United States Naval Observatory

 

Clock requires Netscape

note: clock runs for 30 seconds; it may skip seconds; to restart click reload


Jeff Sagarin'stm NBA Ratings


[ My Computer Room ]

[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2025 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NBA 2024-2025 ratings through results of 2025 FEBRUARY 9 SUNDAY - with picks for next four days


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  3  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 97 would be
favored by  5  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 95.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 94 would be favored by  7  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 84.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.73]                                               [  1.69]       [  1.73]       [  1.77]       [  1.77]
   1  Oklahoma City Thunder   = 102.26   42  10   89.79(  18)   14   3  |   20   9  |  102.18    1 |  102.00    1 |  102.77    1 |  103.72    1  northwest
   2  Cleveland Cavaliers     =  98.90   42  10   88.78(  29)    8   5  |   19   6  |   99.00    2 |   99.46    2 |   98.44    2 |   98.59    2  CENTRAL
   3  Boston Celtics          =  97.52   37  16   89.39(  25)   10   5  |   19  10  |   97.96    3 |   97.55    3 |   97.19    4 |   96.90    5  ATLANTIC
   4  Memphis Grizzlies       =  96.96   35  17   89.24(  27)    6  10  |   13  14  |   97.23    4 |   96.52    4 |   97.25    3 |   97.49    3  southwest
   5  Denver Nuggets          =  95.51   34  19   89.68(  20)    5  12  |   12  13  |   95.35    5 |   94.91    5 |   96.45    5 |   97.16    4  northwest
   6  Minnesota Timberwolves  =  94.65   30  23   90.14(  12)   10   9  |   15  16  |   94.87    6 |   93.91    8 |   95.31    6 |   95.87    6  northwest
   7  New York Knicks         =  94.23   34  18   88.67(  30)    5   8  |   10  12  |   94.44    7 |   94.41    7 |   93.90    7 |   93.09    9  ATLANTIC
   8  Houston Rockets         =  93.76   33  20   91.03(   3)   14   7  |   19  14  |   94.02    8 |   94.56    6 |   92.85    9 |   92.23   10  southwest
   9  Los Angeles Lakers      =  92.53   31  19   89.94(  14)    6   9  |   14  12  |   92.19   10 |   92.41    9 |   93.05    8 |   94.33    7  pacific
  10  Los Angeles Clippers    =  92.45   29  23   89.94(  15)    4  14  |   11  16  |   92.79    9 |   92.34   10 |   92.28   11 |   92.09   11  pacific
NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.73]                                               [  1.69]       [  1.73]       [  1.77]       [  1.77]
  11  Dallas Mavericks        =  91.96   28  25   90.91(   4)   11  13  |   12  17  |   92.11   11 |   92.31   11 |   91.51   12 |   91.03   13  southwest
  12  Indiana Pacers          =  91.63   29  22   89.35(  26)    5   7  |   12  10  |   91.16   12 |   91.10   13 |   92.72   10 |   93.90    8  CENTRAL
  13  Milwaukee Bucks         =  91.20   29  23   88.96(  28)    2  12  |    7  12  |   90.96   13 |   91.25   12 |   91.44   13 |   91.26   12  CENTRAL
  14  Sacramento Kings        =  89.85   26  26   89.93(  16)    6  14  |    9  17  |   89.89   15 |   90.25   14 |   89.43   15 |   88.63   17  pacific
  15  Detroit Pistons         =  89.80   27  26   89.63(  21)    6  10  |    9  16  |   89.98   14 |   89.92   16 |   89.53   14 |   89.82   14  CENTRAL
  16  Golden State Warriors   =  89.48   26  26   90.74(   6)   10  14  |   12  19  |   89.34   16 |   90.02   15 |   89.07   16 |   88.69   16  pacific
  17  Miami Heat              =  88.32   25  25   89.39(  24)    4   8  |    8  16  |   87.99   18 |   88.69   18 |   88.28   17 |   87.86   19  SOUTHEAST
  18  San Antonio Spurs       =  88.15   22  28   90.32(   9)    6  14  |   11  19  |   88.43   17 |   88.73   17 |   87.23   22 |   86.31   24  southwest
  19  Atlanta Hawks           =  87.83   25  28   89.98(  13)    8  11  |   12  18  |   87.62   19 |   88.06   20 |   87.80   19 |   87.98   18  SOUTHEAST
  20  Phoenix Suns            =  87.73   26  26   89.52(  22)    6  10  |   11  17  |   87.52   20 |   88.34   19 |   87.30   21 |   86.68   22  pacific
NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  1.73]                                               [  1.69]       [  1.73]       [  1.77]       [  1.77]
  21  Portland Trail Blazers  =  87.46   23  30   90.33(   8)    5  13  |   11  20  |   87.30   21 |   87.02   22 |   88.05   18 |   89.62   15  northwest
  22  Philadelphia 76ers      =  87.09   20  32   90.16(  11)    3  14  |    7  23  |   86.92   22 |   86.61   23 |   87.70   20 |   87.68   20  ATLANTIC
  23  Orlando Magic           =  86.42   26  28   89.81(  17)    3  12  |    8  19  |   86.06   23 |   87.41   21 |   85.68   24 |   84.57   25  SOUTHEAST
  24  Toronto Raptors         =  86.11   16  37   91.33(   1)    3  21  |    7  29  |   85.94   24 |   85.51   25 |   86.80   23 |   87.48   21  ATLANTIC
  25  Chicago Bulls           =  85.44   22  31   89.76(  19)    6  10  |    9  19  |   85.68   25 |   86.09   24 |   84.39   26 |   83.54   27  CENTRAL
  26  Charlotte Hornets       =  83.70   13  37   89.41(  23)    1  14  |    7  18  |   84.35   26 |   82.88   28 |   83.71   27 |   83.29   28  SOUTHEAST
  27  Brooklyn Nets           =  83.67   18  34   90.30(  10)    4  13  |   10  18  |   83.39   28 |   84.03   26 |   83.53   28 |   83.74   26  ATLANTIC
  28  New Orleans Pelicans    =  83.65   12  40   90.82(   5)    1  19  |    3  28  |   83.14   29 |   82.02   29 |   85.18   25 |   86.35   23  southwest
  29  Utah Jazz               =  83.44   12  39   90.52(   7)    1  15  |    4  25  |   83.71   27 |   83.20   27 |   83.34   29 |   82.66   29  northwest
  30  Washington Wizards      =  78.31    9  43   91.25(   2)    2  21  |    2  30  |   78.49   30 |   78.48   30 |   77.83   30 |   77.47   30  SOUTHEAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings


There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   1  northwest               =  92.84      92.66  (  1)      5      92.66  (  1)
   2  CENTRAL                 =  91.20      91.39  (  2)      5      91.39  (  2)
   3  southwest               =  91.15      90.90  (  3)      5      90.90  (  3)
   4  pacific                 =  90.41      90.41  (  4)      5      90.41  (  4)
   5  ATLANTIC                =  89.24      89.72  (  5)      5      89.72  (  5)
   6  SOUTHEAST               =  85.44      84.92  (  6)      5      84.92  (  6)


      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   5  ATLANTIC                =  89.24      89.72  (  5)      5      89.72  (  5)
   2  CENTRAL                 =  91.20      91.39  (  2)      5      91.39  (  2)
   6  SOUTHEAST               =  85.44      84.92  (  6)      5      84.92  (  6)
   3  southwest               =  91.15      90.90  (  3)      5      90.90  (  3)
   1  northwest               =  92.84      92.66  (  1)      5      92.66  (  1)
   4  pacific                 =  90.41      90.41  (  4)      5      90.41  (  4)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 ATLANTIC = 89.24 NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.73] [ 1.69] [ 1.73] [ 1.77] [ 1.77] 3 Boston Celtics = 97.52 37 16 89.39( 25) 10 5 | 19 10 | 97.96 3 | 97.55 3 | 97.19 4 | 96.90 5 ATLANTIC 7 New York Knicks = 94.23 34 18 88.67( 30) 5 8 | 10 12 | 94.44 7 | 94.41 7 | 93.90 7 | 93.09 9 ATLANTIC 22 Philadelphia 76ers = 87.09 20 32 90.16( 11) 3 14 | 7 23 | 86.92 22 | 86.61 23 | 87.70 20 | 87.68 20 ATLANTIC 24 Toronto Raptors = 86.11 16 37 91.33( 1) 3 21 | 7 29 | 85.94 24 | 85.51 25 | 86.80 23 | 87.48 21 ATLANTIC 27 Brooklyn Nets = 83.67 18 34 90.30( 10) 4 13 | 10 18 | 83.39 28 | 84.03 26 | 83.53 28 | 83.74 26 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 CENTRAL = 91.20 NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.73] [ 1.69] [ 1.73] [ 1.77] [ 1.77] 2 Cleveland Cavaliers = 98.90 42 10 88.78( 29) 8 5 | 19 6 | 99.00 2 | 99.46 2 | 98.44 2 | 98.59 2 CENTRAL 12 Indiana Pacers = 91.63 29 22 89.35( 26) 5 7 | 12 10 | 91.16 12 | 91.10 13 | 92.72 10 | 93.90 8 CENTRAL 13 Milwaukee Bucks = 91.20 29 23 88.96( 28) 2 12 | 7 12 | 90.96 13 | 91.25 12 | 91.44 13 | 91.26 12 CENTRAL 15 Detroit Pistons = 89.80 27 26 89.63( 21) 6 10 | 9 16 | 89.98 14 | 89.92 16 | 89.53 14 | 89.82 14 CENTRAL 25 Chicago Bulls = 85.44 22 31 89.76( 19) 6 10 | 9 19 | 85.68 25 | 86.09 24 | 84.39 26 | 83.54 27 CENTRAL _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 SOUTHEAST = 85.44 NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.73] [ 1.69] [ 1.73] [ 1.77] [ 1.77] 17 Miami Heat = 88.32 25 25 89.39( 24) 4 8 | 8 16 | 87.99 18 | 88.69 18 | 88.28 17 | 87.86 19 SOUTHEAST 19 Atlanta Hawks = 87.83 25 28 89.98( 13) 8 11 | 12 18 | 87.62 19 | 88.06 20 | 87.80 19 | 87.98 18 SOUTHEAST 23 Orlando Magic = 86.42 26 28 89.81( 17) 3 12 | 8 19 | 86.06 23 | 87.41 21 | 85.68 24 | 84.57 25 SOUTHEAST 26 Charlotte Hornets = 83.70 13 37 89.41( 23) 1 14 | 7 18 | 84.35 26 | 82.88 28 | 83.71 27 | 83.29 28 SOUTHEAST 30 Washington Wizards = 78.31 9 43 91.25( 2) 2 21 | 2 30 | 78.49 30 | 78.48 30 | 77.83 30 | 77.47 30 SOUTHEAST _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 southwest = 91.15 NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.73] [ 1.69] [ 1.73] [ 1.77] [ 1.77] 4 Memphis Grizzlies = 96.96 35 17 89.24( 27) 6 10 | 13 14 | 97.23 4 | 96.52 4 | 97.25 3 | 97.49 3 southwest 8 Houston Rockets = 93.76 33 20 91.03( 3) 14 7 | 19 14 | 94.02 8 | 94.56 6 | 92.85 9 | 92.23 10 southwest 11 Dallas Mavericks = 91.96 28 25 90.91( 4) 11 13 | 12 17 | 92.11 11 | 92.31 11 | 91.51 12 | 91.03 13 southwest 18 San Antonio Spurs = 88.15 22 28 90.32( 9) 6 14 | 11 19 | 88.43 17 | 88.73 17 | 87.23 22 | 86.31 24 southwest 28 New Orleans Pelicans = 83.65 12 40 90.82( 5) 1 19 | 3 28 | 83.14 29 | 82.02 29 | 85.18 25 | 86.35 23 southwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 northwest = 92.84 NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.73] [ 1.69] [ 1.73] [ 1.77] [ 1.77] 1 Oklahoma City Thunder = 102.26 42 10 89.79( 18) 14 3 | 20 9 | 102.18 1 | 102.00 1 | 102.77 1 | 103.72 1 northwest 5 Denver Nuggets = 95.51 34 19 89.68( 20) 5 12 | 12 13 | 95.35 5 | 94.91 5 | 96.45 5 | 97.16 4 northwest 6 Minnesota Timberwolves = 94.65 30 23 90.14( 12) 10 9 | 15 16 | 94.87 6 | 93.91 8 | 95.31 6 | 95.87 6 northwest 21 Portland Trail Blazers = 87.46 23 30 90.33( 8) 5 13 | 11 20 | 87.30 21 | 87.02 22 | 88.05 18 | 89.62 15 northwest 29 Utah Jazz = 83.44 12 39 90.52( 7) 1 15 | 4 25 | 83.71 27 | 83.20 27 | 83.34 29 | 82.66 29 northwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 90.41 NBA 2024-2025 ratings through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - with picks for next four days RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.73] [ 1.69] [ 1.73] [ 1.77] [ 1.77] 9 Los Angeles Lakers = 92.53 31 19 89.94( 14) 6 9 | 14 12 | 92.19 10 | 92.41 9 | 93.05 8 | 94.33 7 pacific 10 Los Angeles Clippers = 92.45 29 23 89.94( 15) 4 14 | 11 16 | 92.79 9 | 92.34 10 | 92.28 11 | 92.09 11 pacific 14 Sacramento Kings = 89.85 26 26 89.93( 16) 6 14 | 9 17 | 89.89 15 | 90.25 14 | 89.43 15 | 88.63 17 pacific 16 Golden State Warriors = 89.48 26 26 90.74( 6) 10 14 | 12 19 | 89.34 16 | 90.02 15 | 89.07 16 | 88.69 16 pacific 20 Phoenix Suns = 87.73 26 26 89.52( 22) 6 10 | 11 17 | 87.52 20 | 88.34 19 | 87.30 21 | 86.68 22 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
endfile

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ================================================================================================================== @ Brooklyn Nets 1.70 0.73 2.87 1.58 2.22 Charlotte Hornets 124 55% 205.42 San Antonio Spurs 8.11 8.26 8.53 7.62 7.07 @ Washington Wizards 267 73% 232.14 Boston Celtics 7.47 8.28 7.13 7.14 7.27 @ Miami Heat 248 71% 220.87 @ Orlando Magic 0.32 0.12 1.08 -0.36 -1.65 Atlanta Hawks 104 51% 217.89 @ Cleveland Cavaliers 5.98 5.82 7.27 4.90 4.49 Minnesota Timberwolv 209 68% 230.71 @ Milwaukee Bucks 3.46 3.30 2.96 4.13 4.33 Golden State Warrior 154 61% 227.18 @ Dallas Mavericks 3.84 3.91 3.79 3.85 4.16 Sacramento Kings 162 62% 236.85 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 20.33 20.73 21.71 19.36 19.14 New Orleans Pelicans 956 91% 231.75 @ Denver Nuggets 9.77 9.74 9.62 10.17 9.31 Portland Trail Blaze 321 76% 232.53 @ Los Angeles Lakers 10.82 10.17 10.94 11.48 13.44 Utah Jazz 360 78% 232.69 @ Philadelphia 76ers 2.71 2.67 2.83 2.66 1.97 Toronto Raptors 141 58% 224.88 New York Knicks 0.87 1.60 1.58 -0.58 -2.58 @ Indiana Pacers 112 53% 235.61 Detroit Pistons 2.64 2.61 2.10 3.38 4.52 @ Chicago Bulls 139 58% 238.32 Memphis Grizzlies 7.50 8.01 6.46 8.18 9.04 @ Phoenix Suns 249 71% 245.04 @ Boston Celtics 11.10 11.22 10.54 11.73 12.36 San Antonio Spurs 371 79% 228.42 @ New York Knicks 8.13 8.51 8.08 7.87 6.87 Atlanta Hawks 267 73% 237.42 Philadelphia 76ers 1.69 1.85 0.86 2.40 2.17 @ Brooklyn Nets 124 55% 213.50 Indiana Pacers 11.59 10.98 10.90 13.11 14.67 @ Washington Wizards 392 80% 233.65 Cleveland Cavaliers 11.07 11.37 12.23 9.87 9.35 @ Toronto Raptors 370 79% 233.74 @ Orlando Magic 4.45 3.40 6.26 3.73 3.05 Charlotte Hornets 174 64% 203.44 Detroit Pistons 2.64 2.61 2.10 3.38 4.52 @ Chicago Bulls 139 58% 238.32 Sacramento Kings 4.47 5.06 6.51 2.48 0.52 @ New Orleans Pelicans 175 64% 239.47 @ Minnesota Timberwolv 5.17 5.60 4.39 5.64 6.38 Milwaukee Bucks 190 65% 225.07 @ Houston Rockets 7.76 8.19 7.94 7.32 7.32 Phoenix Suns 256 72% 226.78 @ Dallas Mavericks 4.21 4.45 4.02 4.21 4.10 Golden State Warrior 169 63% 226.85 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 15.66 15.87 15.04 16.27 17.62 Miami Heat 601 86% 221.76 @ Denver Nuggets 9.77 9.74 9.62 10.17 9.31 Portland Trail Blaze 321 76% 232.53 Los Angeles Lakers 7.37 6.79 7.48 7.94 9.90 @ Utah Jazz 245 71% 232.69 Memphis Grizzlies 2.78 2.75 2.46 3.21 3.63 @ Los Angeles Clippers 142 59% 235.27 Sacramento Kings 4.47 5.06 6.51 2.48 0.52 @ New Orleans Pelicans 175 64% 239.47 Oklahoma City Thunde 5.88 5.62 6.36 5.70 6.08 @ Minnesota Timberwolv 206 67% 221.26 @ Houston Rockets 6.01 6.37 6.26 5.54 5.30 Golden State Warrior 210 68% 219.72 @ Dallas Mavericks 5.37 5.81 5.35 5.01 4.93 Miami Heat 194 66% 225.24 Los Angeles Clippers 7.29 7.39 7.41 7.17 7.66 @ Utah Jazz 243 71% 228.37 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS based on HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS for EACH TEAM Charlotte Hornets 0.40 1.37 -0.78 0.51 -0.13 @ Brooklyn Nets 105 51% 205.42 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS San Antonio Spurs 9.37 9.52 9.79 8.89 8.33 @ Washington Wizards 307 75% 232.14 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Boston Celtics 8.72 9.53 8.38 8.39 8.52 @ Miami Heat 286 74% 220.87 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Atlanta Hawks 0.73 0.93 -0.03 1.41 2.70 @ Orlando Magic 110 52% 217.89 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Cleveland Cavaliers 5.32 5.16 6.61 4.24 3.84 Minnesota Timberwolv 193 66% 230.71 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Milwaukee Bucks 4.48 4.33 3.98 5.15 5.36 Golden State Warrior 175 64% 227.18 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Dallas Mavericks 6.76 6.83 6.71 6.78 7.08 Sacramento Kings 229 70% 236.85 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Oklahoma City Thunde 23.36 23.75 24.74 22.39 22.16 New Orleans Pelicans 1265 93% 231.75 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Denver Nuggets 10.44 10.41 10.29 10.84 9.98 Portland Trail Blaze 346 78% 232.53 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Los Angeles Lakers 13.99 13.33 14.10 14.65 16.61 Utah Jazz 505 83% 232.69 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Philadelphia 76ers 1.11 1.07 1.23 1.06 0.37 Toronto Raptors 115 54% 224.88 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Indiana Pacers 2.92 2.20 2.22 4.38 6.38 New York Knicks 144 59% 235.61 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Detroit Pistons 5.54 5.51 5.00 6.27 7.41 @ Chicago Bulls 198 66% 238.32 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Memphis Grizzlies 7.26 7.77 6.22 7.94 8.80 @ Phoenix Suns 242 71% 245.04 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Boston Celtics 9.89 10.00 9.32 10.51 11.14 San Antonio Spurs 325 76% 228.42 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ New York Knicks 5.32 5.70 5.27 5.06 4.07 Atlanta Hawks 193 66% 237.42 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Philadelphia 76ers 4.22 4.38 3.39 4.93 4.70 @ Brooklyn Nets 169 63% 213.50 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Indiana Pacers 15.93 15.33 15.24 17.46 19.01 @ Washington Wizards 618 86% 233.65 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Cleveland Cavaliers 10.19 10.50 11.35 8.99 8.47 @ Toronto Raptors 336 77% 233.74 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Orlando Magic 5.81 4.75 7.62 5.09 4.41 Charlotte Hornets 205 67% 203.44 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Detroit Pistons 5.54 5.51 5.00 6.27 7.41 @ Chicago Bulls 198 66% 238.32 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ New Orleans Pelicans 0.90 0.32 -1.13 2.90 4.86 Sacramento Kings 112 53% 239.47 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Minnesota Timberwolv 7.28 7.70 6.49 7.74 8.48 Milwaukee Bucks 243 71% 225.07 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Houston Rockets 8.06 8.49 8.24 7.62 7.62 Phoenix Suns 265 73% 226.78 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Dallas Mavericks 4.92 5.16 4.73 4.91 4.81 Golden State Warrior 184 65% 226.85 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Oklahoma City Thunde 18.61 18.82 17.99 19.21 20.57 Miami Heat 809 89% 221.76 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Denver Nuggets 10.44 10.41 10.29 10.84 9.98 Portland Trail Blaze 346 78% 232.53 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Los Angeles Lakers 10.28 9.71 10.40 10.86 12.82 @ Utah Jazz 340 77% 232.69 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Memphis Grizzlies 1.90 1.87 1.58 2.33 2.75 @ Los Angeles Clippers 127 56% 235.27 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ New Orleans Pelicans 0.90 0.32 -1.13 2.90 4.86 Sacramento Kings 112 53% 239.47 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Oklahoma City Thunde 6.53 6.27 7.02 6.35 6.74 @ Minnesota Timberwolv 223 69% 221.26 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Houston Rockets 3.82 4.17 4.07 3.35 3.11 Golden State Warrior 161 62% 219.72 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Dallas Mavericks 7.29 7.72 7.26 6.92 6.85 Miami Heat 243 71% 225.24 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Los Angeles Clippers 8.35 8.45 8.47 8.22 8.72 @ Utah Jazz 274 73% 228.37 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG 1 @ Brooklyn Nets 4.68 179 64% Charlotte Hornets 2 San Antonio Spurs 8.17 268 73% @ Washington Wizards 3 Boston Celtics 7.78 257 72% @ Miami Heat 4 @ Orlando Magic 1.96 128 56% Atlanta Hawks 5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers 6.69 226 69% Minnesota Timberwolv 6 @ Milwaukee Bucks 3.87 162 62% Golden State Warrior 7 @ Dallas Mavericks 4.27 170 63% Sacramento Kings 8 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 19.89 911 90% New Orleans Pelicans 9 @ Denver Nuggets 7.00 235 70% Portland Trail Blaze 10 @ Los Angeles Lakers 8.94 293 75% Utah Jazz 11 @ Philadelphia 76ers 1.82 126 56% Toronto Raptors 12 New York Knicks 0.89 112 53% @ Indiana Pacers 13 Detroit Pistons 2.17 131 57% @ Chicago Bulls 14 Memphis Grizzlies 3.49 155 61% @ Phoenix Suns 15 @ Boston Celtics 10.58 351 78% San Antonio Spurs 16 @ New York Knicks 6.69 227 69% Atlanta Hawks 17 @ Brooklyn Nets 1.47 120 55% Philadelphia 76ers 18 Indiana Pacers 10.28 340 77% @ Washington Wizards 19 Cleveland Cavaliers 11.61 393 80% @ Toronto Raptors 20 @ Orlando Magic 7.77 256 72% Charlotte Hornets 21 Detroit Pistons 2.17 131 57% @ Chicago Bulls 22 Sacramento Kings 6.26 215 68% @ New Orleans Pelicans 23 @ Minnesota Timberwolv 3.20 149 60% Milwaukee Bucks 24 @ Houston Rockets 7.45 247 71% Phoenix Suns 25 @ Dallas Mavericks 3.45 154 61% Golden State Warrior 26 @ Oklahoma City Thunde 13.69 490 83% Miami Heat 27 @ Denver Nuggets 7.00 235 70% Portland Trail Blaze 28 Los Angeles Lakers 5.46 196 66% @ Utah Jazz 29 Memphis Grizzlies 1.48 121 55% @ Los Angeles Clippers 30 Sacramento Kings 6.26 215 68% @ New Orleans Pelicans 31 Oklahoma City Thunde 4.00 165 62% @ Minnesota Timberwolv 32 @ Houston Rockets 6.47 221 69% Golden State Warrior 33 @ Dallas Mavericks 6.07 211 68% Miami Heat 34 Los Angeles Clippers 6.54 222 69% @ Utah Jazz endfile

Top_of_Page