3  northwest
   5  Detroit Pistons         =  94.34    6   2   89.42(  20)    1   0  |    2   2  |   95.17    5 |   94.94    5 |   91.35   13 |   92.64   10  CENTRAL
   6  Los Angeles Lakers      =  93.95    8   2   88.79(  23)    1   1  |    3   2  |   93.41    9 |   94.03    8 |   95.58    6 |   95.41    5  pacific
   7  Boston Celtics          =  93.67    7   2   86.75(  30)    0   2  |    1   2  |   94.83    6 |   94.64    7 |   90.44   15 |   90.61   14  ATLANTIC
   8  Cleveland Cavaliers     =  93.45    5   4   90.94(  12)    1   2  |    2   4  |   93.99    8 |   93.38    9 |   92.42   11 |   92.57   12  CENTRAL
   9  Portland Trail Blazers  =  93.43    6   2   90.08(  16)    2   1  |    2   1  |   92.88   11 |   92.67   12 |   96.80    2 |   97.27    2  northwest
  10  Denver Nuggets          =  92.73    4   3   90.96(  11)    0   2  |    1   3  |   92.67   12 |   92.84   11 |   93.62    8 |   92.39   13  northwest
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.61]                                               [  1.61]       [  1.61]       [  1.61]       [  1.61]
  11  Philadelphia 76ers      =  92.61    8   2   89.82(  17)    2   2  |    4   2  |   93.22   10 |   94.70    6 |   88.60   19 |   89.24   18  ATLANTIC
  12  New York Knicks         =  92.49    4   4   88.12(  26)    1   1  |    1   3  |   94.10    7 |   93.08   10 |   88.53   20 |   88.84   20  ATLANTIC
  13  Golden State Warriors   =  92.49    6   3   90.54(  15)    3   1  |    3   1  |   91.82   15 |   92.04   13 |   95.26    7 |   95.65    4  pacific
  14  Toronto Raptors         =  91.84    5   4   88.67(  25)    0   3  |    0   3  |   92.63   13 |   91.52   14 |   91.08   14 |   90.51   15  ATLANTIC
  15  Atlanta Hawks           =  91.27    6   4   89.79(  19)    1   2  |    1   2  |   91.89   14 |   91.21   15 |   90.09   17 |   90.11   16  SOUTHEAST
  16  Dallas Mavericks        =  90.24    5   4   92.01(   4)    2   3  |    2   3  |   89.48   16 |   89.45   16 |   92.99    9 |   94.06    7  southwest
  17  Memphis Grizzlies       =  89.22    6   3   87.95(  27)    1   1  |    2   1  |   87.94   20 |   88.58   18 |   92.73   10 |   93.84    9  southwest
  18  Miami Heat              =  88.49    3   6   90.83(  13)    0   3  |    1   5  |   88.77   17 |   89.44   17 |   87.49   22 |   85.68   24  SOUTHEAST
  19  Phoenix Suns            =  88.40    2   5   92.49(   1)    0   4  |    1   5  |   87.80   21 |   88.27   20 |   90.27   16 |   89.95   17  pacific
  20  New Orleans Pelicans    =  87.89    4   5   88.69(  24)    0   3  |    1   3  |   86.88   23 |   86.37   23 |   91.46   12 |   92.59   11  southwest
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.61]                                               [  1.61]       [  1.61]       [  1.61]       [  1.61]
  21  Indiana Pacers          =  87.84    3   6   87.95(  28)    0   0  |    0   3  |   88.57   18 |   88.09   21 |   86.33   24 |   85.15   26  CENTRAL
  22  Orlando Magic           =  87.42    2   6   91.58(   8)    0   2  |    2   4  |   88.02   19 |   88.32   19 |   84.88   26 |   83.43   28  SOUTHEAST
  23  Washington Wizards      =  86.84    4   5   87.65(  29)    0   1  |    0   4  |   87.08   22 |   86.86   22 |   85.56   25 |   86.88   21  SOUTHEAST
  24  Los Angeles Clippers    =  85.63    1   7   92.19(   2)    0   4  |    0   6  |   84.79   25 |   83.84   26 |   88.96   18 |   89.05   19  pacific
  25  Utah Jazz               =  85.25    1   8   91.56(   9)    0   4  |    0   5  |   85.15   24 |   84.80   25 |   87.82   21 |   85.27   25  northwest
  26  Charlotte Hornets       =  84.01    3   7   89.25(  21)    0   3  |    0   5  |   83.85   26 |   85.61   24 |   79.74   29 |   80.00   29  SOUTHEAST
  27  Brooklyn Nets           =  83.80    2   6   89.79(  18)    0   3  |    0   4  |   83.49   27 |   82.63   27 |   83.86   27 |   86.83   22  ATLANTIC
  28  Sacramento Kings        =  82.46    1   8   91.66(   6)    0   4  |    1   4  |   80.23   30 |   80.76   30 |   86.39   23 |   85.88   23  pacific
  29  Milwaukee Bucks         =  82.17    1   8   91.11(  10)    0   4  |    0   6  |   81.93   29 |   81.42   29 |   83.07   28 |   83.87   27  CENTRAL
  30  Chicago Bulls           =  81.77    1   7   91.66(   7)    0   2  |    0   6  |   81.95   28 |   82.61   28 |   78.88   30 |   79.22   30  CENTRAL
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  northwest               =  93.31      92.85  (  1)      5      92.98  (  1)  92.8548( 4.5920)  92.8724( 4.7994)  92.8328( 5.0553)  94.0833( 3.7150)  93.1041( 4.7973)
   2  southwest               =  91.87      92.15  (  2)      5      92.12  (  2)  92.1542( 4.2491)  91.6196( 4.9418)  91.6901( 5.0485)  94.1577( 2.5005)  94.5975( 2.0346)
   3  ATLANTIC                =  91.54      90.88  (  3)      5      91.01  (  3)  90.8841( 4.0133)  91.6538( 4.6406)  91.3149( 5.0276)  88.5031( 2.8251)  89.2034( 1.5375)
   4  pacific                 =  88.65      88.59  (  4)      5      88.60  (  4)  88.5859( 4.7523)  87.6105( 5.3347)  87.7861( 5.5267)  91.2919( 4.0186)  91.1860( 4.2402)
   5  CENTRAL                 =  87.87      87.91  (  5)      5      87.91  (  5)  87.9138( 5.9728)  88.3221( 6.3382)  88.0885( 6.1119)  86.4115( 5.6670)  86.6895( 5.8322)
   6  SOUTHEAST               =  87.58      87.61  (  6)      5      87.61  (  6)  87.6072( 2.6347)  87.9216( 2.9031)  88.2876( 2.1854)  85.5525( 3.8288)  85.2196( 3.7847)
       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 4.5865)  90.0000( 4.9705)  90.0000( 4.9705)  90.0000( 4.9705)  90.0000( 4.9705)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   3  ATLANTIC                =  91.54      90.88  (  3)      5      91.01  (  3)  90.8841( 4.0133)  91.6538( 4.6406)  91.3149( 5.0276)  88.5031( 2.8251)  89.2034( 1.5375)
   5  CENTRAL                 =  87.87      87.91  (  5)      5      87.91  (  5)  87.9138( 5.9728)  88.3221( 6.3382)  88.0885( 6.1119)  86.4115( 5.6670)  86.6895( 5.8322)
   6  SOUTHEAST               =  87.58      87.61  (  6)      5      87.61  (  6)  87.6072( 2.6347)  87.9216( 2.9031)  88.2876( 2.1854)  85.5525( 3.8288)  85.2196( 3.7847)
   2  southwest               =  91.87      92.15  (  2)      5      92.12  (  2)  92.1542( 4.2491)  91.6196( 4.9418)  91.6901( 5.0485)  94.1577( 2.5005)  94.5975( 2.0346)
   1  northwest               =  93.31      92.85  (  1)      5      92.98  (  1)  92.8548( 4.5920)  92.8724( 4.7994)  92.8328( 5.0553)  94.0833( 3.7150)  93.1041( 4.7973)
   4  pacific                 =  88.65      88.59  (  4)      5      88.60  (  4)  88.5859( 4.7523)  87.6105( 5.3347)  87.7861( 5.5267)  91.2919( 4.0186)  91.1860( 4.2402)
       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 4.5865)  90.0000( 4.9705)  90.0000( 4.9705)  90.0000( 4.9705)  90.0000( 4.9705)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 ATLANTIC = 91.54 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] 7 Boston Celtics = 93.67 7 2 86.75( 30) 0 2 | 1 2 | 94.83 6 | 94.64 7 | 90.44 15 | 90.61 14 ATLANTIC 11 Philadelphia 76ers = 92.61 8 2 89.82( 17) 2 2 | 4 2 | 93.22 10 | 94.70 6 | 88.60 19 | 89.24 18 ATLANTIC 12 New York Knicks = 92.49 4 4 88.12( 26) 1 1 | 1 3 | 94.10 7 | 93.08 10 | 88.53 20 | 88.84 20 ATLANTIC 14 Toronto Raptors = 91.84 5 4 88.67( 25) 0 3 | 0 3 | 92.63 13 | 91.52 14 | 91.08 14 | 90.51 15 ATLANTIC 27 Brooklyn Nets = 83.80 2 6 89.79( 18) 0 3 | 0 4 | 83.49 27 | 82.63 27 | 83.86 27 | 86.83 22 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 CENTRAL = 87.87 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] 5 Detroit Pistons = 94.34 6 2 89.42( 20) 1 0 | 2 2 | 95.17 5 | 94.94 5 | 91.35 13 | 92.64 10 CENTRAL 8 Cleveland Cavaliers = 93.45 5 4 90.94( 12) 1 2 | 2 4 | 93.99 8 | 93.38 9 | 92.42 11 | 92.57 12 CENTRAL 21 Indiana Pacers = 87.84 3 6 87.95( 28) 0 0 | 0 3 | 88.57 18 | 88.09 21 | 86.33 24 | 85.15 26 CENTRAL 29 Milwaukee Bucks = 82.17 1 8 91.11( 10) 0 4 | 0 6 | 81.93 29 | 81.42 29 | 83.07 28 | 83.87 27 CENTRAL 30 Chicago Bulls = 81.77 1 7 91.66( 7) 0 2 | 0 6 | 81.95 28 | 82.61 28 | 78.88 30 | 79.22 30 CENTRAL _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 SOUTHEAST = 87.58 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] 15 Atlanta Hawks = 91.27 6 4 89.79( 19) 1 2 | 1 2 | 91.89 14 | 91.21 15 | 90.09 17 | 90.11 16 SOUTHEAST 18 Miami Heat = 88.49 3 6 90.83( 13) 0 3 | 1 5 | 88.77 17 | 89.44 17 | 87.49 22 | 85.68 24 SOUTHEAST 22 Orlando Magic = 87.42 2 6 91.58( 8) 0 2 | 2 4 | 88.02 19 | 88.32 19 | 84.88 26 | 83.43 28 SOUTHEAST 23 Washington Wizards = 86.84 4 5 87.65( 29) 0 1 | 0 4 | 87.08 22 | 86.86 22 | 85.56 25 | 86.88 21 SOUTHEAST 26 Charlotte Hornets = 84.01 3 7 89.25( 21) 0 3 | 0 5 | 83.85 26 | 85.61 24 | 79.74 29 | 80.00 29 SOUTHEAST _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 southwest = 91.87 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] 1 San Antonio Spurs = 97.10 7 2 89.11( 22) 1 2 | 3 2 | 97.73 1 | 98.01 2 | 96.39 4 | 94.48 6 southwest 3 Houston Rockets = 96.32 7 2 91.79( 5) 3 1 | 6 2 | 96.07 3 | 96.04 3 | 97.22 1 | 98.01 1 southwest 16 Dallas Mavericks = 90.24 5 4 92.01( 4) 2 3 | 2 3 | 89.48 16 | 89.45 16 | 92.99 9 | 94.06 7 southwest 17 Memphis Grizzlies = 89.22 6 3 87.95( 27) 1 1 | 2 1 | 87.94 20 | 88.58 18 | 92.73 10 | 93.84 9 southwest 20 New Orleans Pelicans = 87.89 4 5 88.69( 24) 0 3 | 1 3 | 86.88 23 | 86.37 23 | 91.46 12 | 92.59 11 southwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 northwest = 93.31 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] 2 Oklahoma City Thunder = 96.94 7 2 92.04( 3) 4 1 | 4 2 | 97.62 2 | 98.37 1 | 95.63 5 | 94.04 8 northwest 4 Minnesota Timberwolves = 95.93 7 3 90.64( 14) 1 2 | 2 3 | 96.04 4 | 95.49 4 | 96.54 3 | 96.55 3 northwest 9 Portland Trail Blazers = 93.43 6 2 90.08( 16) 2 1 | 2 1 | 92.88 11 | 92.67 12 | 96.80 2 | 97.27 2 northwest 10 Denver Nuggets = 92.73 4 3 90.96( 11) 0 2 | 1 3 | 92.67 12 | 92.84 11 | 93.62 8 | 92.39 13 northwest 25 Utah Jazz = 85.25 1 8 91.56( 9) 0 4 | 0 5 | 85.15 24 | 84.80 25 | 87.82 21 | 85.27 25 northwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 88.65 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] [ 1.61] 6 Los Angeles Lakers = 93.95 8 2 88.79( 23) 1 1 | 3 2 | 93.41 9 | 94.03 8 | 95.58 6 | 95.41 5 pacific 13 Golden State Warriors = 92.49 6 3 90.54( 15) 3 1 | 3 1 | 91.82 15 | 92.04 13 | 95.26 7 | 95.65 4 pacific 19 Phoenix Suns = 88.40 2 5 92.49( 1) 0 4 | 1 5 | 87.80 21 | 88.27 20 | 90.27 16 | 89.95 17 pacific 24 Los Angeles Clippers = 85.63 1 7 92.19( 2) 0 4 | 0 6 | 84.79 25 | 83.84 26 | 88.96 18 | 89.05 19 pacific 28 Sacramento Kings = 82.46 1 8 91.66( 6) 0 4 | 1 4 | 80.23 30 | 80.76 30 | 86.39 23 | 85.88 23 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Cleveland Cavaliers 2.57 1.51 1.91 5.51 5.34 New York Knicks 137 58% 116.63 110.30 226.93 6.33 68% 214 2 @ Atlanta Hawks 9.08 10.01 10.20 7.85 4.90 Brooklyn Nets 291 74% 123.11 108.19 231.30 14.92 84% 537 3 N Denver Nuggets 4.89 4.10 4.75 7.30 7.25 @ Indiana Pacers 181 64% 106.58 115.38 221.96 -8.79 26% -281 4 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 11.71 12.15 13.12 11.69 8.78 Washington Wizards 385 79% 115.55 97.87 213.42 17.67 88% 707 5 Houston Rockets 6.31 6.66 6.16 5.33 6.45 @ Phoenix Suns 213 68% 113.37 124.37 237.74 -11.01 22% -357 6 @ Golden State Warrior 6.69 5.42 5.33 11.99 13.83 Orlando Magic 223 69% 116.99 101.70 218.68 15.29 85% 558 7 San Antonio Spurs 2.06 3.23 3.73 -2.02 -4.41 @ Portland Trail Blaze 129 56% 116.48 115.92 232.40 0.56 52% 107 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 November 6 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Cleveland Cavaliers 8.82 7.76 8.16 11.75 11.59 New York Knicks 282 74% 119.75 107.17 226.93 12.58 81% 422 2 Brooklyn Nets 1.28 0.35 0.16 2.51 5.46 @ Atlanta Hawks 117 54% 117.93 113.37 231.30 4.56 64% 174 3 N Denver Nuggets 8.05 7.26 7.90 10.45 10.41 @ Indiana Pacers 259 72% 105.01 116.96 221.96 -11.95 20% -395 4 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 11.90 12.34 13.31 11.88 8.96 Washington Wizards 393 80% 115.64 97.78 213.42 17.86 88% 721 5 Houston Rockets 11.62 11.97 11.47 10.64 11.76 @ Phoenix Suns 381 79% 110.71 127.02 237.74 -16.31 14% -618 6 @ Golden State Warrior 17.95 16.69 16.60 23.26 25.10 Orlando Magic 727 88% 122.62 96.06 218.68 26.56 94% 1578 7 @ Portland Trail Blaze 0.91 -0.27 -0.76 4.99 7.37 San Antonio Spurs 112 53% 117.96 114.43 232.40 3.53 61% 154
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Cleveland Cavaliers    6.28   212   68%    New York Knicks
    2  @ Atlanta Hawks         11.12   362   78%    Brooklyn Nets
    3 N  Denver Nuggets         1.02   113   53%  @ Indiana Pacers
    4  @ Oklahoma City Thunde  10.56   341   77%    Washington Wizards
    5    Houston Rockets       14.30   504   83%  @ Phoenix Suns
    6  @ Golden State Warrior  13.35   457   82%    Orlando Magic
    7    San Antonio Spurs      1.37   118   54%  @ Portland Trail Blaze
endfile

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