United States Naval Observatory
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NBA 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 OCTOBER 22 THURSDAY
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) DIVISION AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
(3) teams listed by DIVISION
(listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 97 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 95.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 94 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 84.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
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The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
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GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
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The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file
where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into
account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
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NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93]
1 Oklahoma City Thunder = 98.44 2 0 95.46( 5) 2 0 | 2 0 | 98.98 1 | 98.97 1 | 97.93 1 | 95.69 4 northwest
2 San Antonio Spurs = 97.85 0 1 96.52( 2) 0 1 | 0 1 | 97.82 2 | 97.47 2 | 92.51 9 | 88.35 20 southwest
3 New York Knicks = 94.29 0 1 92.27( 13) 0 1 | 0 1 | 94.27 4 | 93.91 6 | 91.22 12 | 88.57 19 ATLANTIC
4 Philadelphia 76ers = 94.20 2 0 93.40( 9) 1 0 | 2 0 | 94.27 3 | 94.17 3 | 94.40 5 | 93.73 8 ATLANTIC
5 Minnesota Timberwolves = 93.81 1 0 93.07( 11) 0 0 | 1 0 | 93.79 5 | 94.13 4 | 96.39 3 | 96.80 3 northwest
6 Detroit Pistons = 93.76 1 0 91.68( 15) 1 0 | 1 0 | 93.74 6 | 94.10 5 | 93.31 8 | 93.24 11 CENTRAL
7 Boston Celtics = 93.61 0 1 95.69( 4) 0 1 | 0 1 | 93.59 7 | 93.31 8 | 91.04 13 | 88.92 18 ATLANTIC
8 Houston Rockets = 93.21 1 0 84.60( 27) 0 0 | 0 0 | 93.19 8 | 93.37 7 | 93.57 7 | 94.05 7 southwest
9 Toronto Raptors = 93.08 1 0 82.20( 28) 0 0 | 0 0 | 93.06 9 | 92.95 9 | 96.97 2 | 97.38 1 ATLANTIC
10 Denver Nuggets = 93.07 0 1 100.37( 1) 0 1 | 0 1 | 93.05 10 | 92.76 10 | 91.60 11 | 89.61 15 northwest
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93]
11 Cleveland Cavaliers = 92.50 0 1 96.13( 3) 0 1 | 0 1 | 92.48 11 | 92.15 12 | 90.99 14 | 89.30 17 CENTRAL
12 Los Angeles Lakers = 92.30 1 0 86.77( 22) 0 0 | 0 0 | 92.28 12 | 92.45 11 | 94.26 6 | 95.29 5 pacific
13 Atlanta Hawks = 91.65 1 0 92.80( 12) 0 0 | 0 0 | 91.63 13 | 92.01 13 | 92.45 10 | 93.33 10 SOUTHEAST
14 Indiana Pacers = 91.41 1 0 86.61( 23) 0 0 | 0 0 | 91.39 14 | 91.84 14 | 90.45 16 | 89.77 14 CENTRAL
15 Portland Trail Blazers = 91.16 1 0 86.22( 24) 0 0 | 0 0 | 91.14 15 | 91.22 15 | 96.33 4 | 97.20 2 northwest
16 Miami Heat = 91.14 0 1 91.88( 14) 0 1 | 0 1 | 91.12 16 | 91.00 16 | 86.61 22 | 84.76 26 SOUTHEAST
17 Orlando Magic = 90.87 0 1 89.72( 16) 0 0 | 0 1 | 90.85 17 | 90.58 17 | 89.02 20 | 87.56 21 SOUTHEAST
18 Charlotte Hornets = 89.06 1 0 84.68( 26) 0 0 | 0 0 | 89.04 18 | 89.46 18 | 89.87 18 | 90.86 13 SOUTHEAST
19 Golden State Warriors = 88.70 0 1 94.23( 8) 0 0 | 0 1 | 88.68 19 | 88.66 19 | 86.33 23 | 85.22 25 pacific
20 Phoenix Suns = 88.15 0 1 93.09( 10) 0 0 | 0 1 | 88.13 20 | 88.18 20 | 83.23 28 | 82.85 28 pacific
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93]
21 Washington Wizards = 87.73 1 0 80.98( 29) 0 0 | 0 0 | 87.71 21 | 88.04 21 | 89.57 19 | 91.43 12 SOUTHEAST
22 Utah Jazz = 87.69 0 1 87.38( 19) 0 0 | 0 0 | 87.67 22 | 87.45 22 | 85.06 26 | 84.33 27 northwest
23 Dallas Mavericks = 86.53 0 1 95.14( 6) 0 1 | 0 1 | 86.51 23 | 86.46 23 | 86.24 24 | 86.11 24 southwest
24 Memphis Grizzlies = 85.45 1 0 85.76( 25) 0 0 | 0 0 | 85.43 24 | 85.70 24 | 90.76 15 | 94.07 6 southwest
25 Los Angeles Clippers = 85.31 1 0 78.62( 30) 0 0 | 0 0 | 85.29 25 | 85.34 25 | 90.31 17 | 93.72 9 pacific
26 New Orleans Pelicans = 84.68 0 1 89.48( 18) 0 0 | 0 1 | 84.66 26 | 84.37 26 | 87.20 21 | 89.44 16 southwest
27 Chicago Bulls = 84.13 0 1 95.01( 7) 0 1 | 0 1 | 84.11 27 | 84.29 27 | 81.30 29 | 82.10 30 CENTRAL
28 Milwaukee Bucks = 82.91 0 1 89.66( 17) 0 0 | 0 0 | 82.89 28 | 82.72 28 | 84.82 27 | 86.34 23 CENTRAL
29 Brooklyn Nets = 82.75 0 1 87.14( 21) 0 0 | 0 0 | 82.73 29 | 82.49 29 | 85.22 25 | 87.23 22 ATLANTIC
30 Sacramento Kings = 80.55 0 1 87.24( 20) 0 0 | 0 0 | 80.53 30 | 80.44 30 | 81.09 30 | 82.75 29 pacific
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Divisional Rankings
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the "simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",) and the WIN50%. The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s) in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go away from the middle in either direction, up or down. This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The "simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally no matter where they are relative to the middle. Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed. 4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1 5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1 6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1 7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1 8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1 9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1 10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1 11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1 12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1 13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean". The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% RATING PREDICTOR GOLDEN_MEAN RECENT STRONG_RECENT 1 northwest = 92.81 92.83 ( 1) 5 92.82 ( 1) 92.8340( 3.9293) 92.9230( 4.1292) 92.9073( 4.2089) 93.4591( 5.2640) 92.7257( 5.6044) 2 ATLANTIC = 92.49 91.59 ( 2) 5 91.80 ( 2) 91.5865( 4.9654) 91.5836( 4.9778) 91.3653( 4.9872) 91.7690( 4.4057) 91.1669( 4.2583) 3 SOUTHEAST = 90.27 90.09 ( 3) 5 90.09 ( 3) 90.0896( 1.6394) 90.0681( 1.6394) 90.2190( 1.5216) 89.5034( 2.0897) 89.5885( 3.4093) 4 CENTRAL = 89.35 88.94 ( 5) 5 89.00 ( 5) 88.9418( 5.0366) 88.9203( 5.0366) 89.0218( 5.1368) 88.1719( 4.9505) 88.1505( 4.1742) 5 southwest = 88.83 89.54 ( 4) 5 89.40 ( 4) 89.5430( 5.7415) 89.5215( 5.7415) 89.4727( 5.6690) 90.0552( 3.2219) 90.4064( 3.5478) 6 pacific = 87.26 87.01 ( 6) 5 87.05 ( 6) 87.0051( 4.3810) 86.9836( 4.3810) 87.0139( 4.4618) 87.0414( 5.3201) 87.9620( 6.0767) OVERALL 90.0000( 4.4933) 90.0000( 4.5331) 90.0000( 4.5331) 90.0000( 4.5331) 90.0000( 4.5331) DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% RATING PREDICTOR GOLDEN_MEAN RECENT STRONG_RECENT 2 ATLANTIC = 92.49 91.59 ( 2) 5 91.80 ( 2) 91.5865( 4.9654) 91.5836( 4.9778) 91.3653( 4.9872) 91.7690( 4.4057) 91.1669( 4.2583) 4 CENTRAL = 89.35 88.94 ( 5) 5 89.00 ( 5) 88.9418( 5.0366) 88.9203( 5.0366) 89.0218( 5.1368) 88.1719( 4.9505) 88.1505( 4.1742) 3 SOUTHEAST = 90.27 90.09 ( 3) 5 90.09 ( 3) 90.0896( 1.6394) 90.0681( 1.6394) 90.2190( 1.5216) 89.5034( 2.0897) 89.5885( 3.4093) 5 southwest = 88.83 89.54 ( 4) 5 89.40 ( 4) 89.5430( 5.7415) 89.5215( 5.7415) 89.4727( 5.6690) 90.0552( 3.2219) 90.4064( 3.5478) 1 northwest = 92.81 92.83 ( 1) 5 92.82 ( 1) 92.8340( 3.9293) 92.9230( 4.1292) 92.9073( 4.2089) 93.4591( 5.2640) 92.7257( 5.6044) 6 pacific = 87.26 87.01 ( 6) 5 87.05 ( 6) 87.0051( 4.3810) 86.9836( 4.3810) 87.0139( 4.4618) 87.0414( 5.3201) 87.9620( 6.0767) OVERALL 90.0000( 4.4933) 90.0000( 4.5331) 90.0000( 4.5331) 90.0000( 4.5331) 90.0000( 4.5331) __________________________________________________________________________________________________By Division
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 ATLANTIC = 92.49 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] 3 New York Knicks = 94.29 0 1 92.27( 13) 0 1 | 0 1 | 94.27 4 | 93.91 6 | 91.22 12 | 88.57 19 ATLANTIC 4 Philadelphia 76ers = 94.20 2 0 93.40( 9) 1 0 | 2 0 | 94.27 3 | 94.17 3 | 94.40 5 | 93.73 8 ATLANTIC 7 Boston Celtics = 93.61 0 1 95.69( 4) 0 1 | 0 1 | 93.59 7 | 93.31 8 | 91.04 13 | 88.92 18 ATLANTIC 9 Toronto Raptors = 93.08 1 0 82.20( 28) 0 0 | 0 0 | 93.06 9 | 92.95 9 | 96.97 2 | 97.38 1 ATLANTIC 29 Brooklyn Nets = 82.75 0 1 87.14( 21) 0 0 | 0 0 | 82.73 29 | 82.49 29 | 85.22 25 | 87.23 22 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 CENTRAL = 89.35 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] 6 Detroit Pistons = 93.76 1 0 91.68( 15) 1 0 | 1 0 | 93.74 6 | 94.10 5 | 93.31 8 | 93.24 11 CENTRAL 11 Cleveland Cavaliers = 92.50 0 1 96.13( 3) 0 1 | 0 1 | 92.48 11 | 92.15 12 | 90.99 14 | 89.30 17 CENTRAL 14 Indiana Pacers = 91.41 1 0 86.61( 23) 0 0 | 0 0 | 91.39 14 | 91.84 14 | 90.45 16 | 89.77 14 CENTRAL 27 Chicago Bulls = 84.13 0 1 95.01( 7) 0 1 | 0 1 | 84.11 27 | 84.29 27 | 81.30 29 | 82.10 30 CENTRAL 28 Milwaukee Bucks = 82.91 0 1 89.66( 17) 0 0 | 0 0 | 82.89 28 | 82.72 28 | 84.82 27 | 86.34 23 CENTRAL _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 SOUTHEAST = 90.27 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] 13 Atlanta Hawks = 91.65 1 0 92.80( 12) 0 0 | 0 0 | 91.63 13 | 92.01 13 | 92.45 10 | 93.33 10 SOUTHEAST 16 Miami Heat = 91.14 0 1 91.88( 14) 0 1 | 0 1 | 91.12 16 | 91.00 16 | 86.61 22 | 84.76 26 SOUTHEAST 17 Orlando Magic = 90.87 0 1 89.72( 16) 0 0 | 0 1 | 90.85 17 | 90.58 17 | 89.02 20 | 87.56 21 SOUTHEAST 18 Charlotte Hornets = 89.06 1 0 84.68( 26) 0 0 | 0 0 | 89.04 18 | 89.46 18 | 89.87 18 | 90.86 13 SOUTHEAST 21 Washington Wizards = 87.73 1 0 80.98( 29) 0 0 | 0 0 | 87.71 21 | 88.04 21 | 89.57 19 | 91.43 12 SOUTHEAST _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5 southwest = 88.83 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] 2 San Antonio Spurs = 97.85 0 1 96.52( 2) 0 1 | 0 1 | 97.82 2 | 97.47 2 | 92.51 9 | 88.35 20 southwest 8 Houston Rockets = 93.21 1 0 84.60( 27) 0 0 | 0 0 | 93.19 8 | 93.37 7 | 93.57 7 | 94.05 7 southwest 23 Dallas Mavericks = 86.53 0 1 95.14( 6) 0 1 | 0 1 | 86.51 23 | 86.46 23 | 86.24 24 | 86.11 24 southwest 24 Memphis Grizzlies = 85.45 1 0 85.76( 25) 0 0 | 0 0 | 85.43 24 | 85.70 24 | 90.76 15 | 94.07 6 southwest 26 New Orleans Pelicans = 84.68 0 1 89.48( 18) 0 0 | 0 1 | 84.66 26 | 84.37 26 | 87.20 21 | 89.44 16 southwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 northwest = 92.81 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] 1 Oklahoma City Thunder = 98.44 2 0 95.46( 5) 2 0 | 2 0 | 98.98 1 | 98.97 1 | 97.93 1 | 95.69 4 northwest 5 Minnesota Timberwolves = 93.81 1 0 93.07( 11) 0 0 | 1 0 | 93.79 5 | 94.13 4 | 96.39 3 | 96.80 3 northwest 10 Denver Nuggets = 93.07 0 1 100.37( 1) 0 1 | 0 1 | 93.05 10 | 92.76 10 | 91.60 11 | 89.61 15 northwest 15 Portland Trail Blazers = 91.16 1 0 86.22( 24) 0 0 | 0 0 | 91.14 15 | 91.22 15 | 96.33 4 | 97.20 2 northwest 22 Utah Jazz = 87.69 0 1 87.38( 19) 0 0 | 0 0 | 87.67 22 | 87.45 22 | 85.06 26 | 84.33 27 northwest _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6 pacific = 87.26 NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] [ 1.93] 12 Los Angeles Lakers = 92.30 1 0 86.77( 22) 0 0 | 0 0 | 92.28 12 | 92.45 11 | 94.26 6 | 95.29 5 pacific 19 Golden State Warriors = 88.70 0 1 94.23( 8) 0 0 | 0 1 | 88.68 19 | 88.66 19 | 86.33 23 | 85.22 25 pacific 20 Phoenix Suns = 88.15 0 1 93.09( 10) 0 0 | 0 1 | 88.13 20 | 88.18 20 | 83.23 28 | 82.85 28 pacific 25 Los Angeles Clippers = 85.31 1 0 78.62( 30) 0 0 | 0 0 | 85.29 25 | 85.34 25 | 90.31 17 | 93.72 9 pacific 30 Sacramento Kings = 80.55 0 1 87.24( 20) 0 0 | 0 0 | 80.53 30 | 80.44 30 | 81.09 30 | 82.75 29 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.93 1.93 1.93 1.93 1.93 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Celtics 1.25 1.25 1.32 1.75 2.28 New York Knicks 116 54% 111.81 110.07 221.88 1.73 55% 123 2 Toronto Raptors 3.42 3.42 2.98 5.47 4.02 @ Washington Wizards 151 60% 113.32 117.65 230.97 -4.32 37% -168 3 Detroit Pistons 0.69 0.69 1.17 4.77 6.55 @ Miami Heat 109 52% 112.00 118.34 230.34 -6.34 32% -211 4 Atlanta Hawks 0.65 0.65 0.62 0.65 0.55 @ Charlotte Hornets 108 52% 116.36 113.43 229.79 2.93 59% 142 5 Minnesota Timberwolv 1.01 1.01 1.62 5.44 7.31 @ Orlando Magic 113 53% 114.69 120.51 235.20 -5.82 33% -199 6 @ Indiana Pacers 6.81 6.81 7.31 6.13 5.59 Dallas Mavericks 223 69% 120.46 113.26 233.72 7.20 70% 233 7 @ Milwaukee Bucks 0.72 0.72 0.36 5.45 6.17 Chicago Bulls 109 52% 119.66 111.29 230.95 8.37 73% 264 8 N @ San Antonio Spurs 4.63 4.63 4.10 -1.06 -5.70 Houston Rockets 174 63% 111.82 120.03 231.85 -8.21 28% -260 9 @ Utah Jazz 4.94 4.94 5.02 -0.21 -3.18 New Orleans Pelicans 180 64% 114.43 116.45 230.88 -2.02 44% -128 10 @ Los Angeles Lakers 8.92 8.92 9.04 5.88 3.50 Los Angeles Clippers 281 74% 113.63 112.10 225.73 1.53 55% 120 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Portland Trail Blaze 8.68 8.68 8.85 13.31 12.53 @ Sacramento Kings 273 73% 105.33 116.90 222.23 -11.58 21% -372 12 @ Golden State Warrior 5.18 5.18 4.89 -2.50 -6.93 Memphis Grizzlies 185 65% 109.44 117.97 227.40 -8.53 27% -269 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NBA 2026-2027 Ratings through games of 2026 October 22 Thursday HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.93 1.93 1.93 1.93 1.93 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Celtics 2.23 2.23 2.30 2.73 3.25 New York Knicks 131 57% 112.30 109.59 221.88 2.71 58% 139 2 Toronto Raptors 6.14 6.14 5.70 8.19 6.74 @ Washington Wizards 207 67% 111.96 119.01 230.97 -7.04 30% -229 3 Detroit Pistons 22.09 22.09 22.56 26.17 27.95 @ Miami Heat 1037 91% 101.30 129.04 230.34 -27.73 6% -1666 4 Atlanta Hawks 8.56 8.56 8.53 8.56 8.46 @ Charlotte Hornets 270 73% 112.41 117.38 229.79 -4.98 36% -181 5 Minnesota Timberwolv 28.34 28.34 28.95 32.77 34.64 @ Orlando Magic 1745 95% 101.03 134.17 235.20 -33.15 4% -2430 6 @ Indiana Pacers 16.30 16.30 16.80 15.62 15.07 Dallas Mavericks 599 86% 125.20 108.52 233.72 16.69 86% 623 7 @ Milwaukee Bucks 16.40 16.40 16.05 21.14 21.86 Chicago Bulls 606 86% 127.50 103.45 230.95 24.05 92% 1233 8 N Houston Rockets 7.28 7.28 7.81 12.97 17.61 @ San Antonio Spurs 234 70% 105.86 125.98 231.85 -20.12 10% -866 9 New Orleans Pelicans 4.56 4.56 4.48 9.71 12.68 @ Utah Jazz 172 63% 109.68 121.20 230.88 -11.51 21% -369 10 @ Los Angeles Lakers 16.03 16.03 16.15 12.99 10.61 Los Angeles Clippers 584 85% 117.18 108.55 225.73 8.63 73% 272 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Portland Trail Blaze 26.34 26.34 26.51 30.97 30.19 @ Sacramento Kings 1493 94% 96.49 125.73 222.23 -29.24 5% -1867 12 Memphis Grizzlies 10.55 10.55 10.84 18.23 22.66 @ Golden State Warrior 334 77% 101.57 125.83 227.40 -24.26 7% -1255EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG 1 @ Boston Celtics 2.94 143 59% New York Knicks 2 Toronto Raptors 1.82 125 55% @ Washington Wizards 3 Detroit Pistons 10.32 326 77% @ Miami Heat 4 @ Charlotte Hornets 1.95 127 56% Atlanta Hawks 5 Minnesota Timberwolv 11.16 356 78% @ Orlando Magic 6 @ Indiana Pacers 12.47 407 80% Dallas Mavericks 7 @ Milwaukee Bucks 6.05 204 67% Chicago Bulls 8 N Houston Rockets 12.53 410 80% @ San Antonio Spurs 9 New Orleans Pelicans 0.39 105 51% @ Utah Jazz 10 @ Los Angeles Lakers 1.51 120 55% Los Angeles Clippers 11 Portland Trail Blaze 14.12 482 83% @ Sacramento Kings 12 Memphis Grizzlies 11.43 366 79% @ Golden State Warrior endfileTop_of_Page