United States Naval Observatory
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"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the manpower for that war. The policies - determining who would be drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic disgrace. I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable (someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are too good to risk. I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and National Guard units. Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."
COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2011 through results of 2012 JANUARY 9 MONDAY - BCS Championship Game - Final Ratings
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is unbiased now.
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) CONFERENCE AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically)
(3) teams listed by CONFERENCE
(listed in order within conferences)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 246 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
THREE different home edges shown: first for RATING, second for ELO_CHESS, third for PREDICTOR(PURE POINTS)
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.
For the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all WELL CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the RATING, ELO-CHESS, and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR) are then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.
The teams are now WELL CONNECTED and so all three ratings are UNBIASED.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In ELO-CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games. The ELO-CHESS will be utilized by the Bowl Championship Series(BCS).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO-CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
1 Alabama A = 104.17 12 1 76.53( 15) 2 1 | 4 1 | 106.06 1 | 102.72 1
2 LSU A = 100.30 13 1 78.93( 7) 3 1 | 6 1 | 103.42 2 | 98.31 2
3 Oklahoma State A = 97.01 12 1 80.06( 3) 2 0 | 7 0 | 98.19 4 | 95.86 3
4 Oklahoma A = 92.48 10 3 79.08( 6) 0 1 | 5 2 | 91.21 6 | 93.02 4
5 Oregon A = 91.82 12 2 73.53( 35) 2 1 | 2 2 | 90.43 9 | 92.48 7
6 Arkansas A = 91.06 11 2 75.29( 20) 1 2 | 3 2 | 99.53 3 | 87.43 9
7 Stanford A = 90.48 11 2 73.08( 36) 0 2 | 2 2 | 87.33 10 | 93.01 5
8 Wisconsin A = 88.67 11 3 71.81( 44) 0 1 | 3 2 | 84.31 18 | 92.90 6
9 Boise State A = 88.53 12 1 68.29( 75) 0 0 | 1 1 | 85.43 13 | 90.95 8
10 South Carolina A = 88.23 11 2 73.98( 32) 0 1 | 3 1 | 91.01 7 | 86.24 13
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
11 Michigan A = 86.54 11 2 72.20( 40) 0 0 | 3 1 | 84.96 16 | 87.34 10
12 Southern California A = 86.48 10 2 73.94( 33) 1 1 | 2 1 | 85.27 14 | 86.97 11
13 Baylor A = 86.01 10 3 78.00( 10) 1 1 | 4 3 | 90.95 8 | 83.11 22
14 Texas A&M A = 85.87 7 6 79.31( 4) 0 3 | 1 6 | 84.24 19 | 86.71 12
15 Houston A = 85.26 13 1 65.46( 97) 0 0 | 1 1 | 84.13 20 | 85.68 14
16 Missouri A = 85.25 8 5 77.58( 13) 0 2 | 2 4 | 84.99 15 | 85.00 16
17 Texas A = 85.21 8 5 79.26( 5) 0 2 | 1 5 | 85.96 12 | 84.28 17
18 Michigan State A = 85.13 11 3 72.93( 38) 1 1 | 3 3 | 84.67 17 | 85.03 15
19 Kansas State A = 84.56 10 3 78.81( 8) 0 3 | 4 3 | 91.91 5 | 80.86 23
20 TCU A = 84.13 11 2 66.76( 86) 1 0 | 1 1 | 83.72 22 | 84.00 18
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
21 Georgia A = 84.01 10 4 75.01( 23) 0 3 | 1 4 | 83.92 21 | 83.64 20
22 West Virginia A = 81.78 10 3 70.12( 57) 0 1 | 1 1 | 82.51 23 | 80.86 24
23 Florida State A = 81.16 9 4 68.96( 68) 0 1 | 2 1 | 77.53 34 | 83.99 19
24 Southern Miss A = 81.07 12 2 65.69( 94) 0 0 | 1 0 | 81.30 24 | 80.48 26
25 Nebraska A = 81.06 9 4 74.32( 26) 0 2 | 2 3 | 81.25 25 | 80.49 25
26 Notre Dame A = 79.91 8 5 74.54( 25) 0 1 | 1 4 | 75.89 39 | 83.15 21
27 Virginia Tech A = 79.14 11 3 70.05( 59) 0 0 | 0 1 | 79.38 29 | 78.54 27
28 Penn State A = 78.82 9 4 73.99( 31) 0 2 | 0 4 | 79.68 27 | 77.81 31
29 Florida A = 78.78 7 6 75.01( 22) 0 3 | 0 5 | 78.78 30 | 78.33 29
30 Cincinnati A = 78.63 10 3 68.43( 73) 0 0 | 0 1 | 78.42 32 | 78.35 28
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
31 Mississippi State A = 78.43 7 6 74.07( 28) 0 4 | 0 5 | 79.64 28 | 77.19 35
32 Clemson A = 77.78 10 4 72.09( 43) 0 1 | 3 2 | 80.71 26 | 75.57 45
33 Auburn A = 77.40 8 5 77.14( 14) 1 3 | 2 4 | 86.31 11 | 72.82 52
34 BYU A = 77.18 10 3 65.96( 90) 0 0 | 0 2 | 77.98 33 | 76.20 40
35 Tulsa A = 77.02 8 5 71.75( 45) 0 3 | 0 4 | 75.77 40 | 77.52 33
36 Rutgers A = 76.98 9 4 68.67( 69) 0 0 | 1 1 | 76.38 38 | 76.99 37
37 North Dakota State AA = 76.60 14 1 56.62( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 77.34 35 | 75.66 44
38 California A = 76.20 7 6 74.06( 29) 0 2 | 0 4 | 74.31 45 | 77.24 34
39 Utah A = 75.92 8 5 71.21( 49) 0 0 | 0 1 | 75.17 42 | 76.04 42
40 Toledo A = 75.21 9 4 67.22( 81) 0 1 | 0 1 | 73.46 47 | 76.12 41
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
41 Arizona State A = 74.94 6 7 73.86( 34) 0 2 | 2 2 | 71.28 59 | 77.62 32
42 Vanderbilt A = 74.94 6 7 74.12( 27) 0 3 | 0 6 | 71.83 54 | 77.07 36
43 Iowa State A = 74.64 6 7 80.40( 2) 1 1 | 1 6 | 78.49 31 | 71.89 59
44 Washington A = 74.52 7 6 74.54( 24) 0 2 | 0 5 | 75.41 41 | 73.48 50
45 Iowa A = 74.51 7 6 72.32( 39) 0 1 | 1 4 | 74.28 46 | 74.24 46
46 Temple A = 74.50 9 4 61.52( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 69.86 64 | 78.19 30
47 Northern Illinois A = 74.46 11 3 64.52( 103) 0 1 | 0 1 | 76.41 37 | 72.75 54
48 Louisiana Tech A = 74.34 8 5 68.39( 74) 0 0 | 0 3 | 71.29 58 | 76.41 39
49 Ohio State A = 74.19 6 7 74.06( 30) 1 0 | 1 5 | 71.58 56 | 75.85 43
50 Tennessee A = 74.09 5 7 77.83( 12) 0 4 | 1 6 | 74.32 44 | 73.49 49
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
51 SMU A = 73.88 8 5 68.59( 70) 0 0 | 1 3 | 74.55 43 | 72.98 51
52 Miami-Florida A = 73.61 6 6 69.86( 61) 0 0 | 0 3 | 69.56 66 | 76.63 38
53 Texas Tech A = 73.17 5 7 77.99( 11) 1 1 | 1 6 | 76.77 36 | 70.52 65
54 North Carolina A = 72.86 7 6 70.96( 51) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.33 50 | 72.80 53
55 Illinois A = 72.80 7 6 70.52( 53) 0 1 | 0 3 | 72.33 51 | 72.70 55
56 Georgia Tech A = 72.31 8 5 68.05( 76) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.15 53 | 71.98 58
57 NC State A = 71.70 8 5 66.99( 83) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.99 48 | 70.39 66
58 Northwestern A = 71.35 6 7 71.38( 46) 0 0 | 1 4 | 69.12 68 | 72.65 56
59 South Florida A = 71.02 5 7 69.86( 62) 0 0 | 1 2 | 66.83 79 | 74.09 47
60 Nevada A = 70.89 7 6 66.61( 88) 0 2 | 0 3 | 66.63 81 | 74.01 48
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
61 Louisville A = 70.75 7 6 69.87( 60) 0 0 | 1 1 | 70.42 62 | 70.56 64
62 Sam Houston State AA = 70.59 14 1 49.45( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.82 55 | 69.31 71
63 Montana AA = 70.56 11 3 57.57( 130) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.78 71 | 71.47 62
64 Arizona A = 70.52 4 8 75.64( 18) 0 3 | 0 4 | 68.23 74 | 71.86 60
65 Purdue A = 70.28 7 6 69.27( 65) 0 1 | 0 4 | 71.32 57 | 69.13 72
66 UCLA A = 70.18 6 8 76.14( 16) 0 2 | 0 5 | 70.69 61 | 69.38 70
67 Arkansas State A = 69.89 10 3 60.09( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 70.95 60 | 68.72 75
68 Ohio A = 69.81 10 4 61.59( 118) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.24 63 | 69.08 74
69 Pittsburgh A = 69.65 6 7 71.29( 48) 0 0 | 0 3 | 68.84 70 | 69.80 68
70 San Diego State A = 69.30 8 5 65.56( 95) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.35 77 | 70.34 67
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
71 Virginia A = 69.17 8 5 68.48( 71) 0 0 | 1 2 | 72.80 49 | 66.40 80
72 Air Force A = 68.58 7 6 64.28( 104) 0 1 | 0 3 | 63.70 93 | 72.19 57
73 Wake Forest A = 68.42 6 7 70.41( 54) 0 0 | 1 2 | 68.34 73 | 68.03 77
74 Navy A = 68.37 5 7 69.04( 67) 0 1 | 0 3 | 64.35 90 | 71.17 63
75 Northern Iowa AA = 68.20 10 3 60.03( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.34 67 | 66.98 79
76 Connecticut A = 68.09 5 7 69.33( 64) 0 0 | 0 2 | 66.18 82 | 69.10 73
77 Central Florida(UCF) A = 67.61 5 7 64.61( 102) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.07 104 | 71.81 61
78 Western Michigan A = 67.51 7 6 64.91( 99) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.84 85 | 68.32 76
79 Marshall A = 67.49 7 6 70.29( 56) 0 0 | 1 3 | 72.26 52 | 64.02 90
80 Utah State A = 67.43 7 6 64.90( 100) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.34 91 | 69.41 69
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
81 Georgia Southern AA = 67.24 11 3 56.44( 139) 0 1 | 0 1 | 68.20 75 | 66.13 82
82 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 66.60 9 4 60.47( 122) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.67 65 | 64.11 89
83 Washington State A = 66.14 4 8 71.29( 47) 0 2 | 0 2 | 63.60 94 | 67.64 78
84 Wyoming A = 66.09 8 5 65.77( 92) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.67 76 | 64.55 86
85 Kentucky A = 66.03 5 7 72.18( 41) 0 2 | 0 4 | 68.70 72 | 63.78 92
86 Syracuse A = 65.97 5 7 70.39( 55) 0 0 | 1 2 | 66.85 78 | 64.90 83
87 Oregon State A = 65.76 3 9 75.59( 19) 0 3 | 0 3 | 64.51 88 | 66.24 81
88 Minnesota A = 64.89 3 9 75.86( 17) 0 1 | 0 5 | 65.63 86 | 63.92 91
89 Rice A = 64.45 4 8 72.95( 37) 0 0 | 0 4 | 66.06 83 | 62.88 98
90 Boston College A = 64.40 4 8 70.71( 52) 0 0 | 0 3 | 63.14 95 | 64.88 84
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
91 Kansas A = 64.09 2 10 80.72( 1) 0 2 | 0 7 | 68.85 69 | 60.49 112
92 UTEP A = 63.71 5 7 66.69( 87) 0 0 | 0 2 | 62.39 102 | 64.25 88
93 East Carolina A = 63.52 5 7 68.48( 72) 0 1 | 0 4 | 64.49 89 | 62.39 100
94 Fla. International A = 63.26 8 5 59.28( 127) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.00 96 | 63.02 97
95 Montana State AA = 63.07 10 3 56.92( 134) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.70 80 | 60.13 115
96 San Jose State A = 62.99 5 7 67.49( 80) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.94 106 | 63.32 95
97 Hawaii A = 62.79 6 7 62.30( 114) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.92 112 | 64.51 87
98 Miami-Ohio A = 62.62 4 8 66.77( 85) 0 0 | 0 2 | 59.20 119 | 64.76 85
99 Bowling Green A = 62.57 5 7 65.70( 93) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.36 103 | 62.28 101
100 Ball State A = 62.43 6 6 67.63( 78) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.96 84 | 59.54 116
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
101 Western Kentucky A = 62.11 7 5 61.27( 120) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.07 92 | 60.27 114
102 Maine AA = 62.08 9 4 55.13( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.73 98 | 61.18 108
103 Mississippi A = 61.77 2 10 78.17( 9) 0 3 | 0 4 | 62.55 101 | 60.77 110
104 Maryland A = 61.76 2 10 72.18( 42) 0 0 | 0 3 | 60.53 110 | 62.22 102
105 Fresno State A = 61.68 4 9 67.89( 77) 0 1 | 0 2 | 59.21 118 | 63.08 96
106 Lehigh AA = 61.67 11 2 47.62( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.80 87 | 59.03 118
107 Colorado A = 61.65 3 10 75.03( 21) 0 2 | 0 3 | 62.82 97 | 60.37 113
108 Illinois State AA = 61.60 7 4 54.01( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.35 116 | 62.83 99
109 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 61.08 6 5 60.38( 123) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.29 117 | 61.96 103
110 Wofford AA = 60.97 8 4 56.22( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.39 115 | 61.70 104
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
111 Southern Utah AA = 60.55 6 5 55.97( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.19 132 | 63.37 94
112 Army A = 60.51 3 9 67.60( 79) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.71 134 | 63.69 93
113 Duke A = 60.07 3 9 69.52( 63) 0 1 | 0 3 | 58.88 120 | 60.51 111
114 Towson AA = 60.02 9 3 52.09( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.07 105 | 58.11 122
115 Youngstown State AA = 60.01 6 5 55.29( 148) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.80 123 | 61.19 107
116 Kent State A = 59.79 5 7 65.46( 96) 0 1 | 0 2 | 61.62 107 | 58.02 124
117 Indiana State AA = 59.66 6 5 59.19( 128) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.25 108 | 58.07 123
118 Harvard AA = 59.61 9 1 42.81( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.42 130 | 61.53 106
119 Eastern Michigan A = 59.57 6 6 61.67( 117) 0 0 | 0 2 | 62.60 100 | 56.95 131
120 New Hampshire AA = 59.50 8 4 55.97( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.68 99 | 56.78 132
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
121 North Texas A = 59.18 5 7 64.15( 105) 0 1 | 0 2 | 59.51 114 | 58.51 119
122 James Madison AA = 59.09 8 5 54.99( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.66 113 | 58.24 120
123 Old Dominion AA = 59.03 10 3 49.72( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.35 111 | 57.62 125
124 Louisiana-Monroe A = 58.88 4 8 62.39( 113) 0 0 | 0 2 | 55.24 135 | 61.12 109
125 Eastern Washington AA = 58.86 6 5 57.48( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.66 125 | 59.30 117
126 Central Arkansas AA = 58.06 9 4 53.26( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.89 109 | 55.56 137
127 Chattanooga AA = 57.68 5 6 55.31( 147) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.56 149 | 61.69 105
128 North Dakota AA = 57.35 8 3 55.01( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.05 127 | 57.12 128
129 Delaware AA = 57.06 7 4 52.07( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.58 129 | 56.96 130
130 South Dakota AA = 57.00 6 5 63.32( 111) 0 1 | 0 1 | 56.37 131 | 57.01 129
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
131 Appalachian State AA = 56.92 8 4 53.00( 163) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.91 122 | 55.74 136
132 Portland State AA = 56.74 7 4 56.60( 137) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.86 128 | 56.22 134
133 New Mexico State A = 56.68 4 9 66.32( 89) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.75 124 | 55.46 139
134 Furman AA = 56.44 6 5 53.70( 159) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.44 139 | 58.18 121
135 Buffalo A = 56.15 3 9 65.18( 98) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.72 133 | 56.03 135
136 Weber State AA = 56.15 5 6 57.56( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.12 137 | 57.18 127
137 Central Michigan A = 56.00 3 9 65.94( 91) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.12 126 | 54.73 144
138 Stony Brook AA = 55.38 9 4 46.47( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.13 147 | 57.27 126
139 Indiana A = 55.37 1 11 70.97( 50) 0 1 | 0 3 | 53.04 141 | 56.62 133
140 South Dakota State AA = 55.32 5 6 60.96( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.25 121 | 52.68 150
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
141 Idaho A = 54.74 2 10 67.04( 82) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.52 138 | 55.18 142
142 Colorado State A = 54.65 3 9 63.94( 106) 0 1 | 0 2 | 52.95 142 | 55.44 140
143 Stephen F. Austin AA = 54.05 6 5 51.83( 167) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.67 148 | 55.32 141
144 Samford AA = 53.16 6 5 54.84( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.83 143 | 52.97 149
145 Sacramento State AA = 52.85 4 7 56.52( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.76 156 | 54.60 145
146 Southern Illinois AA = 52.80 4 7 56.31( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.66 155 | 53.90 147
147 Troy A = 52.68 3 9 63.60( 109) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.32 146 | 52.50 151
148 Northern Arizona AA = 52.60 4 7 57.41( 133) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.78 171 | 55.47 138
149 Liberty AA = 52.59 7 4 44.84( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.75 162 | 54.84 143
150 Massachusetts AA = 52.34 5 6 54.15( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.11 140 | 51.32 155
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
151 UC Davis AA = 52.30 4 7 58.32( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.82 144 | 51.47 153
152 UAB A = 52.04 3 9 66.82( 84) 0 0 | 1 2 | 54.34 136 | 49.83 162
153 Eastern Kentucky AA = 51.68 7 5 48.25( 184) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.83 168 | 53.90 148
154 Brown AA = 51.51 7 3 44.70( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.10 152 | 51.37 154
155 UNLV A = 51.47 2 10 69.16( 66) 0 2 | 0 3 | 52.36 145 | 50.35 159
156 Citadel AA = 51.02 4 7 53.03( 162) 0 1 | 0 1 | 45.62 179 | 54.20 146
157 Holy Cross AA = 50.79 6 5 49.07( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.01 153 | 50.18 160
158 Norfolk State AA = 50.43 9 3 41.54( 209) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.43 151 | 49.23 165
159 Georgetown AA = 49.97 8 3 41.51( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.82 154 | 48.88 166
160 Missouri State AA = 49.93 2 9 63.74( 108) 0 2 | 0 2 | 49.31 159 | 49.95 161
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
161 Tennessee Tech AA = 49.71 7 4 47.82( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.97 166 | 50.52 157
162 Bethune-Cookman AA = 49.64 8 3 40.05( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.79 161 | 49.83 163
163 Murray State AA = 49.63 7 4 43.45( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.51 180 | 51.98 152
164 Jacksonville State AA = 49.63 7 4 46.60( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.80 170 | 50.49 158
165 William & Mary AA = 49.36 5 6 53.96( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.48 150 | 47.25 172
166 Rhode Island AA = 48.70 3 8 56.21( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.32 158 | 47.79 170
167 Northwestern State AA = 48.39 5 6 52.98( 164) 0 1 | 0 1 | 47.31 173 | 48.73 168
168 Albany-NY AA = 48.37 8 4 39.79( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.26 192 | 51.27 156
169 Middle Tennessee A = 48.29 2 10 61.77( 116) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.44 157 | 46.98 174
170 SC State AA = 47.84 7 4 40.79( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.31 172 | 47.78 171
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
171 Tulane A = 47.69 2 11 63.47( 110) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.89 167 | 47.11 173
172 Elon AA = 47.61 5 6 54.95( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.66 163 | 46.36 178
173 McNeese State AA = 47.56 6 5 48.83( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.28 164 | 46.57 176
174 Duquesne AA = 47.42 9 2 35.75( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.68 184 | 48.87 167
175 New Mexico A = 47.05 1 11 70.12( 58) 0 2 | 0 3 | 49.26 160 | 44.84 185
176 Drake AA = 46.98 9 2 36.67( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.17 186 | 48.48 169
177 Richmond AA = 46.70 3 8 53.88( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.98 178 | 46.78 175
178 Texas State AA = 46.65 6 6 50.77( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.13 165 | 45.04 184
179 Bucknell AA = 46.62 6 5 45.48( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.59 175 | 46.20 179
180 Tennessee-Martin AA = 46.55 5 6 47.48( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.78 198 | 49.75 164
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
181 South Alabama AA = 45.75 6 4 46.93( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.85 183 | 45.96 180
182 Memphis A = 45.68 2 10 63.18( 112) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.81 169 | 43.53 190
183 Western Illinois AA = 45.10 2 9 62.27( 115) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.02 174 | 43.12 192
184 Tennessee State AA = 44.50 5 6 45.59( 193) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.96 196 | 46.41 177
185 Lafayette AA = 44.50 4 7 50.81( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.24 181 | 43.49 191
186 Cornell AA = 44.44 5 5 42.59( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.21 193 | 45.54 181
187 Yale AA = 44.43 5 5 45.36( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.62 185 | 43.84 188
188 Coastal Carolina AA = 44.40 7 4 44.56( 198) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.06 177 | 42.63 195
189 Jackson State AA = 43.89 9 2 30.18( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.55 195 | 45.07 183
190 Florida Atlantic A = 43.84 1 11 64.64( 101) 0 0 | 0 2 | 46.18 176 | 41.46 200
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
191 Colgate AA = 43.52 5 6 47.37( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.22 182 | 41.70 198
192 San Diego AA = 43.37 9 2 35.69( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.33 190 | 42.95 193
193 Jacksonville AA = 43.33 7 4 37.01( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.45 206 | 45.41 182
194 Florida A&M AA = 42.91 7 4 38.58( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.33 191 | 42.15 197
195 Villanova AA = 42.90 2 9 55.90( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.00 188 | 41.59 199
196 Presbyterian College AA = 42.90 4 7 51.83( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.48 205 | 44.70 186
197 Dartmouth AA = 42.69 5 5 42.82( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.07 194 | 42.71 194
198 Akron A = 42.49 1 11 63.76( 107) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.11 187 | 40.75 202
199 Hampton AA = 42.48 7 4 36.48( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.75 189 | 41.03 201
200 Texas-San Antonio AA = 42.27 4 6 53.38( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.58 203 | 43.65 189
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
201 Eastern Illinois AA = 41.06 2 9 49.45( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.32 216 | 44.01 187
202 Pennsylvania AA = 40.84 5 5 41.36( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.86 197 | 40.38 206
203 Bryant AA = 40.84 7 4 38.95( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.94 211 | 42.32 196
204 Alabama State AA = 40.59 8 3 31.76( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.19 202 | 40.44 204
205 Idaho State AA = 39.95 2 9 60.07( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.77 199 | 38.86 209
206 NC A&T AA = 39.87 5 6 42.62( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.58 200 | 38.86 210
207 SE Louisiana AA = 39.64 3 8 49.62( 175) 0 0 | 0 1 | 38.91 208 | 39.73 207
208 Georgia State AA = 39.17 3 8 49.90( 173) 0 0 | 0 1 | 38.83 209 | 38.99 208
209 Northern Colorado AA = 38.79 0 11 56.13( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.56 215 | 40.44 205
210 Dayton AA = 37.65 6 5 34.38( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.28 227 | 40.73 203
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
211 Monmouth-NJ AA = 36.86 5 6 40.11( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.54 213 | 36.65 211
212 Morgan State AA = 35.81 5 6 40.64( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.57 204 | 31.66 225
213 Grambling State AA = 35.75 8 4 32.79( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.34 207 | 31.82 224
214 Howard AA = 35.74 5 6 42.17( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.52 201 | 30.16 231
215 SE Missouri State AA = 35.25 3 8 48.61( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.85 218 | 35.10 214
216 Campbell AA = 35.23 6 5 36.62( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.09 220 | 35.60 213
217 Western Carolina AA = 34.96 1 10 56.62( 135) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.33 219 | 34.98 215
218 Central Connecticut AA = 34.61 4 7 41.38( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.12 228 | 36.34 212
219 Wagner AA = 34.40 4 7 40.50( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.45 221 | 34.64 217
220 Lamar AA = 34.29 4 7 48.90( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.48 210 | 29.45 235
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
221 Gardner-Webb AA = 34.04 4 7 50.42( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.68 214 | 32.20 222
222 Alabama A&M AA = 33.77 8 4 32.00( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.06 212 | 30.10 233
223 Sacred Heart AA = 33.70 5 6 36.61( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.56 225 | 34.07 218
224 Austin Peay AA = 33.61 3 8 48.59( 183) 0 0 | 0 1 | 35.09 217 | 31.90 223
225 Marist AA = 33.49 4 7 37.72( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.74 230 | 34.82 216
226 Nicholls State AA = 31.82 1 10 53.70( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.57 231 | 32.26 221
227 Fordham AA = 31.65 1 10 50.38( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.91 224 | 30.13 232
228 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 31.64 6 5 30.17( 246) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.18 223 | 29.86 234
229 Princeton AA = 30.87 1 9 46.45( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.26 232 | 30.88 228
230 Prairie View A&M AA = 30.83 5 6 34.45( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.19 222 | 28.18 237
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
231 Butler AA = 30.74 5 6 36.38( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.08 238 | 32.94 220
232 Columbia AA = 29.93 1 9 42.19( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.25 236 | 31.20 226
233 Morehead State AA = 29.91 3 8 36.61( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 22.30 242 | 33.06 219
234 VMI AA = 29.68 2 9 44.02( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.01 229 | 28.08 238
235 Southern U. AA = 29.52 4 7 33.50( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.46 234 | 29.11 236
236 Robert Morris AA = 29.40 2 9 39.25( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.60 239 | 31.20 227
237 Charleston Southern AA = 29.33 0 11 49.07( 179) 0 0 | 0 1 | 26.17 237 | 30.84 229
238 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 28.76 2 9 41.31( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.35 240 | 30.37 230
239 NC Central AA = 26.93 2 9 42.21( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.38 235 | 25.19 239
240 Delaware State AA = 26.67 3 8 41.44( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.02 226 | 18.34 243
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
241 Savannah State AA = 24.57 1 10 42.68( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.84 233 | 15.87 245
242 Texas Southern AA = 22.75 4 7 31.92( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.01 241 | 22.09 240
243 Davidson AA = 21.42 4 7 36.22( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 21.97 243 | 20.52 241
244 Alcorn State AA = 19.62 2 8 32.59( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.53 244 | 19.24 242
245 Miss. Valley State AA = 18.15 1 10 34.67( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.28 245 | 16.68 244
246 Valparaiso AA = 17.60 1 10 38.63( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.06 246 | 15.77 246
247 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 9 73 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 247 | -90.00 247
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
1 BIG 12 (A) = 83.61 82.83 ( 1) 10 83.08 ( 1)
2 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 80.88 81.60 ( 2) 12 81.27 ( 2)
3 BIG TEN (A) = 75.55 75.30 ( 4) 12 75.49 ( 3)
4 PAC-12 (A) = 74.72 75.38 ( 3) 12 75.14 ( 4)
5 BIG EAST (A) = 72.41 72.86 ( 5) 8 72.82 ( 5)
6 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.92 71.49 ( 6) 4 71.59 ( 6)
7 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 71.23 71.03 ( 7) 12 71.06 ( 7)
8 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 66.04 65.79 ( 9) 12 65.98 ( 8)
9 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 65.86 66.22 ( 8) 8 65.85 ( 9)
10 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 63.73 63.94 ( 10) 8 63.92 ( 10)
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 63.53 63.31 ( 11) 13 63.51 ( 11)
12 SUN BELT (A) = 58.85 58.30 ( 13) 9 58.44 ( 13)
13 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 58.43 58.80 ( 12) 9 58.61 ( 12)
14 GREAT WEST (AA)= 57.83 57.65 ( 14) 5 57.66 ( 14)
15 COLONIAL (AA)= 54.89 54.25 ( 16) 11 54.32 ( 16)
16 BIG SKY (AA)= 54.75 54.40 ( 15) 9 54.53 ( 15)
17 SOUTHERN (AA)= 54.72 54.00 ( 17) 9 54.28 ( 17)
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 47.60 48.05 ( 18) 8 47.71 ( 18)
19 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 46.99 46.96 ( 19) 7 46.99 ( 19)
20 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 45.46 44.62 ( 20) 9 44.73 ( 20)
21 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 43.65 43.46 ( 21) 4 43.47 ( 21)
22 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 42.93 43.04 ( 22) 8 42.97 ( 22)
23 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 41.01 41.19 ( 23) 7 41.12 ( 23)
24 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 38.81 38.44 ( 24) 11 38.55 ( 24)
25 NORTHEAST (AA)= 36.50 37.15 ( 25) 9 37.05 ( 25)
26 PIONEER (AA)= 34.37 33.97 ( 26) 10 34.13 ( 26)
27 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 30.78 30.65 ( 27) 10 30.67 ( 27)
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1 -90.00 ( 28)
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
7 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 71.23 71.03 ( 7) 12 71.06 ( 7)
5 BIG EAST (A) = 72.41 72.86 ( 5) 8 72.82 ( 5)
3 BIG TEN (A) = 75.55 75.30 ( 4) 12 75.49 ( 3)
1 BIG 12 (A) = 83.61 82.83 ( 1) 10 83.08 ( 1)
8 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 66.04 65.79 ( 9) 12 65.98 ( 8)
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 63.53 63.31 ( 11) 13 63.51 ( 11)
9 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 65.86 66.22 ( 8) 8 65.85 ( 9)
4 PAC-12 (A) = 74.72 75.38 ( 3) 12 75.14 ( 4)
2 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 80.88 81.60 ( 2) 12 81.27 ( 2)
12 SUN BELT (A) = 58.85 58.30 ( 13) 9 58.44 ( 13)
10 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 63.73 63.94 ( 10) 8 63.92 ( 10)
6 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.92 71.49 ( 6) 4 71.59 ( 6)
16 BIG SKY (AA)= 54.75 54.40 ( 15) 9 54.53 ( 15)
23 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 41.01 41.19 ( 23) 7 41.12 ( 23)
15 COLONIAL (AA)= 54.89 54.25 ( 16) 11 54.32 ( 16)
14 GREAT WEST (AA)= 57.83 57.65 ( 14) 5 57.66 ( 14)
22 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 42.93 43.04 ( 22) 8 42.97 ( 22)
24 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 38.81 38.44 ( 24) 11 38.55 ( 24)
13 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 58.43 58.80 ( 12) 9 58.61 ( 12)
25 NORTHEAST (AA)= 36.50 37.15 ( 25) 9 37.05 ( 25)
20 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 45.46 44.62 ( 20) 9 44.73 ( 20)
19 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 46.99 46.96 ( 19) 7 46.99 ( 19)
26 PIONEER (AA)= 34.37 33.97 ( 26) 10 34.13 ( 26)
17 SOUTHERN (AA)= 54.72 54.00 ( 17) 9 54.28 ( 17)
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 47.60 48.05 ( 18) 8 47.71 ( 18)
27 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 30.78 30.65 ( 27) 10 30.67 ( 27)
21 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 43.65 43.46 ( 21) 4 43.47 ( 21)
28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) 1 -90.00 ( 28)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
7 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 71.23 71.03 ( 7) TEAMS= 12 71.06 ( 7)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
23 Florida State A = 81.16 9 4 68.96( 68) 0 1 | 2 1 | 77.53 34 | 83.99 19
27 Virginia Tech A = 79.14 11 3 70.05( 59) 0 0 | 0 1 | 79.38 29 | 78.54 27
32 Clemson A = 77.78 10 4 72.09( 43) 0 1 | 3 2 | 80.71 26 | 75.57 45
52 Miami-Florida A = 73.61 6 6 69.86( 61) 0 0 | 0 3 | 69.56 66 | 76.63 38
54 North Carolina A = 72.86 7 6 70.96( 51) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.33 50 | 72.80 53
56 Georgia Tech A = 72.31 8 5 68.05( 76) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.15 53 | 71.98 58
57 NC State A = 71.70 8 5 66.99( 83) 0 0 | 0 2 | 72.99 48 | 70.39 66
71 Virginia A = 69.17 8 5 68.48( 71) 0 0 | 1 2 | 72.80 49 | 66.40 80
73 Wake Forest A = 68.42 6 7 70.41( 54) 0 0 | 1 2 | 68.34 73 | 68.03 77
90 Boston College A = 64.40 4 8 70.71( 52) 0 0 | 0 3 | 63.14 95 | 64.88 84
104 Maryland A = 61.76 2 10 72.18( 42) 0 0 | 0 3 | 60.53 110 | 62.22 102
113 Duke A = 60.07 3 9 69.52( 63) 0 1 | 0 3 | 58.88 120 | 60.51 111
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5 BIG EAST (A) = 72.41 72.86 ( 5) TEAMS= 8 72.82 ( 5)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
22 West Virginia A = 81.78 10 3 70.12( 57) 0 1 | 1 1 | 82.51 23 | 80.86 24
30 Cincinnati A = 78.63 10 3 68.43( 73) 0 0 | 0 1 | 78.42 32 | 78.35 28
36 Rutgers A = 76.98 9 4 68.67( 69) 0 0 | 1 1 | 76.38 38 | 76.99 37
59 South Florida A = 71.02 5 7 69.86( 62) 0 0 | 1 2 | 66.83 79 | 74.09 47
61 Louisville A = 70.75 7 6 69.87( 60) 0 0 | 1 1 | 70.42 62 | 70.56 64
69 Pittsburgh A = 69.65 6 7 71.29( 48) 0 0 | 0 3 | 68.84 70 | 69.80 68
76 Connecticut A = 68.09 5 7 69.33( 64) 0 0 | 0 2 | 66.18 82 | 69.10 73
86 Syracuse A = 65.97 5 7 70.39( 55) 0 0 | 1 2 | 66.85 78 | 64.90 83
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3 BIG TEN (A) = 75.55 75.30 ( 4) TEAMS= 12 75.49 ( 3)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
8 Wisconsin A = 88.67 11 3 71.81( 44) 0 1 | 3 2 | 84.31 18 | 92.90 6
11 Michigan A = 86.54 11 2 72.20( 40) 0 0 | 3 1 | 84.96 16 | 87.34 10
18 Michigan State A = 85.13 11 3 72.93( 38) 1 1 | 3 3 | 84.67 17 | 85.03 15
25 Nebraska A = 81.06 9 4 74.32( 26) 0 2 | 2 3 | 81.25 25 | 80.49 25
28 Penn State A = 78.82 9 4 73.99( 31) 0 2 | 0 4 | 79.68 27 | 77.81 31
45 Iowa A = 74.51 7 6 72.32( 39) 0 1 | 1 4 | 74.28 46 | 74.24 46
49 Ohio State A = 74.19 6 7 74.06( 30) 1 0 | 1 5 | 71.58 56 | 75.85 43
55 Illinois A = 72.80 7 6 70.52( 53) 0 1 | 0 3 | 72.33 51 | 72.70 55
58 Northwestern A = 71.35 6 7 71.38( 46) 0 0 | 1 4 | 69.12 68 | 72.65 56
65 Purdue A = 70.28 7 6 69.27( 65) 0 1 | 0 4 | 71.32 57 | 69.13 72
88 Minnesota A = 64.89 3 9 75.86( 17) 0 1 | 0 5 | 65.63 86 | 63.92 91
139 Indiana A = 55.37 1 11 70.97( 50) 0 1 | 0 3 | 53.04 141 | 56.62 133
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
1 BIG 12 (A) = 83.61 82.83 ( 1) TEAMS= 10 83.08 ( 1)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
3 Oklahoma State A = 97.01 12 1 80.06( 3) 2 0 | 7 0 | 98.19 4 | 95.86 3
4 Oklahoma A = 92.48 10 3 79.08( 6) 0 1 | 5 2 | 91.21 6 | 93.02 4
13 Baylor A = 86.01 10 3 78.00( 10) 1 1 | 4 3 | 90.95 8 | 83.11 22
14 Texas A&M A = 85.87 7 6 79.31( 4) 0 3 | 1 6 | 84.24 19 | 86.71 12
16 Missouri A = 85.25 8 5 77.58( 13) 0 2 | 2 4 | 84.99 15 | 85.00 16
17 Texas A = 85.21 8 5 79.26( 5) 0 2 | 1 5 | 85.96 12 | 84.28 17
19 Kansas State A = 84.56 10 3 78.81( 8) 0 3 | 4 3 | 91.91 5 | 80.86 23
43 Iowa State A = 74.64 6 7 80.40( 2) 1 1 | 1 6 | 78.49 31 | 71.89 59
53 Texas Tech A = 73.17 5 7 77.99( 11) 1 1 | 1 6 | 76.77 36 | 70.52 65
91 Kansas A = 64.09 2 10 80.72( 1) 0 2 | 0 7 | 68.85 69 | 60.49 112
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
8 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 66.04 65.79 ( 9) TEAMS= 12 65.98 ( 8)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
15 Houston A = 85.26 13 1 65.46( 97) 0 0 | 1 1 | 84.13 20 | 85.68 14
24 Southern Miss A = 81.07 12 2 65.69( 94) 0 0 | 1 0 | 81.30 24 | 80.48 26
35 Tulsa A = 77.02 8 5 71.75( 45) 0 3 | 0 4 | 75.77 40 | 77.52 33
51 SMU A = 73.88 8 5 68.59( 70) 0 0 | 1 3 | 74.55 43 | 72.98 51
77 Central Florida(UCF) A = 67.61 5 7 64.61( 102) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.07 104 | 71.81 61
79 Marshall A = 67.49 7 6 70.29( 56) 0 0 | 1 3 | 72.26 52 | 64.02 90
89 Rice A = 64.45 4 8 72.95( 37) 0 0 | 0 4 | 66.06 83 | 62.88 98
92 UTEP A = 63.71 5 7 66.69( 87) 0 0 | 0 2 | 62.39 102 | 64.25 88
93 East Carolina A = 63.52 5 7 68.48( 72) 0 1 | 0 4 | 64.49 89 | 62.39 100
152 UAB A = 52.04 3 9 66.82( 84) 0 0 | 1 2 | 54.34 136 | 49.83 162
171 Tulane A = 47.69 2 11 63.47( 110) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.89 167 | 47.11 173
182 Memphis A = 45.68 2 10 63.18( 112) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.81 169 | 43.53 190
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 63.53 63.31 ( 11) TEAMS= 13 63.51 ( 11)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
40 Toledo A = 75.21 9 4 67.22( 81) 0 1 | 0 1 | 73.46 47 | 76.12 41
46 Temple A = 74.50 9 4 61.52( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 69.86 64 | 78.19 30
47 Northern Illinois A = 74.46 11 3 64.52( 103) 0 1 | 0 1 | 76.41 37 | 72.75 54
68 Ohio A = 69.81 10 4 61.59( 118) 0 0 | 0 0 | 70.24 63 | 69.08 74
78 Western Michigan A = 67.51 7 6 64.91( 99) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.84 85 | 68.32 76
98 Miami-Ohio A = 62.62 4 8 66.77( 85) 0 0 | 0 2 | 59.20 119 | 64.76 85
99 Bowling Green A = 62.57 5 7 65.70( 93) 0 0 | 0 1 | 62.36 103 | 62.28 101
100 Ball State A = 62.43 6 6 67.63( 78) 0 1 | 0 1 | 65.96 84 | 59.54 116
116 Kent State A = 59.79 5 7 65.46( 96) 0 1 | 0 2 | 61.62 107 | 58.02 124
119 Eastern Michigan A = 59.57 6 6 61.67( 117) 0 0 | 0 2 | 62.60 100 | 56.95 131
135 Buffalo A = 56.15 3 9 65.18( 98) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.72 133 | 56.03 135
137 Central Michigan A = 56.00 3 9 65.94( 91) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.12 126 | 54.73 144
198 Akron A = 42.49 1 11 63.76( 107) 0 0 | 0 1 | 44.11 187 | 40.75 202
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
9 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 65.86 66.22 ( 8) TEAMS= 8 65.85 ( 9)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
9 Boise State A = 88.53 12 1 68.29( 75) 0 0 | 1 1 | 85.43 13 | 90.95 8
20 TCU A = 84.13 11 2 66.76( 86) 1 0 | 1 1 | 83.72 22 | 84.00 18
70 San Diego State A = 69.30 8 5 65.56( 95) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.35 77 | 70.34 67
72 Air Force A = 68.58 7 6 64.28( 104) 0 1 | 0 3 | 63.70 93 | 72.19 57
84 Wyoming A = 66.09 8 5 65.77( 92) 0 1 | 0 3 | 67.67 76 | 64.55 86
142 Colorado State A = 54.65 3 9 63.94( 106) 0 1 | 0 2 | 52.95 142 | 55.44 140
155 UNLV A = 51.47 2 10 69.16( 66) 0 2 | 0 3 | 52.36 145 | 50.35 159
175 New Mexico A = 47.05 1 11 70.12( 58) 0 2 | 0 3 | 49.26 160 | 44.84 185
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4 PAC-12 (A) = 74.72 75.38 ( 3) TEAMS= 12 75.14 ( 4)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
5 Oregon A = 91.82 12 2 73.53( 35) 2 1 | 2 2 | 90.43 9 | 92.48 7
7 Stanford A = 90.48 11 2 73.08( 36) 0 2 | 2 2 | 87.33 10 | 93.01 5
12 Southern California A = 86.48 10 2 73.94( 33) 1 1 | 2 1 | 85.27 14 | 86.97 11
38 California A = 76.20 7 6 74.06( 29) 0 2 | 0 4 | 74.31 45 | 77.24 34
39 Utah A = 75.92 8 5 71.21( 49) 0 0 | 0 1 | 75.17 42 | 76.04 42
41 Arizona State A = 74.94 6 7 73.86( 34) 0 2 | 2 2 | 71.28 59 | 77.62 32
44 Washington A = 74.52 7 6 74.54( 24) 0 2 | 0 5 | 75.41 41 | 73.48 50
64 Arizona A = 70.52 4 8 75.64( 18) 0 3 | 0 4 | 68.23 74 | 71.86 60
66 UCLA A = 70.18 6 8 76.14( 16) 0 2 | 0 5 | 70.69 61 | 69.38 70
83 Washington State A = 66.14 4 8 71.29( 47) 0 2 | 0 2 | 63.60 94 | 67.64 78
87 Oregon State A = 65.76 3 9 75.59( 19) 0 3 | 0 3 | 64.51 88 | 66.24 81
107 Colorado A = 61.65 3 10 75.03( 21) 0 2 | 0 3 | 62.82 97 | 60.37 113
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 80.88 81.60 ( 2) TEAMS= 12 81.27 ( 2)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
1 Alabama A = 104.17 12 1 76.53( 15) 2 1 | 4 1 | 106.06 1 | 102.72 1
2 LSU A = 100.30 13 1 78.93( 7) 3 1 | 6 1 | 103.42 2 | 98.31 2
6 Arkansas A = 91.06 11 2 75.29( 20) 1 2 | 3 2 | 99.53 3 | 87.43 9
10 South Carolina A = 88.23 11 2 73.98( 32) 0 1 | 3 1 | 91.01 7 | 86.24 13
21 Georgia A = 84.01 10 4 75.01( 23) 0 3 | 1 4 | 83.92 21 | 83.64 20
29 Florida A = 78.78 7 6 75.01( 22) 0 3 | 0 5 | 78.78 30 | 78.33 29
31 Mississippi State A = 78.43 7 6 74.07( 28) 0 4 | 0 5 | 79.64 28 | 77.19 35
33 Auburn A = 77.40 8 5 77.14( 14) 1 3 | 2 4 | 86.31 11 | 72.82 52
42 Vanderbilt A = 74.94 6 7 74.12( 27) 0 3 | 0 6 | 71.83 54 | 77.07 36
50 Tennessee A = 74.09 5 7 77.83( 12) 0 4 | 1 6 | 74.32 44 | 73.49 49
85 Kentucky A = 66.03 5 7 72.18( 41) 0 2 | 0 4 | 68.70 72 | 63.78 92
103 Mississippi A = 61.77 2 10 78.17( 9) 0 3 | 0 4 | 62.55 101 | 60.77 110
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
12 SUN BELT (A) = 58.85 58.30 ( 13) TEAMS= 9 58.44 ( 13)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
67 Arkansas State A = 69.89 10 3 60.09( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 70.95 60 | 68.72 75
82 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 66.60 9 4 60.47( 122) 0 1 | 0 1 | 69.67 65 | 64.11 89
94 Fla. International A = 63.26 8 5 59.28( 127) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.00 96 | 63.02 97
101 Western Kentucky A = 62.11 7 5 61.27( 120) 0 1 | 0 1 | 64.07 92 | 60.27 114
121 North Texas A = 59.18 5 7 64.15( 105) 0 1 | 0 2 | 59.51 114 | 58.51 119
124 Louisiana-Monroe A = 58.88 4 8 62.39( 113) 0 0 | 0 2 | 55.24 135 | 61.12 109
147 Troy A = 52.68 3 9 63.60( 109) 0 1 | 0 1 | 52.32 146 | 52.50 151
169 Middle Tennessee A = 48.29 2 10 61.77( 116) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.44 157 | 46.98 174
190 Florida Atlantic A = 43.84 1 11 64.64( 101) 0 0 | 0 2 | 46.18 176 | 41.46 200
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
10 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 63.73 63.94 ( 10) TEAMS= 8 63.92 ( 10)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
48 Louisiana Tech A = 74.34 8 5 68.39( 74) 0 0 | 0 3 | 71.29 58 | 76.41 39
60 Nevada A = 70.89 7 6 66.61( 88) 0 2 | 0 3 | 66.63 81 | 74.01 48
80 Utah State A = 67.43 7 6 64.90( 100) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.34 91 | 69.41 69
96 San Jose State A = 62.99 5 7 67.49( 80) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.94 106 | 63.32 95
97 Hawaii A = 62.79 6 7 62.30( 114) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.92 112 | 64.51 87
105 Fresno State A = 61.68 4 9 67.89( 77) 0 1 | 0 2 | 59.21 118 | 63.08 96
133 New Mexico State A = 56.68 4 9 66.32( 89) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.75 124 | 55.46 139
141 Idaho A = 54.74 2 10 67.04( 82) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.52 138 | 55.18 142
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
6 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 71.92 71.49 ( 6) TEAMS= 4 71.59 ( 6)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
26 Notre Dame A = 79.91 8 5 74.54( 25) 0 1 | 1 4 | 75.89 39 | 83.15 21
34 BYU A = 77.18 10 3 65.96( 90) 0 0 | 0 2 | 77.98 33 | 76.20 40
74 Navy A = 68.37 5 7 69.04( 67) 0 1 | 0 3 | 64.35 90 | 71.17 63
112 Army A = 60.51 3 9 67.60( 79) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.71 134 | 63.69 93
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
16 BIG SKY (AA)= 54.75 54.40 ( 15) TEAMS= 9 54.53 ( 15)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
63 Montana AA = 70.56 11 3 57.57( 130) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.78 71 | 71.47 62
95 Montana State AA = 63.07 10 3 56.92( 134) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.70 80 | 60.13 115
125 Eastern Washington AA = 58.86 6 5 57.48( 132) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.66 125 | 59.30 117
132 Portland State AA = 56.74 7 4 56.60( 137) 0 0 | 0 1 | 56.86 128 | 56.22 134
136 Weber State AA = 56.15 5 6 57.56( 131) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.12 137 | 57.18 127
145 Sacramento State AA = 52.85 4 7 56.52( 138) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.76 156 | 54.60 145
148 Northern Arizona AA = 52.60 4 7 57.41( 133) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.78 171 | 55.47 138
205 Idaho State AA = 39.95 2 9 60.07( 125) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.77 199 | 38.86 209
209 Northern Colorado AA = 38.79 0 11 56.13( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.56 215 | 40.44 205
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
23 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 41.01 41.19 ( 23) TEAMS= 7 41.12 ( 23)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
138 Stony Brook AA = 55.38 9 4 46.47( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.13 147 | 57.27 126
149 Liberty AA = 52.59 7 4 44.84( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.75 162 | 54.84 143
188 Coastal Carolina AA = 44.40 7 4 44.56( 198) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.06 177 | 42.63 195
196 Presbyterian College AA = 42.90 4 7 51.83( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.48 205 | 44.70 186
221 Gardner-Webb AA = 34.04 4 7 50.42( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.68 214 | 32.20 222
234 VMI AA = 29.68 2 9 44.02( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.01 229 | 28.08 238
237 Charleston Southern AA = 29.33 0 11 49.07( 179) 0 0 | 0 1 | 26.17 237 | 30.84 229
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
15 COLONIAL (AA)= 54.89 54.25 ( 16) TEAMS= 11 54.32 ( 16)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
102 Maine AA = 62.08 9 4 55.13( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.73 98 | 61.18 108
114 Towson AA = 60.02 9 3 52.09( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.07 105 | 58.11 122
120 New Hampshire AA = 59.50 8 4 55.97( 145) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.68 99 | 56.78 132
122 James Madison AA = 59.09 8 5 54.99( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.66 113 | 58.24 120
123 Old Dominion AA = 59.03 10 3 49.72( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.35 111 | 57.62 125
129 Delaware AA = 57.06 7 4 52.07( 166) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.58 129 | 56.96 130
150 Massachusetts AA = 52.34 5 6 54.15( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.11 140 | 51.32 155
165 William & Mary AA = 49.36 5 6 53.96( 156) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.48 150 | 47.25 172
166 Rhode Island AA = 48.70 3 8 56.21( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.32 158 | 47.79 170
177 Richmond AA = 46.70 3 8 53.88( 157) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.98 178 | 46.78 175
195 Villanova AA = 42.90 2 9 55.90( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.00 188 | 41.59 199
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
14 GREAT WEST (AA)= 57.83 57.65 ( 14) TEAMS= 5 57.66 ( 14)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
109 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 61.08 6 5 60.38( 123) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.29 117 | 61.96 103
111 Southern Utah AA = 60.55 6 5 55.97( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.19 132 | 63.37 94
128 North Dakota AA = 57.35 8 3 55.01( 150) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.05 127 | 57.12 128
130 South Dakota AA = 57.00 6 5 63.32( 111) 0 1 | 0 1 | 56.37 131 | 57.01 129
151 UC Davis AA = 52.30 4 7 58.32( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.82 144 | 51.47 153
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
22 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 42.93 43.04 ( 22) TEAMS= 8 42.97 ( 22)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
118 Harvard AA = 59.61 9 1 42.81( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 56.42 130 | 61.53 106
154 Brown AA = 51.51 7 3 44.70( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.10 152 | 51.37 154
186 Cornell AA = 44.44 5 5 42.59( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.21 193 | 45.54 181
187 Yale AA = 44.43 5 5 45.36( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.62 185 | 43.84 188
197 Dartmouth AA = 42.69 5 5 42.82( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.07 194 | 42.71 194
202 Pennsylvania AA = 40.84 5 5 41.36( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.86 197 | 40.38 206
229 Princeton AA = 30.87 1 9 46.45( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.26 232 | 30.88 228
232 Columbia AA = 29.93 1 9 42.19( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 27.25 236 | 31.20 226
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
24 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 38.81 38.44 ( 24) TEAMS= 11 38.55 ( 24)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
158 Norfolk State AA = 50.43 9 3 41.54( 209) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.43 151 | 49.23 165
162 Bethune-Cookman AA = 49.64 8 3 40.05( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.79 161 | 49.83 163
170 SC State AA = 47.84 7 4 40.79( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.31 172 | 47.78 171
194 Florida A&M AA = 42.91 7 4 38.58( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.33 191 | 42.15 197
199 Hampton AA = 42.48 7 4 36.48( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.75 189 | 41.03 201
206 NC A&T AA = 39.87 5 6 42.62( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.58 200 | 38.86 210
212 Morgan State AA = 35.81 5 6 40.64( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.57 204 | 31.66 225
214 Howard AA = 35.74 5 6 42.17( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.52 201 | 30.16 231
239 NC Central AA = 26.93 2 9 42.21( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.38 235 | 25.19 239
240 Delaware State AA = 26.67 3 8 41.44( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.02 226 | 18.34 243
241 Savannah State AA = 24.57 1 10 42.68( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.84 233 | 15.87 245
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
13 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 58.43 58.80 ( 12) TEAMS= 9 58.61 ( 12)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
37 North Dakota State AA = 76.60 14 1 56.62( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 77.34 35 | 75.66 44
75 Northern Iowa AA = 68.20 10 3 60.03( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 69.34 67 | 66.98 79
108 Illinois State AA = 61.60 7 4 54.01( 155) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.35 116 | 62.83 99
115 Youngstown State AA = 60.01 6 5 55.29( 148) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.80 123 | 61.19 107
117 Indiana State AA = 59.66 6 5 59.19( 128) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.25 108 | 58.07 123
140 South Dakota State AA = 55.32 5 6 60.96( 121) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.25 121 | 52.68 150
146 Southern Illinois AA = 52.80 4 7 56.31( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.66 155 | 53.90 147
160 Missouri State AA = 49.93 2 9 63.74( 108) 0 2 | 0 2 | 49.31 159 | 49.95 161
183 Western Illinois AA = 45.10 2 9 62.27( 115) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.02 174 | 43.12 192
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
25 NORTHEAST (AA)= 36.50 37.15 ( 25) TEAMS= 9 37.05 ( 25)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
168 Albany-NY AA = 48.37 8 4 39.79( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.26 192 | 51.27 156
174 Duquesne AA = 47.42 9 2 35.75( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.68 184 | 48.87 167
203 Bryant AA = 40.84 7 4 38.95( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.94 211 | 42.32 196
211 Monmouth-NJ AA = 36.86 5 6 40.11( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.54 213 | 36.65 211
218 Central Connecticut AA = 34.61 4 7 41.38( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.12 228 | 36.34 212
219 Wagner AA = 34.40 4 7 40.50( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.45 221 | 34.64 217
223 Sacred Heart AA = 33.70 5 6 36.61( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.56 225 | 34.07 218
236 Robert Morris AA = 29.40 2 9 39.25( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.60 239 | 31.20 227
238 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 28.76 2 9 41.31( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.35 240 | 30.37 230
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
20 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 45.46 44.62 ( 20) TEAMS= 9 44.73 ( 20)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
153 Eastern Kentucky AA = 51.68 7 5 48.25( 184) 0 0 | 0 1 | 47.83 168 | 53.90 148
161 Tennessee Tech AA = 49.71 7 4 47.82( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.97 166 | 50.52 157
163 Murray State AA = 49.63 7 4 43.45( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.51 180 | 51.98 152
164 Jacksonville State AA = 49.63 7 4 46.60( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.80 170 | 50.49 158
180 Tennessee-Martin AA = 46.55 5 6 47.48( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.78 198 | 49.75 164
184 Tennessee State AA = 44.50 5 6 45.59( 193) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.96 196 | 46.41 177
201 Eastern Illinois AA = 41.06 2 9 49.45( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.32 216 | 44.01 187
215 SE Missouri State AA = 35.25 3 8 48.61( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.85 218 | 35.10 214
224 Austin Peay AA = 33.61 3 8 48.59( 183) 0 0 | 0 1 | 35.09 217 | 31.90 223
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
19 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 46.99 46.96 ( 19) TEAMS= 7 46.99 ( 19)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
106 Lehigh AA = 61.67 11 2 47.62( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.80 87 | 59.03 118
157 Holy Cross AA = 50.79 6 5 49.07( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.01 153 | 50.18 160
159 Georgetown AA = 49.97 8 3 41.51( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.82 154 | 48.88 166
179 Bucknell AA = 46.62 6 5 45.48( 194) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.59 175 | 46.20 179
185 Lafayette AA = 44.50 4 7 50.81( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.24 181 | 43.49 191
191 Colgate AA = 43.52 5 6 47.37( 188) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.22 182 | 41.70 198
227 Fordham AA = 31.65 1 10 50.38( 172) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.91 224 | 30.13 232
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
26 PIONEER (AA)= 34.37 33.97 ( 26) TEAMS= 10 34.13 ( 26)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
176 Drake AA = 46.98 9 2 36.67( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.17 186 | 48.48 169
192 San Diego AA = 43.37 9 2 35.69( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.33 190 | 42.95 193
193 Jacksonville AA = 43.33 7 4 37.01( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.45 206 | 45.41 182
210 Dayton AA = 37.65 6 5 34.38( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.28 227 | 40.73 203
216 Campbell AA = 35.23 6 5 36.62( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.09 220 | 35.60 213
225 Marist AA = 33.49 4 7 37.72( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.74 230 | 34.82 216
231 Butler AA = 30.74 5 6 36.38( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.08 238 | 32.94 220
233 Morehead State AA = 29.91 3 8 36.61( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 22.30 242 | 33.06 219
243 Davidson AA = 21.42 4 7 36.22( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 21.97 243 | 20.52 241
246 Valparaiso AA = 17.60 1 10 38.63( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.06 246 | 15.77 246
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
17 SOUTHERN (AA)= 54.72 54.00 ( 17) TEAMS= 9 54.28 ( 17)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
81 Georgia Southern AA = 67.24 11 3 56.44( 139) 0 1 | 0 1 | 68.20 75 | 66.13 82
110 Wofford AA = 60.97 8 4 56.22( 141) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.39 115 | 61.70 104
127 Chattanooga AA = 57.68 5 6 55.31( 147) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.56 149 | 61.69 105
131 Appalachian State AA = 56.92 8 4 53.00( 163) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.91 122 | 55.74 136
134 Furman AA = 56.44 6 5 53.70( 159) 0 0 | 0 1 | 53.44 139 | 58.18 121
144 Samford AA = 53.16 6 5 54.84( 153) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.83 143 | 52.97 149
156 Citadel AA = 51.02 4 7 53.03( 162) 0 1 | 0 1 | 45.62 179 | 54.20 146
172 Elon AA = 47.61 5 6 54.95( 152) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.66 163 | 46.36 178
217 Western Carolina AA = 34.96 1 10 56.62( 135) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.33 219 | 34.98 215
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
18 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 47.60 48.05 ( 18) TEAMS= 8 47.71 ( 18)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
62 Sam Houston State AA = 70.59 14 1 49.45( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 71.82 55 | 69.31 71
126 Central Arkansas AA = 58.06 9 4 53.26( 161) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.89 109 | 55.56 137
143 Stephen F. Austin AA = 54.05 6 5 51.83( 167) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.67 148 | 55.32 141
167 Northwestern State AA = 48.39 5 6 52.98( 164) 0 1 | 0 1 | 47.31 173 | 48.73 168
173 McNeese State AA = 47.56 6 5 48.83( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.28 164 | 46.57 176
207 SE Louisiana AA = 39.64 3 8 49.62( 175) 0 0 | 0 1 | 38.91 208 | 39.73 207
220 Lamar AA = 34.29 4 7 48.90( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.48 210 | 29.45 235
226 Nicholls State AA = 31.82 1 10 53.70( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.57 231 | 32.26 221
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
27 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 30.78 30.65 ( 27) TEAMS= 10 30.67 ( 27)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
189 Jackson State AA = 43.89 9 2 30.18( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.55 195 | 45.07 183
204 Alabama State AA = 40.59 8 3 31.76( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.19 202 | 40.44 204
213 Grambling State AA = 35.75 8 4 32.79( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.34 207 | 31.82 224
222 Alabama A&M AA = 33.77 8 4 32.00( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.06 212 | 30.10 233
228 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 31.64 6 5 30.17( 246) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.18 223 | 29.86 234
230 Prairie View A&M AA = 30.83 5 6 34.45( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.19 222 | 28.18 237
235 Southern U. AA = 29.52 4 7 33.50( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.46 234 | 29.11 236
242 Texas Southern AA = 22.75 4 7 31.92( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 23.01 241 | 22.09 240
244 Alcorn State AA = 19.62 2 8 32.59( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.53 244 | 19.24 242
245 Miss. Valley State AA = 18.15 1 10 34.67( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 19.28 245 | 16.68 244
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
21 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 43.65 43.46 ( 21) TEAMS= 4 43.47 ( 21)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
178 Texas State AA = 46.65 6 6 50.77( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.13 165 | 45.04 184
181 South Alabama AA = 45.75 6 4 46.93( 189) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.85 183 | 45.96 180
200 Texas-San Antonio AA = 42.27 4 6 53.38( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.58 203 | 43.65 189
208 Georgia State AA = 39.17 3 8 49.90( 173) 0 0 | 0 1 | 38.83 209 | 38.99 208
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28 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 28) TEAMS= 1 -90.00 ( 28)
FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.87] [ 2.31] [ 2.79]
247 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 9 73 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 247 | -90.00 247
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