United States Naval Observatory
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"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the manpower for that war. The policies - determining who would be drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic disgrace. I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable (someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are too good to risk. I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and National Guard units. Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."
Final COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2012 through results of 2013 JANUARY 7 MONDAY - BCS Championship Game
RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is unbiased now.
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) CONFERENCE AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically)
(3) teams listed by CONFERENCE
(listed in order within conferences)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 246 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
THREE different home edges shown: first for RATING, second for ELO_CHESS, third for PREDICTOR(PURE POINTS)
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.
For the first few weeks of the season, the starting ratings have weight
in the process(BAYESIAN), but once the teams are all WELL CONNECTED, then
the starting ratings are no longer used and all teams are started equal
and the RATING, ELO-CHESS, and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR) are then done in an UNBIASED manner from that point on.
The teams are now WELL CONNECTED and so all three ratings are UNBIASED.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In ELO-CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games. The ELO-CHESS will be utilized by the Bowl Championship Series(BCS).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO-CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
1 Alabama A = 99.40 13 1 75.94( 19) 3 1 | 5 1 | 97.38 1 | 101.75 1
2 Oregon A = 93.91 12 1 73.15( 38) 1 1 | 3 1 | 92.40 2 | 95.37 3
3 Texas A&M A = 93.31 11 2 77.26( 6) 1 2 | 3 2 | 90.84 6 | 96.34 2
4 Georgia A = 92.15 12 2 75.06( 27) 1 2 | 4 2 | 92.04 3 | 91.96 4
5 Notre Dame A = 91.08 12 1 75.83( 21) 1 1 | 4 1 | 91.69 5 | 90.23 5
6 South Carolina A = 90.10 11 2 75.73( 23) 1 2 | 4 2 | 91.83 4 | 88.38 9
7 Florida A = 89.84 11 2 78.38( 4) 3 1 | 5 2 | 90.46 7 | 88.97 7
8 Kansas State A = 88.98 11 2 76.21( 14) 0 1 | 3 2 | 87.93 11 | 89.82 6
9 Stanford A = 87.85 12 2 75.82( 22) 1 1 | 4 1 | 88.62 9 | 86.86 11
10 LSU A = 87.63 10 3 76.15( 15) 2 2 | 3 3 | 88.59 10 | 86.47 12
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
11 Florida State A = 87.50 12 2 68.94( 66) 0 1 | 1 1 | 86.01 12 | 88.89 8
12 Oklahoma A = 85.70 10 3 77.63( 5) 0 3 | 3 3 | 84.95 14 | 86.18 13
13 Ohio State A = 85.37 12 0 70.34( 60) 0 0 | 4 0 | 89.08 8 | 82.34 23
14 Clemson A = 85.21 11 2 70.21( 61) 1 1 | 1 2 | 85.83 13 | 84.34 16
15 Oregon State A = 83.78 9 4 76.27( 13) 0 2 | 3 3 | 81.78 20 | 85.82 14
16 Texas A = 83.63 9 4 76.35( 12) 0 1 | 4 2 | 83.45 15 | 83.52 19
17 Oklahoma State A = 83.56 8 5 74.91( 28) 0 1 | 0 4 | 80.04 25 | 88.10 10
18 Baylor A = 82.64 8 5 76.93( 7) 1 0 | 2 2 | 80.60 24 | 84.71 15
19 Utah State A = 82.41 11 2 64.32( 97) 0 0 | 1 2 | 81.92 18 | 82.62 21
20 Michigan A = 82.25 8 5 75.54( 24) 0 3 | 1 5 | 81.84 19 | 82.37 22
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
21 Northwestern A = 81.72 10 3 71.61( 50) 0 0 | 1 3 | 82.43 17 | 80.76 26
22 Nebraska A = 81.06 10 4 75.83( 20) 0 1 | 4 3 | 81.62 21 | 80.24 27
23 Wisconsin A = 81.02 8 6 74.61( 30) 0 1 | 2 5 | 78.88 27 | 83.21 20
24 Mississippi A = 80.91 7 6 76.00( 18) 0 4 | 0 6 | 79.97 26 | 81.59 24
25 Vanderbilt A = 80.77 9 4 72.88( 42) 0 3 | 1 4 | 81.53 22 | 79.78 29
26 BYU A = 80.26 8 5 69.48( 63) 0 1 | 1 3 | 77.17 35 | 83.85 17
27 Louisville A = 79.98 11 2 67.71( 70) 1 0 | 1 0 | 83.34 16 | 77.01 42
28 Arizona State A = 79.87 8 5 71.03( 52) 0 1 | 0 2 | 76.58 41 | 83.77 18
29 San Jose State A = 79.87 11 2 65.46( 86) 0 1 | 1 2 | 81.41 23 | 78.20 35
30 Penn State A = 78.83 8 4 70.54( 58) 0 0 | 2 2 | 77.65 31 | 79.78 28
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
31 UCLA A = 78.51 9 5 74.06( 33) 0 2 | 2 4 | 77.21 34 | 79.62 30
32 TCU A = 78.39 7 6 76.13( 16) 0 1 | 2 3 | 77.03 37 | 79.56 31
33 Southern California A = 78.32 7 6 76.05( 17) 0 3 | 1 3 | 75.88 46 | 80.87 25
34 Michigan State A = 78.15 7 6 75.25( 26) 0 1 | 1 5 | 78.29 28 | 77.73 37
35 North Dakota State AA = 77.94 14 1 59.14( 135) 0 0 | 0 0 | 76.23 44 | 79.53 32
36 Cincinnati A = 77.81 10 3 66.03( 80) 0 0 | 0 1 | 77.99 29 | 77.35 40
37 Texas Tech A = 77.71 8 5 73.25( 36) 0 1 | 0 5 | 77.16 36 | 77.97 36
38 Syracuse A = 77.61 8 5 72.42( 45) 0 0 | 1 1 | 76.61 40 | 78.37 34
39 Northern Illinois A = 77.33 12 2 61.89( 121) 0 0 | 0 1 | 77.79 30 | 76.59 45
40 Missouri A = 77.14 5 7 81.15( 1) 0 5 | 1 6 | 77.35 33 | 76.64 43
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
41 Boise State A = 76.99 11 2 63.27( 115) 0 0 | 1 0 | 76.25 42 | 77.46 39
42 Mississippi State A = 76.80 8 5 71.74( 49) 0 3 | 0 5 | 76.67 39 | 76.62 44
43 North Carolina A = 76.70 8 4 66.21( 77) 0 0 | 0 1 | 74.58 51 | 78.78 33
44 Arizona A = 76.18 8 5 74.24( 32) 0 2 | 1 4 | 76.67 38 | 75.41 48
45 Central Florida(UCF) A = 76.17 10 4 64.94( 91) 0 0 | 0 1 | 75.00 50 | 77.10 41
46 Georgia Tech A = 75.92 7 7 72.43( 44) 0 1 | 0 4 | 74.21 53 | 77.49 38
47 Tulsa A = 75.81 11 3 65.48( 84) 0 0 | 0 0 | 75.37 48 | 75.95 46
48 West Virginia A = 75.44 7 6 74.85( 29) 0 1 | 2 3 | 76.20 45 | 74.44 51
49 Miami-Florida A = 75.27 7 5 72.70( 43) 0 2 | 0 3 | 76.24 43 | 74.07 56
50 Arkansas State A = 75.25 10 3 64.30( 98) 0 1 | 0 2 | 77.49 32 | 72.99 60
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
51 Louisiana Tech A = 75.15 9 3 63.84( 106) 0 1 | 0 3 | 75.85 47 | 74.20 52
52 Washington A = 75.05 7 6 73.94( 34) 1 2 | 2 2 | 75.05 49 | 74.76 49
53 Rutgers A = 74.62 9 4 67.42( 72) 0 0 | 0 1 | 74.18 54 | 74.76 50
54 Virginia Tech A = 74.37 7 6 72.04( 47) 0 0 | 0 2 | 74.34 52 | 74.11 54
55 Iowa State A = 74.15 6 7 76.36( 11) 0 1 | 1 4 | 73.89 55 | 74.12 53
56 Tennessee A = 73.50 5 7 75.28( 25) 0 4 | 0 5 | 73.16 58 | 73.54 58
57 SMU A = 72.94 7 6 66.79( 74) 0 1 | 0 2 | 70.37 64 | 75.53 47
58 Fresno State A = 72.41 9 4 63.38( 113) 0 1 | 0 1 | 70.56 63 | 74.10 55
59 Pittsburgh A = 72.40 6 7 70.56( 57) 0 1 | 0 3 | 70.63 62 | 74.00 57
60 Kent State A = 72.25 11 3 63.78( 107) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.51 57 | 70.78 63
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
61 Utah A = 71.27 5 7 72.91( 41) 0 0 | 1 3 | 69.08 72 | 73.36 59
62 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 71.07 9 4 62.83( 118) 0 1 | 0 2 | 71.51 60 | 70.35 64
63 Sam Houston State AA = 70.81 11 4 59.28( 133) 0 1 | 0 2 | 69.42 69 | 71.97 61
64 NC State A = 70.65 7 6 69.24( 65) 0 0 | 1 2 | 69.14 71 | 71.94 62
65 Arkansas A = 70.64 4 8 76.63( 9) 0 4 | 0 5 | 70.96 61 | 70.03 66
66 San Diego State A = 69.94 9 4 63.54( 108) 0 0 | 0 2 | 69.27 70 | 70.32 65
67 Ball State A = 69.71 9 4 67.05( 73) 0 0 | 0 1 | 73.67 56 | 66.00 77
68 Minnesota A = 69.22 6 7 70.90( 54) 0 0 | 0 4 | 69.79 66 | 68.37 69
69 Toledo A = 69.04 9 4 64.88( 92) 0 0 | 0 1 | 72.49 59 | 65.70 80
70 Iowa A = 68.79 4 8 73.01( 39) 0 0 | 0 4 | 68.74 74 | 68.55 68
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
71 Purdue A = 68.63 6 7 72.03( 48) 0 1 | 0 6 | 69.96 65 | 67.07 71
72 Georgia Southern AA = 68.44 10 4 56.41( 155) 0 1 | 0 1 | 67.52 78 | 69.09 67
73 Duke A = 67.97 6 7 71.33( 51) 0 1 | 0 3 | 69.55 68 | 66.17 76
74 Bowling Green A = 67.90 8 5 61.57( 123) 0 1 | 0 2 | 68.63 75 | 66.89 72
75 Ohio A = 67.59 9 4 59.18( 134) 0 0 | 1 0 | 69.69 67 | 65.34 82
76 Indiana A = 67.47 4 8 70.76( 56) 0 0 | 0 4 | 68.39 77 | 66.29 75
77 Louisiana-Monroe A = 66.89 8 5 64.97( 90) 0 0 | 0 1 | 67.51 79 | 66.00 78
78 California A = 66.64 3 9 76.46( 10) 0 2 | 0 5 | 66.43 82 | 66.56 73
79 South Dakota State AA = 66.59 9 4 60.05( 130) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.46 80 | 65.45 81
80 Nevada A = 66.31 7 6 62.14( 120) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.48 81 | 65.85 79
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
81 Auburn A = 65.86 3 9 78.54( 2) 0 4 | 0 7 | 66.11 84 | 65.31 83
82 Navy A = 65.78 8 5 65.44( 87) 0 1 | 0 4 | 68.47 76 | 62.98 96
83 Rice A = 65.49 7 6 63.52( 109) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.26 96 | 66.45 74
84 East Carolina A = 65.24 8 5 63.39( 112) 0 1 | 0 1 | 66.12 83 | 64.09 87
85 Middle Tennessee A = 65.03 8 4 63.91( 105) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.85 73 | 61.23 106
86 South Florida A = 64.88 3 9 72.40( 46) 0 0 | 0 2 | 65.32 87 | 64.15 86
87 Virginia A = 64.65 4 8 71.02( 53) 0 0 | 1 0 | 64.28 95 | 64.73 84
88 Eastern Washington AA = 64.51 11 3 55.52( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.05 89 | 63.67 93
89 Connecticut A = 64.35 5 7 67.75( 69) 0 0 | 1 0 | 64.96 91 | 63.45 94
90 Montana State AA = 64.28 11 2 54.14( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.36 93 | 63.90 91
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
91 Western Kentucky A = 64.16 7 6 63.05( 117) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.80 101 | 64.22 85
92 Northern Iowa AA = 64.05 5 6 63.48( 110) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.18 120 | 67.91 70
93 Kentucky A = 63.99 2 10 76.90( 8) 0 3 | 0 5 | 65.85 85 | 61.92 103
94 Central Arkansas AA = 63.96 9 3 56.82( 153) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.75 86 | 61.95 102
95 Indiana State AA = 63.70 7 4 59.12( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.29 105 | 63.82 92
96 Wofford AA = 63.70 9 4 56.86( 152) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.03 106 | 64.08 88
97 Youngstown State AA = 63.57 7 4 58.67( 139) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.15 97 | 62.70 98
98 Kansas A = 63.57 1 11 78.47( 3) 0 1 | 0 5 | 64.05 98 | 62.79 97
99 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 63.44 9 3 53.42( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.59 107 | 64.01 90
100 Temple A = 63.34 4 7 69.33( 64) 0 0 | 0 2 | 64.34 94 | 62.06 101
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
101 Maryland A = 63.28 4 8 69.52( 62) 0 0 | 0 2 | 63.58 102 | 62.67 99
102 Southern Illinois AA = 63.04 6 5 60.60( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.42 108 | 63.37 95
103 Troy A = 63.01 5 7 64.24( 99) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.68 112 | 64.06 89
104 Washington State A = 62.65 3 9 74.49( 31) 0 2 | 0 5 | 63.52 103 | 61.50 105
105 Illinois State AA = 62.38 9 4 58.60( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.51 104 | 60.97 108
106 Eastern Kentucky AA = 61.29 8 3 53.15( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.04 99 | 58.33 118
107 Marshall A = 61.25 5 7 63.95( 104) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.57 118 | 61.63 104
108 Houston A = 61.23 5 7 63.96( 103) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.49 114 | 60.67 110
109 Wake Forest A = 61.11 5 7 70.37( 59) 0 1 | 0 4 | 65.02 90 | 57.05 130
110 Texas-San Antonio A = 60.89 8 4 60.73( 125) 0 0 | 0 2 | 64.03 100 | 57.54 126
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
111 Central Michigan A = 60.83 7 6 61.65( 122) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.49 92 | 57.00 131
112 Tennessee-Martin AA = 60.74 8 3 55.17( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.24 88 | 56.13 135
113 Boston College A = 60.42 2 10 72.93( 40) 0 1 | 0 4 | 57.95 133 | 62.63 100
114 McNeese State AA = 60.37 7 4 53.82( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.38 109 | 58.09 120
115 Appalachian State AA = 60.31 8 4 55.72( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.49 115 | 58.85 116
116 Western Michigan A = 59.94 4 8 63.41( 111) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.62 117 | 58.96 115
117 Old Dominion AA = 59.46 11 2 47.25( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.97 132 | 60.66 111
118 North Texas A = 59.15 4 8 66.16( 79) 0 2 | 0 2 | 60.63 116 | 57.38 128
119 Eastern Illinois AA = 58.93 7 5 57.98( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.94 110 | 55.65 139
120 Northern Arizona AA = 58.83 8 3 54.13( 166) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.28 125 | 58.08 121
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
121 Wyoming A = 58.79 4 8 64.13( 101) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.55 122 | 57.73 125
122 Chattanooga AA = 58.73 6 5 57.21( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.35 131 | 58.81 117
123 Memphis A = 58.60 4 8 64.17( 100) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.44 123 | 57.47 127
124 Texas State A = 58.36 4 8 64.62( 95) 0 0 | 0 2 | 58.36 130 | 58.05 122
125 Miami-Ohio A = 58.23 4 8 66.74( 75) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.92 111 | 54.25 145
126 Illinois A = 58.11 2 10 73.16( 37) 0 0 | 0 6 | 59.42 124 | 56.49 133
127 Fla. International A = 58.09 3 9 65.66( 81) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.79 136 | 58.10 119
128 Towson AA = 57.88 7 4 52.92( 172) 0 1 | 0 1 | 54.42 150 | 61.04 107
129 Stony Brook AA = 57.88 10 3 44.87( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.59 149 | 60.86 109
130 Air Force A = 57.57 6 7 60.56( 127) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.92 134 | 56.91 132
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
131 Buffalo A = 57.54 4 8 65.48( 83) 0 1 | 0 1 | 60.47 119 | 54.30 144
132 Samford AA = 57.26 7 4 54.89( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.53 129 | 55.68 138
133 Jacksonville State AA = 57.22 6 5 58.08( 141) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.61 113 | 52.48 155
134 Colorado State A = 57.14 4 8 65.46( 85) 0 0 | 0 2 | 57.92 135 | 56.05 136
135 Villanova AA = 56.90 8 4 50.16( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.88 153 | 60.57 112
136 Richmond AA = 56.69 8 3 45.88( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.01 152 | 60.03 113
137 Florida Atlantic A = 56.65 3 9 65.61( 82) 0 2 | 0 2 | 55.92 138 | 57.08 129
138 UTEP A = 56.55 3 9 68.32( 67) 0 0 | 0 3 | 54.97 147 | 57.82 123
139 Murray State AA = 56.44 5 6 57.18( 150) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.59 121 | 52.93 152
140 Tennessee State AA = 56.44 8 3 49.84( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.96 126 | 53.58 149
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
141 The Citadel AA = 56.10 7 4 53.34( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.54 128 | 53.33 151
142 UAB A = 55.73 3 9 64.68( 94) 0 1 | 0 2 | 55.03 146 | 56.13 134
143 Missouri State AA = 55.67 3 8 65.20( 89) 0 1 | 0 2 | 55.33 141 | 55.72 137
144 Southern Utah AA = 55.55 5 6 59.35( 132) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.79 139 | 55.00 142
145 New Mexico A = 54.98 4 9 61.30( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.16 151 | 55.49 141
146 Eastern Michigan A = 54.27 2 10 67.42( 71) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.67 127 | 49.31 172
147 Army A = 53.81 2 10 64.59( 96) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.18 142 | 52.10 157
148 Stephen F. Austin AA = 53.78 5 6 57.25( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.05 145 | 52.19 156
149 North Dakota AA = 53.71 5 6 58.03( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.63 140 | 51.43 160
150 James Madison AA = 53.59 7 4 47.58( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.79 167 | 57.80 124
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
151 Montana AA = 53.25 5 6 52.60( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.17 160 | 54.99 143
152 Sacramento State AA = 53.08 6 5 53.26( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.09 144 | 50.71 163
153 Harvard AA = 52.99 8 2 38.25( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.03 182 | 59.73 114
154 New Hampshire AA = 52.96 8 4 48.23( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.60 158 | 54.00 146
155 Tulane A = 52.95 2 10 66.58( 76) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.09 143 | 50.43 166
156 Colorado A = 52.89 1 11 73.80( 35) 0 2 | 0 3 | 54.73 148 | 50.69 164
157 UNLV A = 52.84 2 11 64.01( 102) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.75 155 | 53.62 148
158 Coastal Carolina AA = 52.70 8 5 48.19( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.17 159 | 53.90 147
159 Bethune-Cookman AA = 51.90 9 3 41.37( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.87 164 | 53.55 150
160 UC Davis AA = 51.36 4 7 58.74( 138) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.61 161 | 51.81 158
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
161 Hawai'i A = 51.25 3 9 63.35( 114) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.69 157 | 50.52 165
162 Albany-NY AA = 51.03 9 2 41.00( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.78 168 | 52.89 153
163 Portland State AA = 50.25 3 8 57.98( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.13 174 | 52.86 154
164 South Alabama A = 50.19 2 11 63.10( 116) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.93 163 | 50.15 167
165 Idaho A = 49.82 1 11 70.86( 55) 0 1 | 0 4 | 52.11 154 | 47.06 179
166 Maine AA = 49.71 5 6 47.33( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.38 188 | 55.56 140
167 Southern Miss A = 49.70 0 12 67.87( 68) 0 0 | 0 2 | 47.70 173 | 51.31 161
168 SE Louisiana AA = 49.50 5 6 57.64( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.92 137 | 41.26 202
169 Akron A = 49.40 1 11 64.86( 93) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.73 176 | 51.61 159
170 Furman AA = 49.03 3 8 56.09( 157) 0 0 | 0 1 | 48.17 170 | 49.58 170
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
171 Northern Colorado AA = 48.72 5 6 55.66( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.29 162 | 46.76 181
172 Colgate AA = 48.27 8 4 42.38( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.36 180 | 49.79 169
173 Lehigh AA = 47.74 10 1 38.70( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.40 179 | 48.75 174
174 New Mexico State A = 47.25 1 11 65.26( 88) 0 0 | 0 3 | 48.41 169 | 45.72 183
175 South Dakota AA = 47.12 1 10 62.22( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.47 178 | 47.46 177
176 Wagner AA = 47.08 9 4 40.94( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.09 184 | 49.51 171
177 SE Missouri State AA = 46.85 3 8 57.02( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.74 165 | 43.28 195
178 Massachusetts A = 46.83 1 11 66.17( 78) 0 0 | 0 2 | 51.73 156 | 40.49 203
179 Weber State AA = 46.69 2 9 57.72( 145) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.31 181 | 47.73 175
180 Tennessee Tech AA = 46.25 3 8 55.30( 161) 0 1 | 0 1 | 47.78 172 | 44.31 188
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
181 Elon AA = 45.91 3 8 57.43( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.03 183 | 46.47 182
182 Princeton AA = 45.86 5 5 40.34( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.36 202 | 50.77 162
183 Northwestern State AA = 45.81 4 7 56.80( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.09 175 | 44.15 190
184 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 45.69 10 2 36.71( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.06 171 | 42.75 197
185 Delaware AA = 45.49 5 6 48.10( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.88 196 | 49.13 173
186 William & Mary AA = 45.03 2 9 50.93( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.07 207 | 50.14 168
187 Liberty AA = 44.91 6 5 42.34( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.38 189 | 46.93 180
188 Brown AA = 44.73 7 3 38.84( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.36 194 | 47.40 178
189 San Diego AA = 44.48 8 3 34.56( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.60 199 | 47.53 176
190 Alabama State AA = 43.92 7 4 35.90( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.19 186 | 44.34 187
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
191 Western Illinois AA = 43.85 3 8 60.27( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.81 166 | 37.00 212
192 Drake AA = 43.49 8 3 36.60( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.78 191 | 44.80 185
193 NC A&T AA = 43.16 7 4 40.93( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.53 192 | 44.39 186
194 Fordham AA = 43.01 6 5 42.96( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.50 193 | 44.13 191
195 Pennsylvania AA = 42.89 6 4 42.61( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.11 195 | 44.25 189
196 Western Carolina AA = 42.43 1 10 60.53( 128) 0 1 | 0 1 | 40.78 198 | 43.68 193
197 Dartmouth AA = 42.33 6 4 38.95( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.98 205 | 44.94 184
198 Delaware State AA = 42.09 6 5 39.86( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.75 201 | 43.90 192
199 Jackson State AA = 41.80 7 5 39.42( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.65 185 | 39.42 209
200 Austin Peay AA = 41.25 2 9 58.87( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.52 177 | 33.33 224
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
201 NC Central AA = 40.96 6 5 41.94( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.19 200 | 41.40 201
202 SC State AA = 40.48 5 6 43.84( 193) 0 1 | 0 1 | 39.01 204 | 41.55 200
203 Monmouth-NJ AA = 40.02 5 5 39.03( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.66 214 | 43.26 196
204 Alabama A&M AA = 39.97 7 4 36.89( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.20 190 | 37.07 211
205 Lamar AA = 39.77 4 8 54.82( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.11 187 | 35.24 218
206 Duquesne AA = 39.65 5 6 37.77( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.42 221 | 43.39 194
207 Howard AA = 39.52 7 4 40.82( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.20 203 | 39.55 208
208 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 39.39 5 6 41.21( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.46 211 | 41.63 199
209 Lafayette AA = 38.88 5 6 40.43( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.81 210 | 40.45 204
210 Florida A&M AA = 38.85 4 7 43.08( 194) 0 0 | 0 1 | 34.95 217 | 41.74 198
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
211 Jacksonville AA = 38.23 7 4 35.64( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.32 208 | 38.81 210
212 Nicholls State AA = 38.05 1 10 59.74( 131) 0 0 | 0 1 | 40.81 197 | 34.31 221
213 Dayton AA = 37.63 6 5 35.90( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.56 220 | 39.92 205
214 Holy Cross AA = 37.58 2 9 43.93( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.57 219 | 39.84 206
215 Cornell AA = 36.93 4 6 40.41( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.34 225 | 39.57 207
216 Butler AA = 36.39 8 3 32.31( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.15 209 | 35.27 217
217 Georgetown AA = 35.89 5 6 39.37( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.18 216 | 36.28 214
218 Miss. Valley State AA = 34.91 5 6 36.78( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.29 206 | 29.96 233
219 Norfolk State AA = 34.24 4 7 41.95( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.40 222 | 33.77 223
220 Robert Morris AA = 34.19 4 7 40.75( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.68 227 | 35.27 216
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
221 Gardner-Webb AA = 34.14 3 8 50.04( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.28 226 | 34.68 220
222 Hampton AA = 33.81 3 7 41.76( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.36 224 | 33.95 222
223 Southern U. AA = 33.64 4 7 37.22( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.45 212 | 29.62 234
224 Georgia State AA = 33.50 1 10 52.13( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.44 229 | 35.01 219
225 Idaho State AA = 33.42 1 10 56.15( 156) 0 0 | 0 1 | 36.38 213 | 29.14 235
226 Charleston Southern AA = 33.09 5 6 44.70( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.92 218 | 30.60 231
227 Prairie View A&M AA = 32.51 3 8 39.16( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.37 215 | 28.35 236
228 Morgan State AA = 32.31 3 8 40.66( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.79 228 | 32.52 227
229 Marist AA = 32.16 4 7 31.25( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.75 238 | 35.65 215
230 Morehead State AA = 31.96 4 7 35.05( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.23 242 | 36.36 213
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
231 Bucknell AA = 31.50 3 8 41.11( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.87 233 | 32.67 225
232 Bryant AA = 31.43 4 7 38.45( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.96 232 | 32.47 228
233 Columbia AA = 31.29 3 7 41.37( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.02 230 | 31.28 230
234 Sacred Heart AA = 30.84 2 9 40.52( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.35 237 | 32.64 226
235 Central Connecticut AA = 30.67 2 8 42.98( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.00 235 | 31.86 229
236 Yale AA = 30.36 2 8 41.88( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.13 231 | 30.30 232
237 Alcorn State AA = 29.34 4 7 39.67( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.88 223 | 20.59 242
238 VMI AA = 28.04 2 9 47.02( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.77 236 | 26.94 238
239 Rhode Island AA = 26.28 0 11 51.11( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.06 240 | 27.09 237
240 Presbyterian College AA = 25.07 2 9 45.77( 188) 0 0 | 0 1 | 24.63 241 | 25.20 239
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
241 Texas Southern AA = 24.72 2 9 39.80( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.09 234 | 15.21 244
242 Grambling State AA = 24.14 1 10 38.38( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.19 239 | 21.11 241
243 Savannah State AA = 22.52 1 10 45.08( 189) 0 0 | 0 2 | 22.46 243 | 22.28 240
244 Davidson AA = 17.02 2 9 30.48( 246) 0 0 | 0 0 | 15.97 244 | 17.68 243
245 Valparaiso AA = 14.67 1 10 35.42( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 15.04 245 | 13.96 245
246 Campbell AA = 10.86 1 10 35.93( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 7.68 246 | 12.79 246
247 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 5 53 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 247 | -90.00 247
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 81.75 81.57 ( 1) 14 81.64 ( 1)
2 BIG 12 (A) = 79.99 79.38 ( 2) 10 79.54 ( 2)
3 PAC-12 (A) = 76.15 75.58 ( 3) 12 75.85 ( 3)
4 BIG TEN (A) = 75.87 75.05 ( 4) 12 75.24 ( 4)
5 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 72.83 72.73 ( 5) 4 72.82 ( 5)
6 BIG EAST (A) = 72.16 71.87 ( 7) 8 71.91 ( 6)
7 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 71.64 71.92 ( 6) 12 71.80 ( 7)
8 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 64.57 64.82 ( 8) 7 64.72 ( 8)
9 SUN BELT (A) = 62.95 62.95 ( 9) 10 62.95 ( 9)
10 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 62.60 62.37 ( 11) 13 62.44 ( 11)
11 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 62.18 62.64 ( 10) 12 62.52 ( 10)
12 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 61.53 60.79 ( 13) 10 60.94 ( 13)
13 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 60.97 61.82 ( 12) 10 61.64 ( 12)
14 SOUTHERN (AA)= 56.15 55.77 ( 14) 9 55.84 ( 14)
15 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 54.83 53.93 ( 15) 9 54.07 ( 15)
16 BIG SKY (AA)= 53.89 53.62 ( 16) 13 53.83 ( 16)
17 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 52.40 52.76 ( 17) 8 52.61 ( 17)
18 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.48 48.86 ( 18) 11 49.50 ( 18)
19 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 41.17 40.92 ( 19) 8 40.94 ( 19)
20 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 40.27 40.41 ( 20) 7 40.40 ( 20)
21 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 38.54 38.16 ( 23) 11 38.24 ( 22)
22 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 38.44 39.40 ( 21) 7 39.03 ( 21)
23 NORTHEAST (AA)= 37.77 38.26 ( 22) 9 38.15 ( 23)
24 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 35.11 35.06 ( 24) 10 35.08 ( 24)
25 PIONEER (AA)= 31.95 30.69 ( 25) 10 31.26 ( 25)
26 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 26) 1 -90.00 ( 26)
CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
7 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 71.64 71.92 ( 6) 12 71.80 ( 7)
6 BIG EAST (A) = 72.16 71.87 ( 7) 8 71.91 ( 6)
4 BIG TEN (A) = 75.87 75.05 ( 4) 12 75.24 ( 4)
2 BIG 12 (A) = 79.99 79.38 ( 2) 10 79.54 ( 2)
11 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 62.18 62.64 ( 10) 12 62.52 ( 10)
10 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 62.60 62.37 ( 11) 13 62.44 ( 11)
13 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 60.97 61.82 ( 12) 10 61.64 ( 12)
3 PAC-12 (A) = 76.15 75.58 ( 3) 12 75.85 ( 3)
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 81.75 81.57 ( 1) 14 81.64 ( 1)
9 SUN BELT (A) = 62.95 62.95 ( 9) 10 62.95 ( 9)
8 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 64.57 64.82 ( 8) 7 64.72 ( 8)
5 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 72.83 72.73 ( 5) 4 72.82 ( 5)
16 BIG SKY (AA)= 53.89 53.62 ( 16) 13 53.83 ( 16)
22 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 38.44 39.40 ( 21) 7 39.03 ( 21)
18 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.48 48.86 ( 18) 11 49.50 ( 18)
19 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 41.17 40.92 ( 19) 8 40.94 ( 19)
21 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 38.54 38.16 ( 23) 11 38.24 ( 22)
12 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 61.53 60.79 ( 13) 10 60.94 ( 13)
23 NORTHEAST (AA)= 37.77 38.26 ( 22) 9 38.15 ( 23)
15 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 54.83 53.93 ( 15) 9 54.07 ( 15)
20 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 40.27 40.41 ( 20) 7 40.40 ( 20)
25 PIONEER (AA)= 31.95 30.69 ( 25) 10 31.26 ( 25)
14 SOUTHERN (AA)= 56.15 55.77 ( 14) 9 55.84 ( 14)
17 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 52.40 52.76 ( 17) 8 52.61 ( 17)
24 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 35.11 35.06 ( 24) 10 35.08 ( 24)
26 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 26) 1 -90.00 ( 26)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
7 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 71.64 71.92 ( 6) TEAMS= 12 71.80 ( 7)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
11 Florida State A = 87.50 12 2 68.94( 66) 0 1 | 1 1 | 86.01 12 | 88.89 8
14 Clemson A = 85.21 11 2 70.21( 61) 1 1 | 1 2 | 85.83 13 | 84.34 16
43 North Carolina A = 76.70 8 4 66.21( 77) 0 0 | 0 1 | 74.58 51 | 78.78 33
46 Georgia Tech A = 75.92 7 7 72.43( 44) 0 1 | 0 4 | 74.21 53 | 77.49 38
49 Miami-Florida A = 75.27 7 5 72.70( 43) 0 2 | 0 3 | 76.24 43 | 74.07 56
54 Virginia Tech A = 74.37 7 6 72.04( 47) 0 0 | 0 2 | 74.34 52 | 74.11 54
64 NC State A = 70.65 7 6 69.24( 65) 0 0 | 1 2 | 69.14 71 | 71.94 62
73 Duke A = 67.97 6 7 71.33( 51) 0 1 | 0 3 | 69.55 68 | 66.17 76
87 Virginia A = 64.65 4 8 71.02( 53) 0 0 | 1 0 | 64.28 95 | 64.73 84
101 Maryland A = 63.28 4 8 69.52( 62) 0 0 | 0 2 | 63.58 102 | 62.67 99
109 Wake Forest A = 61.11 5 7 70.37( 59) 0 1 | 0 4 | 65.02 90 | 57.05 130
113 Boston College A = 60.42 2 10 72.93( 40) 0 1 | 0 4 | 57.95 133 | 62.63 100
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
6 BIG EAST (A) = 72.16 71.87 ( 7) TEAMS= 8 71.91 ( 6)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
27 Louisville A = 79.98 11 2 67.71( 70) 1 0 | 1 0 | 83.34 16 | 77.01 42
36 Cincinnati A = 77.81 10 3 66.03( 80) 0 0 | 0 1 | 77.99 29 | 77.35 40
38 Syracuse A = 77.61 8 5 72.42( 45) 0 0 | 1 1 | 76.61 40 | 78.37 34
53 Rutgers A = 74.62 9 4 67.42( 72) 0 0 | 0 1 | 74.18 54 | 74.76 50
59 Pittsburgh A = 72.40 6 7 70.56( 57) 0 1 | 0 3 | 70.63 62 | 74.00 57
86 South Florida A = 64.88 3 9 72.40( 46) 0 0 | 0 2 | 65.32 87 | 64.15 86
89 Connecticut A = 64.35 5 7 67.75( 69) 0 0 | 1 0 | 64.96 91 | 63.45 94
100 Temple A = 63.34 4 7 69.33( 64) 0 0 | 0 2 | 64.34 94 | 62.06 101
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4 BIG TEN (A) = 75.87 75.05 ( 4) TEAMS= 12 75.24 ( 4)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
13 Ohio State A = 85.37 12 0 70.34( 60) 0 0 | 4 0 | 89.08 8 | 82.34 23
20 Michigan A = 82.25 8 5 75.54( 24) 0 3 | 1 5 | 81.84 19 | 82.37 22
21 Northwestern A = 81.72 10 3 71.61( 50) 0 0 | 1 3 | 82.43 17 | 80.76 26
22 Nebraska A = 81.06 10 4 75.83( 20) 0 1 | 4 3 | 81.62 21 | 80.24 27
23 Wisconsin A = 81.02 8 6 74.61( 30) 0 1 | 2 5 | 78.88 27 | 83.21 20
30 Penn State A = 78.83 8 4 70.54( 58) 0 0 | 2 2 | 77.65 31 | 79.78 28
34 Michigan State A = 78.15 7 6 75.25( 26) 0 1 | 1 5 | 78.29 28 | 77.73 37
68 Minnesota A = 69.22 6 7 70.90( 54) 0 0 | 0 4 | 69.79 66 | 68.37 69
70 Iowa A = 68.79 4 8 73.01( 39) 0 0 | 0 4 | 68.74 74 | 68.55 68
71 Purdue A = 68.63 6 7 72.03( 48) 0 1 | 0 6 | 69.96 65 | 67.07 71
76 Indiana A = 67.47 4 8 70.76( 56) 0 0 | 0 4 | 68.39 77 | 66.29 75
126 Illinois A = 58.11 2 10 73.16( 37) 0 0 | 0 6 | 59.42 124 | 56.49 133
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2 BIG 12 (A) = 79.99 79.38 ( 2) TEAMS= 10 79.54 ( 2)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
8 Kansas State A = 88.98 11 2 76.21( 14) 0 1 | 3 2 | 87.93 11 | 89.82 6
12 Oklahoma A = 85.70 10 3 77.63( 5) 0 3 | 3 3 | 84.95 14 | 86.18 13
16 Texas A = 83.63 9 4 76.35( 12) 0 1 | 4 2 | 83.45 15 | 83.52 19
17 Oklahoma State A = 83.56 8 5 74.91( 28) 0 1 | 0 4 | 80.04 25 | 88.10 10
18 Baylor A = 82.64 8 5 76.93( 7) 1 0 | 2 2 | 80.60 24 | 84.71 15
32 TCU A = 78.39 7 6 76.13( 16) 0 1 | 2 3 | 77.03 37 | 79.56 31
37 Texas Tech A = 77.71 8 5 73.25( 36) 0 1 | 0 5 | 77.16 36 | 77.97 36
48 West Virginia A = 75.44 7 6 74.85( 29) 0 1 | 2 3 | 76.20 45 | 74.44 51
55 Iowa State A = 74.15 6 7 76.36( 11) 0 1 | 1 4 | 73.89 55 | 74.12 53
98 Kansas A = 63.57 1 11 78.47( 3) 0 1 | 0 5 | 64.05 98 | 62.79 97
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
11 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 62.18 62.64 ( 10) TEAMS= 12 62.52 ( 10)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
45 Central Florida(UCF) A = 76.17 10 4 64.94( 91) 0 0 | 0 1 | 75.00 50 | 77.10 41
47 Tulsa A = 75.81 11 3 65.48( 84) 0 0 | 0 0 | 75.37 48 | 75.95 46
57 SMU A = 72.94 7 6 66.79( 74) 0 1 | 0 2 | 70.37 64 | 75.53 47
83 Rice A = 65.49 7 6 63.52( 109) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.26 96 | 66.45 74
84 East Carolina A = 65.24 8 5 63.39( 112) 0 1 | 0 1 | 66.12 83 | 64.09 87
107 Marshall A = 61.25 5 7 63.95( 104) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.57 118 | 61.63 104
108 Houston A = 61.23 5 7 63.96( 103) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.49 114 | 60.67 110
123 Memphis A = 58.60 4 8 64.17( 100) 0 0 | 0 0 | 59.44 123 | 57.47 127
138 UTEP A = 56.55 3 9 68.32( 67) 0 0 | 0 3 | 54.97 147 | 57.82 123
142 UAB A = 55.73 3 9 64.68( 94) 0 1 | 0 2 | 55.03 146 | 56.13 134
155 Tulane A = 52.95 2 10 66.58( 76) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.09 143 | 50.43 166
167 Southern Miss A = 49.70 0 12 67.87( 68) 0 0 | 0 2 | 47.70 173 | 51.31 161
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
10 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 62.60 62.37 ( 11) TEAMS= 13 62.44 ( 11)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
39 Northern Illinois A = 77.33 12 2 61.89( 121) 0 0 | 0 1 | 77.79 30 | 76.59 45
60 Kent State A = 72.25 11 3 63.78( 107) 0 0 | 0 0 | 73.51 57 | 70.78 63
67 Ball State A = 69.71 9 4 67.05( 73) 0 0 | 0 1 | 73.67 56 | 66.00 77
69 Toledo A = 69.04 9 4 64.88( 92) 0 0 | 0 1 | 72.49 59 | 65.70 80
74 Bowling Green A = 67.90 8 5 61.57( 123) 0 1 | 0 2 | 68.63 75 | 66.89 72
75 Ohio A = 67.59 9 4 59.18( 134) 0 0 | 1 0 | 69.69 67 | 65.34 82
111 Central Michigan A = 60.83 7 6 61.65( 122) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.49 92 | 57.00 131
116 Western Michigan A = 59.94 4 8 63.41( 111) 0 0 | 0 0 | 60.62 117 | 58.96 115
125 Miami-Ohio A = 58.23 4 8 66.74( 75) 0 0 | 0 1 | 61.92 111 | 54.25 145
131 Buffalo A = 57.54 4 8 65.48( 83) 0 1 | 0 1 | 60.47 119 | 54.30 144
146 Eastern Michigan A = 54.27 2 10 67.42( 71) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.67 127 | 49.31 172
169 Akron A = 49.40 1 11 64.86( 93) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.73 176 | 51.61 159
178 Massachusetts A = 46.83 1 11 66.17( 78) 0 0 | 0 2 | 51.73 156 | 40.49 203
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
13 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 60.97 61.82 ( 12) TEAMS= 10 61.64 ( 12)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
41 Boise State A = 76.99 11 2 63.27( 115) 0 0 | 1 0 | 76.25 42 | 77.46 39
58 Fresno State A = 72.41 9 4 63.38( 113) 0 1 | 0 1 | 70.56 63 | 74.10 55
66 San Diego State A = 69.94 9 4 63.54( 108) 0 0 | 0 2 | 69.27 70 | 70.32 65
80 Nevada A = 66.31 7 6 62.14( 120) 0 0 | 0 0 | 66.48 81 | 65.85 79
121 Wyoming A = 58.79 4 8 64.13( 101) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.55 122 | 57.73 125
130 Air Force A = 57.57 6 7 60.56( 127) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.92 134 | 56.91 132
134 Colorado State A = 57.14 4 8 65.46( 85) 0 0 | 0 2 | 57.92 135 | 56.05 136
145 New Mexico A = 54.98 4 9 61.30( 124) 0 0 | 0 1 | 54.16 151 | 55.49 141
157 UNLV A = 52.84 2 11 64.01( 102) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.75 155 | 53.62 148
161 Hawai'i A = 51.25 3 9 63.35( 114) 0 0 | 0 1 | 51.69 157 | 50.52 165
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3 PAC-12 (A) = 76.15 75.58 ( 3) TEAMS= 12 75.85 ( 3)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
2 Oregon A = 93.91 12 1 73.15( 38) 1 1 | 3 1 | 92.40 2 | 95.37 3
9 Stanford A = 87.85 12 2 75.82( 22) 1 1 | 4 1 | 88.62 9 | 86.86 11
15 Oregon State A = 83.78 9 4 76.27( 13) 0 2 | 3 3 | 81.78 20 | 85.82 14
28 Arizona State A = 79.87 8 5 71.03( 52) 0 1 | 0 2 | 76.58 41 | 83.77 18
31 UCLA A = 78.51 9 5 74.06( 33) 0 2 | 2 4 | 77.21 34 | 79.62 30
33 Southern California A = 78.32 7 6 76.05( 17) 0 3 | 1 3 | 75.88 46 | 80.87 25
44 Arizona A = 76.18 8 5 74.24( 32) 0 2 | 1 4 | 76.67 38 | 75.41 48
52 Washington A = 75.05 7 6 73.94( 34) 1 2 | 2 2 | 75.05 49 | 74.76 49
61 Utah A = 71.27 5 7 72.91( 41) 0 0 | 1 3 | 69.08 72 | 73.36 59
78 California A = 66.64 3 9 76.46( 10) 0 2 | 0 5 | 66.43 82 | 66.56 73
104 Washington State A = 62.65 3 9 74.49( 31) 0 2 | 0 5 | 63.52 103 | 61.50 105
156 Colorado A = 52.89 1 11 73.80( 35) 0 2 | 0 3 | 54.73 148 | 50.69 164
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 81.75 81.57 ( 1) TEAMS= 14 81.64 ( 1)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
1 Alabama A = 99.40 13 1 75.94( 19) 3 1 | 5 1 | 97.38 1 | 101.75 1
3 Texas A&M A = 93.31 11 2 77.26( 6) 1 2 | 3 2 | 90.84 6 | 96.34 2
4 Georgia A = 92.15 12 2 75.06( 27) 1 2 | 4 2 | 92.04 3 | 91.96 4
6 South Carolina A = 90.10 11 2 75.73( 23) 1 2 | 4 2 | 91.83 4 | 88.38 9
7 Florida A = 89.84 11 2 78.38( 4) 3 1 | 5 2 | 90.46 7 | 88.97 7
10 LSU A = 87.63 10 3 76.15( 15) 2 2 | 3 3 | 88.59 10 | 86.47 12
24 Mississippi A = 80.91 7 6 76.00( 18) 0 4 | 0 6 | 79.97 26 | 81.59 24
25 Vanderbilt A = 80.77 9 4 72.88( 42) 0 3 | 1 4 | 81.53 22 | 79.78 29
40 Missouri A = 77.14 5 7 81.15( 1) 0 5 | 1 6 | 77.35 33 | 76.64 43
42 Mississippi State A = 76.80 8 5 71.74( 49) 0 3 | 0 5 | 76.67 39 | 76.62 44
56 Tennessee A = 73.50 5 7 75.28( 25) 0 4 | 0 5 | 73.16 58 | 73.54 58
65 Arkansas A = 70.64 4 8 76.63( 9) 0 4 | 0 5 | 70.96 61 | 70.03 66
81 Auburn A = 65.86 3 9 78.54( 2) 0 4 | 0 7 | 66.11 84 | 65.31 83
93 Kentucky A = 63.99 2 10 76.90( 8) 0 3 | 0 5 | 65.85 85 | 61.92 103
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
9 SUN BELT (A) = 62.95 62.95 ( 9) TEAMS= 10 62.95 ( 9)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
50 Arkansas State A = 75.25 10 3 64.30( 98) 0 1 | 0 2 | 77.49 32 | 72.99 60
62 Louisiana-Lafayette A = 71.07 9 4 62.83( 118) 0 1 | 0 2 | 71.51 60 | 70.35 64
77 Louisiana-Monroe A = 66.89 8 5 64.97( 90) 0 0 | 0 1 | 67.51 79 | 66.00 78
85 Middle Tennessee A = 65.03 8 4 63.91( 105) 0 0 | 0 0 | 68.85 73 | 61.23 106
91 Western Kentucky A = 64.16 7 6 63.05( 117) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.80 101 | 64.22 85
103 Troy A = 63.01 5 7 64.24( 99) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.68 112 | 64.06 89
118 North Texas A = 59.15 4 8 66.16( 79) 0 2 | 0 2 | 60.63 116 | 57.38 128
127 Fla. International A = 58.09 3 9 65.66( 81) 0 0 | 0 1 | 57.79 136 | 58.10 119
137 Florida Atlantic A = 56.65 3 9 65.61( 82) 0 2 | 0 2 | 55.92 138 | 57.08 129
164 South Alabama A = 50.19 2 11 63.10( 116) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.93 163 | 50.15 167
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
8 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 64.57 64.82 ( 8) TEAMS= 7 64.72 ( 8)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
19 Utah State A = 82.41 11 2 64.32( 97) 0 0 | 1 2 | 81.92 18 | 82.62 21
29 San Jose State A = 79.87 11 2 65.46( 86) 0 1 | 1 2 | 81.41 23 | 78.20 35
51 Louisiana Tech A = 75.15 9 3 63.84( 106) 0 1 | 0 3 | 75.85 47 | 74.20 52
110 Texas-San Antonio A = 60.89 8 4 60.73( 125) 0 0 | 0 2 | 64.03 100 | 57.54 126
124 Texas State A = 58.36 4 8 64.62( 95) 0 0 | 0 2 | 58.36 130 | 58.05 122
165 Idaho A = 49.82 1 11 70.86( 55) 0 1 | 0 4 | 52.11 154 | 47.06 179
174 New Mexico State A = 47.25 1 11 65.26( 88) 0 0 | 0 3 | 48.41 169 | 45.72 183
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 72.83 72.73 ( 5) TEAMS= 4 72.82 ( 5)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
5 Notre Dame A = 91.08 12 1 75.83( 21) 1 1 | 4 1 | 91.69 5 | 90.23 5
26 BYU A = 80.26 8 5 69.48( 63) 0 1 | 1 3 | 77.17 35 | 83.85 17
82 Navy A = 65.78 8 5 65.44( 87) 0 1 | 0 4 | 68.47 76 | 62.98 96
147 Army A = 53.81 2 10 64.59( 96) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.18 142 | 52.10 157
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
16 BIG SKY (AA)= 53.89 53.62 ( 16) TEAMS= 13 53.83 ( 16)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
88 Eastern Washington AA = 64.51 11 3 55.52( 160) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.05 89 | 63.67 93
90 Montana State AA = 64.28 11 2 54.14( 165) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.36 93 | 63.90 91
99 Cal Poly-SLO AA = 63.44 9 3 53.42( 168) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.59 107 | 64.01 90
120 Northern Arizona AA = 58.83 8 3 54.13( 166) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.28 125 | 58.08 121
144 Southern Utah AA = 55.55 5 6 59.35( 132) 0 0 | 0 1 | 55.79 139 | 55.00 142
149 North Dakota AA = 53.71 5 6 58.03( 142) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.63 140 | 51.43 160
151 Montana AA = 53.25 5 6 52.60( 173) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.17 160 | 54.99 143
152 Sacramento State AA = 53.08 6 5 53.26( 170) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.09 144 | 50.71 163
160 UC Davis AA = 51.36 4 7 58.74( 138) 0 0 | 0 1 | 50.61 161 | 51.81 158
163 Portland State AA = 50.25 3 8 57.98( 144) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.13 174 | 52.86 154
171 Northern Colorado AA = 48.72 5 6 55.66( 159) 0 0 | 0 0 | 50.29 162 | 46.76 181
179 Weber State AA = 46.69 2 9 57.72( 145) 0 0 | 0 1 | 45.31 181 | 47.73 175
225 Idaho State AA = 33.42 1 10 56.15( 156) 0 0 | 0 1 | 36.38 213 | 29.14 235
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
22 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 38.44 39.40 ( 21) TEAMS= 7 39.03 ( 21)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
129 Stony Brook AA = 57.88 10 3 44.87( 190) 0 0 | 0 0 | 54.59 149 | 60.86 109
158 Coastal Carolina AA = 52.70 8 5 48.19( 181) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.17 159 | 53.90 147
187 Liberty AA = 44.91 6 5 42.34( 199) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.38 189 | 46.93 180
221 Gardner-Webb AA = 34.14 3 8 50.04( 178) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.28 226 | 34.68 220
226 Charleston Southern AA = 33.09 5 6 44.70( 191) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.92 218 | 30.60 231
238 VMI AA = 28.04 2 9 47.02( 186) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.77 236 | 26.94 238
240 Presbyterian College AA = 25.07 2 9 45.77( 188) 0 0 | 0 1 | 24.63 241 | 25.20 239
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
18 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.48 48.86 ( 18) TEAMS= 11 49.50 ( 18)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
117 Old Dominion AA = 59.46 11 2 47.25( 185) 0 0 | 0 0 | 57.97 132 | 60.66 111
128 Towson AA = 57.88 7 4 52.92( 172) 0 1 | 0 1 | 54.42 150 | 61.04 107
135 Villanova AA = 56.90 8 4 50.16( 177) 0 0 | 0 0 | 52.88 153 | 60.57 112
136 Richmond AA = 56.69 8 3 45.88( 187) 0 0 | 0 0 | 53.01 152 | 60.03 113
150 James Madison AA = 53.59 7 4 47.58( 183) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.79 167 | 57.80 124
154 New Hampshire AA = 52.96 8 4 48.23( 180) 0 0 | 0 0 | 51.60 158 | 54.00 146
166 Maine AA = 49.71 5 6 47.33( 184) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.38 188 | 55.56 140
185 Delaware AA = 45.49 5 6 48.10( 182) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.88 196 | 49.13 173
186 William & Mary AA = 45.03 2 9 50.93( 176) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.07 207 | 50.14 168
224 Georgia State AA = 33.50 1 10 52.13( 174) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.44 229 | 35.01 219
239 Rhode Island AA = 26.28 0 11 51.11( 175) 0 0 | 0 0 | 25.06 240 | 27.09 237
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
19 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 41.17 40.92 ( 19) TEAMS= 8 40.94 ( 19)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
153 Harvard AA = 52.99 8 2 38.25( 230) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.03 182 | 59.73 114
182 Princeton AA = 45.86 5 5 40.34( 217) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.36 202 | 50.77 162
188 Brown AA = 44.73 7 3 38.84( 226) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.36 194 | 47.40 178
195 Pennsylvania AA = 42.89 6 4 42.61( 197) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.11 195 | 44.25 189
197 Dartmouth AA = 42.33 6 4 38.95( 225) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.98 205 | 44.94 184
215 Cornell AA = 36.93 4 6 40.41( 216) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.34 225 | 39.57 207
233 Columbia AA = 31.29 3 7 41.37( 204) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.02 230 | 31.28 230
236 Yale AA = 30.36 2 8 41.88( 202) 0 0 | 0 0 | 30.13 231 | 30.30 232
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
21 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 38.54 38.16 ( 23) TEAMS= 11 38.24 ( 22)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
159 Bethune-Cookman AA = 51.90 9 3 41.37( 205) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.87 164 | 53.55 150
193 NC A&T AA = 43.16 7 4 40.93( 210) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.53 192 | 44.39 186
198 Delaware State AA = 42.09 6 5 39.86( 218) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.75 201 | 43.90 192
201 NC Central AA = 40.96 6 5 41.94( 201) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.19 200 | 41.40 201
202 SC State AA = 40.48 5 6 43.84( 193) 0 1 | 0 1 | 39.01 204 | 41.55 200
207 Howard AA = 39.52 7 4 40.82( 211) 0 0 | 0 0 | 39.20 203 | 39.55 208
210 Florida A&M AA = 38.85 4 7 43.08( 194) 0 0 | 0 1 | 34.95 217 | 41.74 198
219 Norfolk State AA = 34.24 4 7 41.95( 200) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.40 222 | 33.77 223
222 Hampton AA = 33.81 3 7 41.76( 203) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.36 224 | 33.95 222
228 Morgan State AA = 32.31 3 8 40.66( 213) 0 0 | 0 0 | 31.79 228 | 32.52 227
243 Savannah State AA = 22.52 1 10 45.08( 189) 0 0 | 0 2 | 22.46 243 | 22.28 240
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
12 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 61.53 60.79 ( 13) TEAMS= 10 60.94 ( 13)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
35 North Dakota State AA = 77.94 14 1 59.14( 135) 0 0 | 0 0 | 76.23 44 | 79.53 32
79 South Dakota State AA = 66.59 9 4 60.05( 130) 0 0 | 0 0 | 67.46 80 | 65.45 81
92 Northern Iowa AA = 64.05 5 6 63.48( 110) 0 0 | 0 1 | 60.18 120 | 67.91 70
95 Indiana State AA = 63.70 7 4 59.12( 136) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.29 105 | 63.82 92
97 Youngstown State AA = 63.57 7 4 58.67( 139) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.15 97 | 62.70 98
102 Southern Illinois AA = 63.04 6 5 60.60( 126) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.42 108 | 63.37 95
105 Illinois State AA = 62.38 9 4 58.60( 140) 0 0 | 0 0 | 63.51 104 | 60.97 108
143 Missouri State AA = 55.67 3 8 65.20( 89) 0 1 | 0 2 | 55.33 141 | 55.72 137
175 South Dakota AA = 47.12 1 10 62.22( 119) 0 0 | 0 1 | 46.47 178 | 47.46 177
191 Western Illinois AA = 43.85 3 8 60.27( 129) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.81 166 | 37.00 212
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
23 NORTHEAST (AA)= 37.77 38.26 ( 22) TEAMS= 9 38.15 ( 23)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
162 Albany-NY AA = 51.03 9 2 41.00( 208) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.78 168 | 52.89 153
176 Wagner AA = 47.08 9 4 40.94( 209) 0 0 | 0 0 | 44.09 184 | 49.51 171
203 Monmouth-NJ AA = 40.02 5 5 39.03( 224) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.66 214 | 43.26 196
206 Duquesne AA = 39.65 5 6 37.77( 231) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.42 221 | 43.39 194
208 Saint Francis-Pa. AA = 39.39 5 6 41.21( 206) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.46 211 | 41.63 199
220 Robert Morris AA = 34.19 4 7 40.75( 212) 0 0 | 0 0 | 32.68 227 | 35.27 216
232 Bryant AA = 31.43 4 7 38.45( 228) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.96 232 | 32.47 228
234 Sacred Heart AA = 30.84 2 9 40.52( 214) 0 0 | 0 0 | 28.35 237 | 32.64 226
235 Central Connecticut AA = 30.67 2 8 42.98( 195) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.00 235 | 31.86 229
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
15 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 54.83 53.93 ( 15) TEAMS= 9 54.07 ( 15)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
106 Eastern Kentucky AA = 61.29 8 3 53.15( 171) 0 0 | 0 0 | 64.04 99 | 58.33 118
112 Tennessee-Martin AA = 60.74 8 3 55.17( 162) 0 0 | 0 0 | 65.24 88 | 56.13 135
119 Eastern Illinois AA = 58.93 7 5 57.98( 143) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.94 110 | 55.65 139
133 Jacksonville State AA = 57.22 6 5 58.08( 141) 0 1 | 0 1 | 61.61 113 | 52.48 155
139 Murray State AA = 56.44 5 6 57.18( 150) 0 0 | 0 1 | 59.59 121 | 52.93 152
140 Tennessee State AA = 56.44 8 3 49.84( 179) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.96 126 | 53.58 149
177 SE Missouri State AA = 46.85 3 8 57.02( 151) 0 0 | 0 0 | 49.74 165 | 43.28 195
180 Tennessee Tech AA = 46.25 3 8 55.30( 161) 0 1 | 0 1 | 47.78 172 | 44.31 188
200 Austin Peay AA = 41.25 2 9 58.87( 137) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.52 177 | 33.33 224
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
20 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 40.27 40.41 ( 20) TEAMS= 7 40.40 ( 20)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
172 Colgate AA = 48.27 8 4 42.38( 198) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.36 180 | 49.79 169
173 Lehigh AA = 47.74 10 1 38.70( 227) 0 0 | 0 0 | 46.40 179 | 48.75 174
194 Fordham AA = 43.01 6 5 42.96( 196) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.50 193 | 44.13 191
209 Lafayette AA = 38.88 5 6 40.43( 215) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.81 210 | 40.45 204
214 Holy Cross AA = 37.58 2 9 43.93( 192) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.57 219 | 39.84 206
217 Georgetown AA = 35.89 5 6 39.37( 222) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.18 216 | 36.28 214
231 Bucknell AA = 31.50 3 8 41.11( 207) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.87 233 | 32.67 225
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
25 PIONEER (AA)= 31.95 30.69 ( 25) TEAMS= 10 31.26 ( 25)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
189 San Diego AA = 44.48 8 3 34.56( 243) 0 0 | 0 0 | 40.60 199 | 47.53 176
192 Drake AA = 43.49 8 3 36.60( 236) 0 0 | 0 0 | 41.78 191 | 44.80 185
211 Jacksonville AA = 38.23 7 4 35.64( 240) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.32 208 | 38.81 210
213 Dayton AA = 37.63 6 5 35.90( 238) 0 0 | 0 0 | 34.56 220 | 39.92 205
216 Butler AA = 36.39 8 3 32.31( 244) 0 0 | 0 0 | 37.15 209 | 35.27 217
229 Marist AA = 32.16 4 7 31.25( 245) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.75 238 | 35.65 215
230 Morehead State AA = 31.96 4 7 35.05( 242) 0 0 | 0 0 | 24.23 242 | 36.36 213
244 Davidson AA = 17.02 2 9 30.48( 246) 0 0 | 0 0 | 15.97 244 | 17.68 243
245 Valparaiso AA = 14.67 1 10 35.42( 241) 0 0 | 0 0 | 15.04 245 | 13.96 245
246 Campbell AA = 10.86 1 10 35.93( 237) 0 0 | 0 0 | 7.68 246 | 12.79 246
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
14 SOUTHERN (AA)= 56.15 55.77 ( 14) TEAMS= 9 55.84 ( 14)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
72 Georgia Southern AA = 68.44 10 4 56.41( 155) 0 1 | 0 1 | 67.52 78 | 69.09 67
96 Wofford AA = 63.70 9 4 56.86( 152) 0 1 | 0 1 | 63.03 106 | 64.08 88
115 Appalachian State AA = 60.31 8 4 55.72( 158) 0 0 | 0 0 | 61.49 115 | 58.85 116
122 Chattanooga AA = 58.73 6 5 57.21( 149) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.35 131 | 58.81 117
132 Samford AA = 57.26 7 4 54.89( 163) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.53 129 | 55.68 138
141 The Citadel AA = 56.10 7 4 53.34( 169) 0 0 | 0 0 | 58.54 128 | 53.33 151
170 Furman AA = 49.03 3 8 56.09( 157) 0 0 | 0 1 | 48.17 170 | 49.58 170
181 Elon AA = 45.91 3 8 57.43( 147) 0 0 | 0 0 | 45.03 183 | 46.47 182
196 Western Carolina AA = 42.43 1 10 60.53( 128) 0 1 | 0 1 | 40.78 198 | 43.68 193
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
17 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 52.40 52.76 ( 17) TEAMS= 8 52.61 ( 17)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
63 Sam Houston State AA = 70.81 11 4 59.28( 133) 0 1 | 0 2 | 69.42 69 | 71.97 61
94 Central Arkansas AA = 63.96 9 3 56.82( 153) 0 0 | 0 1 | 65.75 86 | 61.95 102
114 McNeese State AA = 60.37 7 4 53.82( 167) 0 0 | 0 0 | 62.38 109 | 58.09 120
148 Stephen F. Austin AA = 53.78 5 6 57.25( 148) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.05 145 | 52.19 156
168 SE Louisiana AA = 49.50 5 6 57.64( 146) 0 0 | 0 0 | 55.92 137 | 41.26 202
183 Northwestern State AA = 45.81 4 7 56.80( 154) 0 0 | 0 0 | 47.09 175 | 44.15 190
205 Lamar AA = 39.77 4 8 54.82( 164) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.11 187 | 35.24 218
212 Nicholls State AA = 38.05 1 10 59.74( 131) 0 0 | 0 1 | 40.81 197 | 34.31 221
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
24 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 35.11 35.06 ( 24) TEAMS= 10 35.08 ( 24)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
184 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA = 45.69 10 2 36.71( 235) 0 0 | 0 0 | 48.06 171 | 42.75 197
190 Alabama State AA = 43.92 7 4 35.90( 239) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.19 186 | 44.34 187
199 Jackson State AA = 41.80 7 5 39.42( 221) 0 0 | 0 0 | 43.65 185 | 39.42 209
204 Alabama A&M AA = 39.97 7 4 36.89( 233) 0 0 | 0 0 | 42.20 190 | 37.07 211
218 Miss. Valley State AA = 34.91 5 6 36.78( 234) 0 0 | 0 0 | 38.29 206 | 29.96 233
223 Southern U. AA = 33.64 4 7 37.22( 232) 0 0 | 0 0 | 36.45 212 | 29.62 234
227 Prairie View A&M AA = 32.51 3 8 39.16( 223) 0 0 | 0 0 | 35.37 215 | 28.35 236
237 Alcorn State AA = 29.34 4 7 39.67( 220) 0 0 | 0 0 | 33.88 223 | 20.59 242
241 Texas Southern AA = 24.72 2 9 39.80( 219) 0 0 | 0 0 | 29.09 234 | 15.21 244
242 Grambling State AA = 24.14 1 10 38.38( 229) 0 0 | 0 0 | 26.19 239 | 21.11 241
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
26 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 26) TEAMS= 1 -90.00 ( 26)
FINAL College Football 2012 through games of 2013 January 7 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.84] [ 2.75] [ 3.00]
247 ***UNRATED*** __ = -90.00 5 53 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0 | -90.00 247 | -90.00 247
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
endfile