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Jeff Sagarin'stm NBA Ratings


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[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NBA 2025-2026 ratings through results of 2026 FEBRUARY 12 THURSDAY - NEXT GAMES ARE ON FEBRUARY 19 THURSDAY


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  3  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 97 would be
favored by  5  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 95.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 94 would be favored by  7  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 84.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.50]                                               [  1.41]       [  1.41]       [  1.68]       [  1.68]
   1  Oklahoma City Thunder   =  99.84   42  14   89.65(  25)    9   7  |   18  11  |  100.19    1 |  100.29    1 |   99.20    1 |   98.68    1  northwest
   2  Detroit Pistons         =  96.46   40  13   89.01(  30)   10   3  |   16   7  |   96.40    2 |   96.20    2 |   96.82    2 |   97.56    3  CENTRAL
   3  San Antonio Spurs       =  95.87   38  17   90.28(  10)   11   9  |   16  13  |   95.40    4 |   95.57    3 |   96.76    3 |   98.21    2  southwest
   4  New York Knicks         =  95.37   36  20   89.45(  26)    7   6  |   16  10  |   95.79    3 |   95.09    4 |   95.25    5 |   95.39    5  ATLANTIC
   5  Cleveland Cavaliers     =  94.86   34  21   89.74(  24)    6  10  |   13  16  |   95.05    5 |   94.99    5 |   94.55    7 |   94.96    7  CENTRAL
   6  Boston Celtics          =  94.82   35  19   89.21(  29)    5   9  |   14   9  |   94.79    6 |   94.08    8 |   95.72    4 |   96.65    4  ATLANTIC
   7  Minnesota Timberwolves  =  94.28   34  22   89.31(  28)    9   9  |   14  14  |   94.43    7 |   93.87    9 |   94.56    6 |   95.00    6  northwest
   8  Houston Rockets         =  93.88   33  20   89.98(  16)    9   8  |   16  11  |   94.13    8 |   94.85    6 |   92.82    8 |   91.68   12  southwest
   9  Denver Nuggets          =  92.99   35  20   89.38(  27)    7   9  |   14  12  |   93.08    9 |   94.16    7 |   91.89   12 |   91.02   15  northwest
  10  Golden State Warriors   =  91.91   29  26   90.20(  13)    6   9  |   14  15  |   92.14   10 |   92.01   10 |   91.59   13 |   90.92   16  pacific
NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.50]                                               [  1.41]       [  1.41]       [  1.68]       [  1.68]
  11  Miami Heat              =  91.30   29  27   90.27(  11)    7  13  |   13  16  |   91.31   11 |   90.50   17 |   92.13   11 |   92.37   10  SOUTHEAST
  12  Phoenix Suns            =  91.28   32  23   90.44(   7)   10  13  |   14  18  |   90.76   14 |   90.87   13 |   92.24   10 |   93.24    9  pacific
  13  Los Angeles Clippers    =  91.03   26  28   90.35(   8)    6  13  |   13  18  |   91.09   13 |   90.84   14 |   91.17   14 |   91.57   13  pacific
  14  Toronto Raptors         =  90.87   32  23   89.77(  23)    6  11  |   10  16  |   90.64   15 |   90.82   15 |   91.15   15 |   91.48   14  ATLANTIC
  15  Charlotte Hornets       =  90.87   26  29   89.79(  22)    5  11  |    8  18  |   91.20   12 |   89.23   19 |   92.24    9 |   93.82    8  SOUTHEAST
  16  Los Angeles Lakers      =  90.74   33  21   89.94(  17)    5  11  |   11  16  |   90.36   16 |   91.47   11 |   90.42   17 |   90.48   17  pacific
  17  Philadelphia 76ers      =  90.47   30  24   89.81(  21)    7  10  |   13  17  |   89.73   18 |   90.66   16 |   91.04   16 |   91.87   11  ATLANTIC
  18  Orlando Magic           =  89.61   28  25   90.10(  15)    6  13  |   13  16  |   89.94   17 |   91.05   12 |   87.76   20 |   86.11   22  SOUTHEAST
  19  Atlanta Hawks           =  89.37   26  30   90.60(   5)    6  13  |   12  23  |   89.53   19 |   90.05   18 |   88.51   19 |   87.53   19  SOUTHEAST
  20  Portland Trail Blazers  =  89.00   27  29   90.79(   2)   10  14  |   13  22  |   88.67   20 |   88.88   20 |   89.44   18 |   89.91   18  northwest
NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.50]                                               [  1.41]       [  1.41]       [  1.68]       [  1.68]
  21  Memphis Grizzlies       =  87.61   20  33   90.25(  12)    3  16  |    7  23  |   88.11   21 |   87.72   22 |   86.96   21 |   86.04   23  southwest
  22  Milwaukee Bucks         =  87.53   23  30   90.12(  14)    5  14  |   10  19  |   87.48   23 |   88.11   21 |   86.96   22 |   86.78   21  CENTRAL
  23  Dallas Mavericks        =  87.09   19  35   89.93(  18)    7  14  |   10  22  |   87.48   22 |   87.09   23 |   86.70   24 |   85.58   24  southwest
  24  New Orleans Pelicans    =  85.75   15  41   90.61(   4)    3  18  |    4  28  |   85.86   24 |   84.43   25 |   86.74   23 |   87.31   20  southwest
  25  Chicago Bulls           =  85.67   24  31   89.91(  20)    7  11  |   10  18  |   85.56   25 |   86.19   24 |   85.21   25 |   84.57   27  CENTRAL
  26  Indiana Pacers          =  84.58   15  40   90.55(   6)    4  18  |    7  24  |   84.79   26 |   84.06   26 |   84.85   26 |   84.64   26  CENTRAL
  27  Utah Jazz               =  83.00   18  38   90.71(   3)    6  15  |    9  25  |   82.35   27 |   82.36   27 |   84.01   27 |   84.79   25  northwest
  28  Brooklyn Nets           =  82.11   15  38   89.93(  19)    3  14  |    5  23  |   81.69   29 |   81.99   29 |   82.59   28 |   82.75   28  ATLANTIC
  29  Sacramento Kings        =  81.82   12  44   91.07(   1)    6  19  |    8  28  |   82.11   28 |   82.29   28 |   80.87   29 |   79.59   29  pacific
  30  Washington Wizards      =  80.03   14  39   90.31(   9)    1  16  |    2  26  |   79.96   30 |   80.27   30 |   79.85   30 |   79.36   30  SOUTHEAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT

   1  northwest               =  92.04      91.82  (  1)      5      91.88  (  1)  91.8213( 6.2751)  91.7438( 6.6720)  91.9126( 6.6978)  91.8214( 5.6709)
   2  ATLANTIC                =  91.18      90.73  (  2)      5      90.89  (  2)  90.7273( 5.3040)  90.5260( 5.5811)  90.5293( 5.1611)  91.1488( 5.2648)
   3  pacific                 =  90.10      89.36  (  5)      5      89.50  (  5)  89.3570( 4.2327)  89.2926( 4.0677)  89.4952( 4.0557)  89.2571( 4.7350)
   4  southwest               =  89.60      90.04  (  3)      5      89.99  (  3)  90.0399( 4.5176)  90.1939( 4.2762)  89.9323( 4.9830)  89.9966( 4.5960)
   5  CENTRAL                 =  89.41      89.82  (  4)      5      89.74  (  4)  89.8189( 5.4649)  89.8546( 5.4706)  89.9101( 5.3978)  89.6770( 5.5987)
   6  SOUTHEAST               =  88.96      88.24  (  6)      5      88.41  (  6)  88.2356( 4.6581)  88.3891( 4.7768)  88.2205( 4.4947)  88.0992( 5.0429)

       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 4.7945)  90.0000( 4.8612)  90.0000( 4.8612)  90.0000( 4.8612)

      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT

   2  ATLANTIC                =  91.18      90.73  (  2)      5      90.89  (  2)  90.7273( 5.3040)  90.5260( 5.5811)  90.5293( 5.1611)  91.1488( 5.2648)
   5  CENTRAL                 =  89.41      89.82  (  4)      5      89.74  (  4)  89.8189( 5.4649)  89.8546( 5.4706)  89.9101( 5.3978)  89.6770( 5.5987)
   6  SOUTHEAST               =  88.96      88.24  (  6)      5      88.41  (  6)  88.2356( 4.6581)  88.3891( 4.7768)  88.2205( 4.4947)  88.0992( 5.0429)
   4  southwest               =  89.60      90.04  (  3)      5      89.99  (  3)  90.0399( 4.5176)  90.1939( 4.2762)  89.9323( 4.9830)  89.9966( 4.5960)
   1  northwest               =  92.04      91.82  (  1)      5      91.88  (  1)  91.8213( 6.2751)  91.7438( 6.6720)  91.9126( 6.6978)  91.8214( 5.6709)
   3  pacific                 =  90.10      89.36  (  5)      5      89.50  (  5)  89.3570( 4.2327)  89.2926( 4.0677)  89.4952( 4.0557)  89.2571( 4.7350)

       OVERALL                                                                     90.0000( 4.7945)  90.0000( 4.8612)  90.0000( 4.8612)  90.0000( 4.8612)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 ATLANTIC = 91.18 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.50] [ 1.41] [ 1.41] [ 1.68] [ 1.68] 4 New York Knicks = 95.37 36 20 89.45( 26) 7 6 | 16 10 | 95.79 3 | 95.09 4 | 95.25 5 | 95.39 5 ATLANTIC 6 Boston Celtics = 94.82 35 19 89.21( 29) 5 9 | 14 9 | 94.79 6 | 94.08 8 | 95.72 4 | 96.65 4 ATLANTIC 14 Toronto Raptors = 90.87 32 23 89.77( 23) 6 11 | 10 16 | 90.64 15 | 90.82 15 | 91.15 15 | 91.48 14 ATLANTIC 17 Philadelphia 76ers = 90.47 30 24 89.81( 21) 7 10 | 13 17 | 89.73 18 | 90.66 16 | 91.04 16 | 91.87 11 ATLANTIC 28 Brooklyn Nets = 82.11 15 38 89.93( 19) 3 14 | 5 23 | 81.69 29 | 81.99 29 | 82.59 28 | 82.75 28 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 CENTRAL = 89.41 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.50] [ 1.41] [ 1.41] [ 1.68] [ 1.68] 2 Detroit Pistons = 96.46 40 13 89.01( 30) 10 3 | 16 7 | 96.40 2 | 96.20 2 | 96.82 2 | 97.56 3 CENTRAL 5 Cleveland Cavaliers = 94.86 34 21 89.74( 24) 6 10 | 13 16 | 95.05 5 | 94.99 5 | 94.55 7 | 94.96 7 CENTRAL 22 Milwaukee Bucks = 87.53 23 30 90.12( 14) 5 14 | 10 19 | 87.48 23 | 88.11 21 | 86.96 22 | 86.78 21 CENTRAL 25 Chicago Bulls = 85.67 24 31 89.91( 20) 7 11 | 10 18 | 85.56 25 | 86.19 24 | 85.21 25 | 84.57 27 CENTRAL 26 Indiana Pacers = 84.58 15 40 90.55( 6) 4 18 | 7 24 | 84.79 26 | 84.06 26 | 84.85 26 | 84.64 26 CENTRAL _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 SOUTHEAST = 88.96 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.50] [ 1.41] [ 1.41] [ 1.68] [ 1.68] 11 Miami Heat = 91.30 29 27 90.27( 11) 7 13 | 13 16 | 91.31 11 | 90.50 17 | 92.13 11 | 92.37 10 SOUTHEAST 15 Charlotte Hornets = 90.87 26 29 89.79( 22) 5 11 | 8 18 | 91.20 12 | 89.23 19 | 92.24 9 | 93.82 8 SOUTHEAST 18 Orlando Magic = 89.61 28 25 90.10( 15) 6 13 | 13 16 | 89.94 17 | 91.05 12 | 87.76 20 | 86.11 22 SOUTHEAST 19 Atlanta Hawks = 89.37 26 30 90.60( 5) 6 13 | 12 23 | 89.53 19 | 90.05 18 | 88.51 19 | 87.53 19 SOUTHEAST 30 Washington Wizards = 80.03 14 39 90.31( 9) 1 16 | 2 26 | 79.96 30 | 80.27 30 | 79.85 30 | 79.36 30 SOUTHEAST _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 southwest = 89.60 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.50] [ 1.41] [ 1.41] [ 1.68] [ 1.68] 3 San Antonio Spurs = 95.87 38 17 90.28( 10) 11 9 | 16 13 | 95.40 4 | 95.57 3 | 96.76 3 | 98.21 2 southwest 8 Houston Rockets = 93.88 33 20 89.98( 16) 9 8 | 16 11 | 94.13 8 | 94.85 6 | 92.82 8 | 91.68 12 southwest 21 Memphis Grizzlies = 87.61 20 33 90.25( 12) 3 16 | 7 23 | 88.11 21 | 87.72 22 | 86.96 21 | 86.04 23 southwest 23 Dallas Mavericks = 87.09 19 35 89.93( 18) 7 14 | 10 22 | 87.48 22 | 87.09 23 | 86.70 24 | 85.58 24 southwest 24 New Orleans Pelicans = 85.75 15 41 90.61( 4) 3 18 | 4 28 | 85.86 24 | 84.43 25 | 86.74 23 | 87.31 20 southwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 northwest = 92.04 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.50] [ 1.41] [ 1.41] [ 1.68] [ 1.68] 1 Oklahoma City Thunder = 99.84 42 14 89.65( 25) 9 7 | 18 11 | 100.19 1 | 100.29 1 | 99.20 1 | 98.68 1 northwest 7 Minnesota Timberwolves = 94.28 34 22 89.31( 28) 9 9 | 14 14 | 94.43 7 | 93.87 9 | 94.56 6 | 95.00 6 northwest 9 Denver Nuggets = 92.99 35 20 89.38( 27) 7 9 | 14 12 | 93.08 9 | 94.16 7 | 91.89 12 | 91.02 15 northwest 20 Portland Trail Blazers = 89.00 27 29 90.79( 2) 10 14 | 13 22 | 88.67 20 | 88.88 20 | 89.44 18 | 89.91 18 northwest 27 Utah Jazz = 83.00 18 38 90.71( 3) 6 15 | 9 25 | 82.35 27 | 82.36 27 | 84.01 27 | 84.79 25 northwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 pacific = 90.10 NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.50] [ 1.41] [ 1.41] [ 1.68] [ 1.68] 10 Golden State Warriors = 91.91 29 26 90.20( 13) 6 9 | 14 15 | 92.14 10 | 92.01 10 | 91.59 13 | 90.92 16 pacific 12 Phoenix Suns = 91.28 32 23 90.44( 7) 10 13 | 14 18 | 90.76 14 | 90.87 13 | 92.24 10 | 93.24 9 pacific 13 Los Angeles Clippers = 91.03 26 28 90.35( 8) 6 13 | 13 18 | 91.09 13 | 90.84 14 | 91.17 14 | 91.57 13 pacific 16 Los Angeles Lakers = 90.74 33 21 89.94( 17) 5 11 | 11 16 | 90.36 16 | 91.47 11 | 90.42 17 | 90.48 17 pacific 29 Sacramento Kings = 81.82 12 44 91.07( 1) 6 19 | 8 28 | 82.11 28 | 82.29 28 | 80.87 29 | 79.59 29 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.50 1.41 1.41 1.68 1.68 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 @ New York Knicks 0.40 0.79 0.30 0.11 -0.48 Detroit Pistons 105 51% 115.02 113.94 228.96 2 @ Philadelphia 76ers 2.60 1.60 2.01 4.21 6.02 Atlanta Hawks 138 58% 118.29 116.17 234.47 3 Indiana Pacers 3.05 3.42 2.39 3.32 3.60 @ Washington Wizards 145 59% 115.11 117.85 232.95 4 Houston Rockets 1.51 1.52 4.22 -1.10 -3.82 @ Charlotte Hornets 121 55% 112.22 114.37 226.59 5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers 14.24 14.77 14.41 13.64 13.89 Brooklyn Nets 500 83% 121.15 108.69 229.83 6 Toronto Raptors 3.70 3.67 3.23 4.26 5.23 @ Chicago Bulls 157 61% 113.88 117.60 231.49 7 @ San Antonio Spurs 6.09 6.05 6.11 6.20 6.65 Phoenix Suns 208 68% 116.07 111.08 227.14 8 Denver Nuggets 0.46 0.57 1.92 -0.95 -2.23 @ Los Angeles Clippers 106 51% 113.84 116.51 230.35 9 Orlando Magic 6.28 6.42 7.35 5.21 4.84 @ Sacramento Kings 212 68% 110.95 118.93 229.88 10 Boston Celtics 1.41 1.24 0.67 2.45 4.05 @ Golden State Warrior 119 54% 111.97 114.29 226.26 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NBA 2025-2026 through games of 2026 February 12 Thursday - next games are on February 19 Thursday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.50 1.41 1.41 1.68 1.68 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 @ New York Knicks 0.70 1.09 0.60 0.41 -0.19 Detroit Pistons 109 52% 115.02 113.94 228.96 2 @ Philadelphia 76ers 2.60 1.60 2.01 4.21 6.02 Atlanta Hawks 138 58% 118.29 116.17 234.47 3 Indiana Pacers 2.51 2.88 1.84 2.77 3.05 @ Washington Wizards 136 58% 115.11 117.85 232.95 4 Houston Rockets 1.93 1.94 4.64 -0.68 -3.40 @ Charlotte Hornets 127 56% 112.22 114.37 226.59 5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers 14.19 14.72 14.35 13.58 13.84 Brooklyn Nets 497 83% 121.15 108.69 229.83 6 Toronto Raptors 6.19 6.16 5.71 6.74 7.71 @ Chicago Bulls 210 68% 113.88 117.60 231.49 7 @ San Antonio Spurs 4.73 4.69 4.75 4.85 5.29 Phoenix Suns 177 64% 116.07 111.08 227.14 8 Denver Nuggets 1.51 1.62 2.97 0.10 -1.18 @ Los Angeles Clippers 120 55% 113.84 116.51 230.35 9 Orlando Magic 2.87 3.01 3.94 1.80 1.43 @ Sacramento Kings 142 59% 110.95 118.93 229.88 10 Boston Celtics 4.72 4.55 3.99 5.76 7.37 @ Golden State Warrior 177 64% 111.97 114.29 226.26
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ New York Knicks        0.34   104   51%    Detroit Pistons
    2  @ Philadelphia 76ers     3.48   153   60%    Atlanta Hawks
    3    Indiana Pacers         1.53   121   55%  @ Washington Wizards
    4    Houston Rockets        1.08   114   53%  @ Charlotte Hornets
    5  @ Cleveland Cavaliers   11.69   384   79%    Brooklyn Nets
    6    Toronto Raptors        1.56   121   55%  @ Chicago Bulls
    7  @ San Antonio Spurs      4.52   173   63%    Phoenix Suns
    8    Denver Nuggets         1.00   113   53%  @ Los Angeles Clippers
    9    Orlando Magic          6.71   223   69%  @ Sacramento Kings
   10    Boston Celtics         2.04   129   56%  @ Golden State Warrior
endfile

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